Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.4%
|
1.45 | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.5%
|
2.06 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.20 | |
| Correct Score | 1-0 |
-
|
7.50 |
Universitario
Cusco
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Universitario
28 matches
Cusco
25 matches
| Universitario | Statistic | Cusco |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 9 |
| 8 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 11 |
| 39 | Goals For | 30 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.52 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.04 | Shots On Goal | 4.25 |
| 13.46 | Total Shots | 11.46 |
| 6.21 | Corners | 3.54 |
| 52.8% | Ball Possession | 55% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Universitario's more proactive style and Cusco's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universitario expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Cusco in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cusco having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cusco. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Placed 4 with 29 points from 17 outings, Universitario continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, while the 24:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Edison Flores (3 goals), Alex Valera (3 goals), Caín Fara (2 goals), with creative support from Edison Flores (2 assists), Jairo Concha (2 assists), Andy Polo (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
So far, Cusco have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 27 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, while the 21:24 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Iván Colman (2 goals), Juan Tévez (2 goals), Facundo Callejo (2 goals), with creative support from José Miguel Manzaneda (2 assists), Iván Colman (1 assists), Lucas Colitto (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Universitario won 5 times, Cusco won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:10 from Universitario's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.56 goals per game.
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