Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
45.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
69.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Gremio
Santos
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gremio
16 matches
Santos
16 matches
| Gremio | Statistic | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 6 | Losses | 6 |
| 16 | Goals For | 21 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.56 | Shots On Goal | 3.25 |
| 11.38 | Total Shots | 12.13 |
| 3.63 | Corners | 5.25 |
| 49.9% | Ball Possession | 48.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gremio expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Santos in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Santos having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Santos. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
With 18 points from 16 games and a place of 15, Gremio still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 16:18 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Carlos Vinicius (7 goals), Edenilson (4 goals), Camutanga (1 goals), with creative support from Edenilson (2 assists), F. Amuzu (2 assists), Gustavo Martins (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Santos sit 16 with 18 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 21:25 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gabriel Barbosa (4 goals), Neymar (4 goals), Benjamín Rollheiser (3 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Barbosa (2 assists), Neymar (2 assists), Moises (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gremio won 5 times, Santos won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:21 from Gremio's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Gremio
5
4
6
5
1
4
Lineups
Gremio
Fluminense
Gremio
Mirassol
Gremio
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
Cascavel
Gremio
Corinthians
Gremio
Bahia
Gremio
Flamengo
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
Coritiba
Gremio
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Internacional
Gremio
Remo
Gremio
Palmeiras
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Vitoria
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
RB Bragantino
Gremio
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
Botafogo
Santos
União São João
Santos
Vitoria
Santos
Coritiba
Santos
RB Bragantino
Santos
Palmeiras
Santos
Bahia
Santos
Fluminense
Santos
Atletico-MG
Santos
Flamengo
Santos
Remo
Santos
Cruzeiro
Santos
Internacional
Santos
Corinthians
Santos
Mirassol
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Sao Paulo
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
Fluminense
Gremio
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
Corinthians
Gremio
Flamengo
Gremio
Coritiba
Gremio
Remo
Gremio
Vitoria
Gremio
RB Bragantino
Gremio
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Botafogo
Santos
Botafogo
Santos
Palmeiras
Santos
Bahia
Santos
Flamengo
Santos
Cruzeiro
Santos
Mirassol
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 47 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 19 | 39 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28:19 | 9 | 37 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 31 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27:30 | -3 | 30 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 29 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 23 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 |
Santos
Away
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
| 16 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Gremio
Home
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
| 18 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:34 | -10 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 10 |
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