Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
92.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
74.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Once Caldas
Bucaramanga
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Once Caldas
33 matches
Bucaramanga
29 matches
| Once Caldas | Statistic | Bucaramanga |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 9 |
| 15 | Draws | 13 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 47 | Goals For | 41 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 5.68 | Shots On Goal | 4.07 |
| 15.19 | Total Shots | 12.46 |
| 5.13 | Corners | 3.89 |
| 53.3% | Ball Possession | 49.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Once Caldas expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Bucaramanga in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bucaramanga having the stronger overall control. Once Caldas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 33 points compared to Bucaramanga in 13 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Bucaramanga. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Placed 5 with 33 points from 19 outings, Once Caldas continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 31:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Moreno (12 goals), J. Zapata (11 goals), Pipe Gómez (4 goals), with creative support from J. Cuesta (8 assists), A. Correa (4 assists), Pipe Gómez (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
So far, Bucaramanga have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 23 points from 19 matches. The record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 26:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Pons (10 goals), E. Batalla (8 goals), F. Sambueza (5 goals), with creative support from F. Sambueza (6 assists), E. Batalla (4 assists), L. Pons (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Once Caldas won 6 times, Bucaramanga won 1 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:10 from Once Caldas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Once Caldas
Home
|
19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
Bucaramanga
Away
|
19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
D
L
D
L
W
|