26.09.2026 01:00
ATCO Field

Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.2%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cavalry FC Win 78.2%
Draw 3.6%
Supra du Quebec Win 18.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cavalry FC1.84
Supra du Quebec1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC
WWDLW
42 GF / 13 GA
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WLDWL
31 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.91
Average Goals Scored
1.41
0.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
11
BTTS Yes
16
10
Over 2.5
12
2.59
Shots on Goal
2.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cavalry FC Cavalry FC 22 matches
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 22 matches
Cavalry FC Statistic Supra du Quebec
15 Wins 7
5 Draws 4
2 Losses 11
42 Goals For 31
13 Goals Against 38
1.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
0.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
11 BTTS Yes 16
16 Over 1.5 18
10 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 4
2.59 Shots On Goal 2.5
7.73 Total Shots 8.14
2.95 Corners 2.59
26.8% Ball Possession 30.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Cavalry FC's more proactive style and Supra du Quebec's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Cavalry FC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Cavalry FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 49 points compared to Supra du Quebec in 7 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Supra du Quebec. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Cavalry FC Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 49 points from 21 games, Cavalry FC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 15 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 41:12, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through S. Camargo (2 goals), C. Elva (1 goals), T. Warschewski (1 goals), with creative support from S. Camargo (1 assists), C. Elva (1 assists), T. Warschewski (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

Supra du Quebec sit 7 with 22 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 29:38, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Chretien (1 goals), I. Conde (1 goals), with creative support from S. Rea (1 assists), D. Choinière (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Cavalry FC won 2 times, Supra du Quebec won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Cavalry FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
Predicted formations: Cavalry FC 4-2-3-1 / Supra du Quebec 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cavalry FC wins 2, draws 1, Supra du Quebec wins 0

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 5 2 42:13 29 50
D W W W W
2 22 14 4 4 34:16 18 46
D W D L W
3 23 10 4 9 34:39 -5 34
L L D W L
4 23 9 4 10 31:29 2 31
D L W L L
5 23 7 5 11 35:38 -3 26
W W L L W
6 22 7 4 11 31:38 -7 25
W L L W D
7 21 5 8 8 30:46 -16 23
L W D D L
8 22 1 8 13 26:44 -18 11
D L D D W