Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Flamengo
19 matches
Palmeiras
21 matches
| Flamengo | Statistic | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 12 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 36 | Goals For | 32 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.52 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.81 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.32 | Shots On Goal | 4.67 |
| 14.42 | Total Shots | 14.48 |
| 4.16 | Corners | 6.57 |
| 55% | Ball Possession | 52.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Flamengo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Palmeiras in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Palmeiras having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Palmeiras. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Flamengo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 31 points after 15 matches. With 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 28:13, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Pedro (9 goals), G. de Arrascaeta (3 goals), Lucas Paquetá (3 goals), with creative support from Samuel Lino (5 assists), Pedro (3 assists), Guillermo Varela (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Placed 1 with 35 points from 16 outings, Palmeiras continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 26:13 goal balance, points toward mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Lopez (5 goals), Allan Elias (3 goals), G. Gomez (3 goals), with creative support from Andreas Pereira (9 assists), J. Lopez (3 assists), Allan Elias (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Flamengo won 6 times, Palmeiras won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:16 from Flamengo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Flamengo
3
6
9
3
10
3
Lineups
Flamengo
Lausanne
Flamengo
River Plate
Flamengo
Coritiba
Flamengo
Cusco
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Gremio
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
Bahia
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
Flamengo
Fluminense
Flamengo
Cusco
Flamengo
Santos
Flamengo
RB Bragantino
Flamengo
Corinthians
Flamengo
Remo
Flamengo
Botafogo
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
Palmeiras
Junior
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Remo
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Santos
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Palmeiras
Junior
Palmeiras
Bahia
Palmeiras
Gremio
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Palmeiras
Mirassol
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Flamengo
Lausanne
Flamengo
River Plate
Flamengo
Coritiba
Flamengo
Cusco
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
Bahia
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
Flamengo
Santos
Flamengo
Remo
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Internacional
Palmeiras
Remo
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Palmeiras
Junior
Palmeiras
Bahia
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
Internacional
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
Away
|
18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
| 2 |
Flamengo
Home
|
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
|
