Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Puebla Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Puebla1.67
Toluca2.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Puebla
WWDLW
10 GF / 9 GA
Toluca
WLDWL
24 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.18
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
4
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
8
4.5
Shots on Goal
7
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Puebla
5 matches
Toluca
11 matches
| Puebla | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 5 |
| 0 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 4 |
| 10 | Goals For | 24 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.18 |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 7 |
| 11.5 | Total Shots | 18 |
| 5 | Corners | 4.44 |
| 34% | Ball Possession | 59.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Puebla won 4 times, Toluca won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:24 from Puebla's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Puebla 4-4-2 / Toluca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Puebla wins 4, draws 6, Toluca wins 5
Last matches: Puebla
22.07.26
Lig
Puebla
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
18.07.26
Lig
Puebla
FC Juarez
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Puebla
Atlas
4
3
W
04.07.26
Fri
Puebla
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
01.07.26
Fri
Puebla
Tlaxcala
3
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Club Queretaro
1
2
L
22.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Monterrey
1
2
L
19.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
5
L
11.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Leon
0
1
L
04.04.26
Lig
Puebla
FC Juarez
1
1
D
22.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Santos Laguna
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Necaxa
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Puebla
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
05.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Puebla
Atletico San Luis
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
Puebla
Club America
0
4
L
14.02.26
Lig
Puebla
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
3
L
07.02.26
Lig
Puebla
Club Tijuana
0
0
D
31.01.26
Lig
Puebla
Toluca
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Puebla
Cruz Azul
0
1
L
Last matches: Toluca
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
H2H: Puebla vs Toluca
31.01.26
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
0
0
D
14.09.25
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
3
1
L
15.03.25
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
0
3
L
23.10.24
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
5
0
L
27.01.24
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
1
D
01.11.23
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
0
1
W
24.06.23
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
1
1
D
08.04.23
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
2
L
03.08.22
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
1
1
D
03.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
2
1
L
06.11.21
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
0
W
21.03.21
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
4
4
D
29.08.20
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
4
1
W
22.02.20
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
2
0
W
06.10.19
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
1
1
D
Last matches: Puebla
01.07.26
Fri
Puebla
Tlaxcala
3
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Club Queretaro
1
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Leon
0
1
L
04.04.26
Lig
Puebla
FC Juarez
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Necaxa
0
0
D
05.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
21.02.26
Lig
Puebla
Club America
0
4
L
14.02.26
Lig
Puebla
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
3
L
31.01.26
Lig
Puebla
Toluca
0
0
D
13.01.26
Lig
Puebla
Mazatlán
2
1
W
01.11.25
Lig
Puebla
Cruz Azul
0
3
L
18.10.25
Lig
Puebla
Club Tijuana
4
3
W
27.09.25
Lig
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
24.09.25
Lig
Puebla
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
30.08.25
Lig
Puebla
Monterrey
2
4
L
16.08.25
Lig
Puebla
Atletico San Luis
0
2
L
26.07.25
Lig
Puebla
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
12.07.25
Lig
Puebla
Atlas
2
3
L
19.04.25
Lig
Puebla
Necaxa
0
1
L
05.04.25
Lig
Puebla
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
H2H at home: Puebla
31.01.26
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
0
0
D
15.03.25
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
0
3
L
27.01.24
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
1
D
08.04.23
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
2
L
06.11.21
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
0
W
29.08.20
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
4
1
W
22.02.20
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
2
0
W
Last matches: Toluca
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
04.03.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
2
W
22.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Puebla
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
W
12.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
04.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
0
1
L
27.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
2
1
W
01.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
0
0
D
H2H away: Toluca
31.01.26
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
0
0
D
15.03.25
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
0
3
W
27.01.24
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
1
D
08.04.23
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
2
W
06.11.21
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
0
L
29.08.20
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
4
1
L
22.02.20
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
2
0
L
Standings
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
Toluca
Away
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
L
W
|
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Puebla
Home
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
L
W
|
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
L
L
|