BRAZIL SERIE B
16.09.2026 00:00
Estádio Rei Pelé
CRB
Match Timeline
Sport Recife
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Matheus Simonete Bressanelli
CRB
16'
Crystopher · Assist: Mikael
CRB
🟨
30'
Daniel Sampaio Simões
CRB
🟨
30'
Carlos María de Pena Bonino
Sport Recife
🔄
45'
Kevin ↔ Diogo Hereda da Silva
CRB
🔄
45'
Diego·Hernandez ↔ Dudu Teodora
Sport Recife
🔄
45'
Biel ↔ Fernando Sobral
Sport Recife
🔄
45'
Marcelo Ajul ↔ Augusto Pucci De Freitas
Sport Recife
VAR
50'
Carlos María de Pena Bonino
Sport Recife
🟨
54'
Crystopher
CRB
🔄
62'
Mikael ↔ Joao Batista da Cruz Santos Neto
CRB
🔄
62'
Vinicius Barata ↔ Thiago Fernandes Rodrigues
CRB
🔄
66'
Edson Lucas Pereira ↔ Patrick de Paula Carreiro
Sport Recife
🔄
76'
Daniel Sampaio Simões ↔ Geovane
CRB
🔄
81'
Pedro Castro ↔ Luizão
CRB
🔄
83'
Zé Gabriel ↔ Neto Pessoa
Sport Recife
🟨
84'
Geovane
CRB
🟨
86'
Fernando Sobral
Sport Recife
89'
Diogo Hereda da Silva · Assist: Crystopher
CRB
90+2'
Patrick de Paula Carreiro · Assist: Pedro Henrique Perotti
Sport Recife

CRB vs Sport Recife Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.88
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.66
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.3%
1.88
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.66
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.07
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
CRB Win 72.3%
Draw 4.7%
Sport Recife Win 23%
Expected Goals (xG)
CRB1.27
Sport Recife1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
CRB CRB
WWDLW
40 GF / 39 GA
Sport Recife Sport Recife
WLDWL
36 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
15
BTTS Yes
16
16
Over 2.5
12
5.7
Shots on Goal
4.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CRB CRB 27 matches
Sport Recife Sport Recife 27 matches
CRB Statistic Sport Recife
12 Wins 10
6 Draws 11
9 Losses 6
40 Goals For 36
39 Goals Against 26
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
15 BTTS Yes 16
21 Over 1.5 20
16 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 4
5.7 Shots On Goal 4.3
17.7 Total Shots 14.22
4.96 Corners 4.96
51.4% Ball Possession 54.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Sport Recife arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sport Recife. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CRB expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Sport Recife in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sport Recife having the stronger overall control.

CRB Analysis

From their first 26 matches, CRB have collected 42 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, while the 40:36 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Mikael (13 goals), Thiaguinho (3 goals), Crystopher (3 goals), with creative support from Dadá Belmonte (4 assists), Mikael (3 assists), Thiaguinho (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Sport Recife Analysis

Sport Recife sit 10 with 38 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 11 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 34:26 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Perotti (7 goals), Chrystian Barletta (6 goals), Madson (2 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), Biel (3 assists), C. de Pena (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, CRB won 6 times, Sport Recife won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:17 from CRB's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.21 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: CRB 4-1-4-1 / Sport Recife 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: CRB wins 6, draws 2, Sport Recife wins 6

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
3 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
4 28 13 9 6 31:23 8 48
D W W D W
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7
CRB Home
28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W W L
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
11 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
12 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
13 28 11 6 11 28:34 -6 39
W L L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 28 8 6 14 29:36 -7 30
D L L L W
18 28 7 7 14 38:39 -1 28
W W L D L
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 28 2 4 22 16:62 -46 10
L L L L L
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