Flamengo vs Mirassol Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82.3%
|
1.25 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.9%
|
2.25 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.58 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
72.3%
|
1.25 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.62 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Flamengo
Mirassol
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Flamengo
35 matches
Mirassol
32 matches
| Flamengo | Statistic | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 10 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 4 | Losses | 13 |
| 72 | Goals For | 35 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 2.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 5.87 | Shots On Goal | 4.16 |
| 15.84 | Total Shots | 12.66 |
| 4.48 | Corners | 5 |
| 56.6% | Ball Possession | 49.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Flamengo's more proactive style and Mirassol's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Flamengo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 45 points compared to Mirassol in 17 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mirassol. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Flamengo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mirassol in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mirassol having the stronger overall control.
Placed 2 with 45 points from 23 outings, Flamengo continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 45:21 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Pedro Guilherme (14 goals), Samuel Lino (6 goals), Jorge Carrascal (3 goals), with creative support from Samuel Lino (7 assists), Pedro Guilherme (4 assists), Jorge Carrascal (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Mirassol approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 24 points from 23 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 26:36, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Igor Formiga (4 goals), João Victor (2 goals), Negueba (2 goals), with creative support from Reinaldo (4 assists), Alesson (4 assists), Igor Formiga (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Flamengo won 2 times, Mirassol won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:5 from Flamengo's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
Home
|
27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53:22 | 31 | 57 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 2 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:31 | 10 | 46 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:33 | 9 | 46 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41:35 | 6 | 45 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:29 | 3 | 36 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 33 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28:29 | -1 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 |
Mirassol
Away
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 28 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
W
|