ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Silverlake Stadium
Eastleigh
Match Timeline
Tamworth
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
K. Evans · Assist: L. Giles
Eastleigh
25'
O. Lynch · Assist: D. Creaney
Tamworth
🔄
35'
L. Humphries ↔ R. Aguiar
Eastleigh
🟨
37'
J. Moore
Eastleigh
🟨
45+4'
R. Brindley
Eastleigh
🟨
51'
T. Eweka
Eastleigh
🟨
53'
T. Kurtaran
Tamworth
🔄
60'
B. Acquaye ↔ R. Maher
Tamworth
🔄
64'
L. Giles ↔ A. Harris
Eastleigh
🔄
64'
R. Brindley ↔ J. Lundstram
Eastleigh
🔄
64'
I. Effiong ↔ H. Saunders
Eastleigh
🟨
69'
A. Blair
Eastleigh
🔄
72'
T. Kurtaran ↔ B. Milnes
Tamworth
🔄
72'
O. Lynch ↔ M. Reindorf
Tamworth
🟨
77'
D. Creaney
Tamworth
🔄
79'
J. Cousins ↔ C. Underhill
Eastleigh
🔄
83'
S. Mols ↔ T. McGlinchey
Tamworth
🔄
83'
J. Riley ↔ T. Tonks
Tamworth

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 55.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
55.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
56.8%
-
Probability Distribution
Eastleigh Win 32.4%
Draw 15.1%
Tamworth Win 52.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Eastleigh1.33
Tamworth1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Eastleigh Eastleigh
WWDLW
59 GF / 85 GA
Tamworth Tamworth
WLDWL
60 GF / 72 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
31
BTTS Yes
31
28
Over 2.5
24
5
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Eastleigh Eastleigh 48 matches
Tamworth Tamworth 49 matches
Eastleigh Statistic Tamworth
14 Wins 17
10 Draws 13
24 Losses 19
59 Goals For 60
85 Goals Against 72
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
31 BTTS Yes 31
42 Over 1.5 36
28 Over 2.5 24
16 Over 3.5 14
4 Clean Sheets 10
14 Failed To Score 11
5 Shots On Goal 2
11 Total Shots 14
7 Corners 5
64% Ball Possession 28%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tamworth. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Tamworth carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 58 points while Eastleigh sit 20 on 46, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Eastleigh have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tamworth having the stronger overall control.

Eastleigh Analysis

With 46 points from 44 games and a place of 20, Eastleigh still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 22 losses, together with goals at 55:79, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Blair (17 goals), H. Saunders (8 goals), L. Humphries (4 goals), with creative support from A. Harris (8 assists), J. Lundstram (6 assists), H. Saunders (5 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tamworth Analysis

From their first 44 matches, Tamworth have collected 58 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 16 wins, 10 draws, and 18 losses, while the 57:69 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on O. Lynch (10 goals), S. Mols (8 goals), I. Duku (7 goals), with creative support from T. Kurtaran (6 assists), S. Mols (4 assists), B. Enoru (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Eastleigh won 1 times, Tamworth won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Eastleigh's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.9%)
H2H summary: Eastleigh wins 1, draws 1, Tamworth wins 2

Lineups

Eastleigh
Formation
Tamworth
N. Townsend
N. Townsend
R. Brindley
R. Brindley
T. Eweka
T. Eweka
N. Maher
N. Maher
J. Moore
J. Moore
L. Giles
🎯
L. Giles
L. Humphries
L. Humphries
J. Cousins
J. Cousins
K. Evans
K. Evans
A. Blair
A. Blair
I. Effiong
I. Effiong
J. Singh
J. Singh
M. Curley
M. Curley
J. Cullinane-Liburd
J. Cullinane-Liburd
K. Digie
K. Digie
L. Fairlamb
L. Fairlamb
S. Mols
S. Mols
J. Riley
J. Riley
T. Kurtaran
T. Kurtaran
B. Acquaye
B. Acquaye
D. Creaney
🎯
D. Creaney
O. Lynch
O. Lynch
Eastleigh 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
N. Townsend
2
R. Brindley
↓ 64' 🟨 45+4'
6
T. Eweka
🟨 51'
31
N. Maher
28
J. Moore
🟨 37'
26
L. Giles
🎯 12' ↓ 64'
4
L. Humphries
↓ 35'
24
J. Cousins
↓ 79'
7
K. Evans
⚽ 12'
11
A. Blair
🟨 69'
21
I. Effiong
↓ 64'
Substitutes
22
J. McNamara
27
A. Harris
↑ 64'
25
R. Aguiar
↑ 35'
17
J. Lundstram
↑ 64'
30
C. Underhill
↑ 79'
15
H. Saunders
↑ 64'
29
S. Bamey
Tamworth 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Singh
2
M. Curley
18
J. Cullinane-Liburd
5
K. Digie
11
L. Fairlamb
14
S. Mols
↓ 83'
16
J. Riley
↓ 83'
42
T. Kurtaran
↓ 72' 🟨 53'
24
B. Acquaye
↓ 60'
39
D. Creaney
🎯 25' 🟨 77'
27
O. Lynch
⚽ 25' ↓ 72'
Substitutes
26
H. Hollis
6
A. Bates
31
R. Maher
↑ 60'
19
T. McGlinchey
↑ 83'
8
B. Milnes
↑ 72'
4
T. Tonks
↑ 83'
44
M. Reindorf
↑ 72'
Last matches: Eastleigh
22.07.26
Fri
Eastleigh
Valenciennes
0
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Eastleigh
Southampton
1
3
L
14.07.26
Fri
Eastleigh
Poole Town
0
2
L
10.07.26
Fri
Eastleigh
Horsham
2
3
L
25.04.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Scunthorpe
1
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Altrincham
0
1
L
06.04.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Yeovil Town
2
1
W
03.04.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Woking
3
3
D
28.03.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Forest Green
2
4
L
24.03.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Sutton Utd
0
2
L
21.03.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Hartlepool
0
1
L
14.03.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Rochdale
1
3
L
10.03.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Brackley Town
2
1
W
07.03.26
Nat
Eastleigh
York
1
3
L
28.02.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Carlisle
1
2
L
25.02.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Truro City
2
1
W
21.02.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Morecambe
0
4
L
14.02.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Boreham Wood
2
2
D
10.02.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Solihull Moors
3
2
W
07.02.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Wealdstone
2
2
D
Last matches: Tamworth
21.07.26
Fri
Tamworth
Aston Villa U21
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Tamworth
Stoke City U21
3
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Tamworth
Port Vale
0
5
L
11.07.26
Fri
Tamworth
Walton & Hersham
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Tamworth
Lichfield City
4
2
W
25.04.26
Nat
Tamworth
Braintree
5
1
W
11.04.26
Nat
Tamworth
York
0
1
L
06.04.26
Nat
Tamworth
FC Halifax Town
2
2
D
03.04.26
Nat
Tamworth
Solihull Moors
1
0
W
28.03.26
Nat
Tamworth
Brackley Town
1
0
W
25.03.26
Nat
Tamworth
Forest Green
1
0
W
21.03.26
Nat
Tamworth
Rochdale
2
3
L
14.03.26
Nat
Tamworth
Carlisle
2
1
W
10.03.26
Nat
Tamworth
Wealdstone
2
3
L
07.03.26
Nat
Tamworth
Woking
1
3
L
03.03.26
Nat
Tamworth
Yeovil Town
0
2
L
28.02.26
Nat
Tamworth
Boreham Wood
3
2
W
24.02.26
Nat
Tamworth
Altrincham
5
1
W
21.02.26
Nat
Tamworth
Boston United
0
0
D
14.02.26
Nat
Tamworth
Aldershot Town
1
1
D
H2H: Eastleigh vs Tamworth
18.04.26
H2H
Eastleigh
Tamworth
1
1
D
06.09.25
H2H
Tamworth
Eastleigh
1
0
L
29.03.25
H2H
Tamworth
Eastleigh
2
0
L
07.09.24
H2H
Eastleigh
Tamworth
1
0
W
Last matches: Eastleigh
22.07.26
Fri
Eastleigh
Valenciennes
0
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Eastleigh
Southampton
1
3
L
06.04.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Yeovil Town
2
1
W
28.03.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Forest Green
2
4
L
24.03.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Sutton Utd
0
2
L
14.03.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Rochdale
1
3
L
10.03.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Brackley Town
2
1
W
28.02.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Carlisle
1
2
L
25.02.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Truro City
2
1
W
14.02.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Boreham Wood
2
2
D
07.02.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Wealdstone
2
2
D
24.01.26
Nat
Eastleigh
FC Halifax Town
2
3
L
17.01.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Aldershot Town
1
4
L
13.01.26
FA
Eastleigh
Southport
0
2
L
26.12.25
Nat
Eastleigh
Woking
1
1
D
13.12.25
FA
Eastleigh
Aldershot Town
2
1
W
22.11.25
Nat
Eastleigh
Hartlepool
0
2
L
08.11.25
Nat
Eastleigh
York
2
4
L
02.11.25
FA
Eastleigh
Walsall
0
3
L
25.10.25
Nat
Eastleigh
Morecambe
2
1
W
H2H at home: Eastleigh
18.04.26
H2H
Eastleigh
Tamworth
1
1
D
07.09.24
H2H
Eastleigh
Tamworth
1
0
W
Last matches: Tamworth
14.07.26
Fri
Tamworth
Port Vale
0
5
L
04.07.26
Fri
Tamworth
Lichfield City
4
2
W
06.04.26
Nat
Tamworth
FC Halifax Town
2
2
D
28.03.26
Nat
Tamworth
Brackley Town
1
0
W
21.03.26
Nat
Tamworth
Rochdale
2
3
L
10.03.26
Nat
Tamworth
Wealdstone
2
3
L
07.03.26
Nat
Tamworth
Woking
1
3
L
03.03.26
Nat
Tamworth
Yeovil Town
0
2
L
21.02.26
Nat
Tamworth
Boston United
0
0
D
10.02.26
Nat
Tamworth
Morecambe
2
2
D
17.01.26
Nat
Tamworth
Truro City
0
0
D
26.12.25
Nat
Tamworth
Solihull Moors
1
7
L
06.12.25
Nat
Tamworth
Scunthorpe
1
3
L
29.11.25
Nat
Tamworth
Carlisle
1
2
L
15.11.25
Nat
Tamworth
Boreham Wood
2
1
W
11.11.25
Nat
Tamworth
Forest Green
2
4
L
18.10.25
Nat
Tamworth
Aldershot Town
2
1
W
01.10.25
Nat
Tamworth
Altrincham
2
1
W
27.09.25
Nat
Tamworth
Hartlepool
1
1
D
13.09.25
Nat
Tamworth
Sutton Utd
3
2
W
H2H away: Tamworth
18.04.26
H2H
Eastleigh
Tamworth
1
1
D
07.09.24
H2H
Eastleigh
Tamworth
1
0
L

Standings

Conference: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 33 9 4 114:41 73 108
D W W W W
2 46 33 7 6 88:41 47 106
D W W D L
3 46 29 8 9 87:51 36 95
W W W D D
4 46 27 9 10 95:58 37 90
W W W L W
5 46 23 13 10 77:62 15 82
L D W L D
6 46 23 12 11 83:47 36 81
W L W W D
7 46 23 12 11 82:52 30 81
W L W D W
8 46 20 10 16 69:66 3 70
W L D D W
9 46 18 14 14 54:59 -5 68
L W W L D
10 46 16 15 15 69:54 15 63
L W D W D
11 46 17 11 18 63:71 -8 62
W D L D W
12 46 15 14 17 63:67 -4 59
W W D W D
13 46 17 6 23 55:65 -10 57
W W W L L
14 46 14 14 18 71:72 -1 56
W L D D W
15 46 15 11 20 67:74 -7 56
L D D L W
16 46 15 6 25 48:68 -20 51
L L D L W
17 46 13 11 22 57:80 -23 50
W D L W D
18 46 14 8 24 54:90 -36 50
L L W W D
19 46 11 14 21 59:79 -20 47
L L L L D
20 46 13 7 26 69:87 -18 46
L L L L L
21 46 10 12 24 40:75 -35 42
L W L D L
22 46 9 11 26 66:103 -37 38
L L L D W
23 46 8 12 26 38:76 -38 36
L L L D L
24 46 8 10 28 42:72 -30 34
W L L D L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation