25.07.2026 00:15
Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez
Referee: Sebastian Nicolas Martinez
Platense
Match Timeline
Union Santa Fe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
T. Fagioli
Platense
🟨
37'
B. Cuello
Union Santa Fe
🟨
45+1'
L. Heredia
Platense
🟨
45+1'
G. Mainero
Platense
🟨
47'
J. Luduena
Union Santa Fe
🔄
59'
E. Giaccone ↔ S. Vera
Union Santa Fe
🔄
59'
B. Cuello ↔ V. J. Cerrudo
Union Santa Fe
🟨
63'
M. Mendia
Platense
🔄
64'
L. Heredia ↔ N. Lopez
Platense
🔄
64'
I. Gomez ↔ P. Ferreira
Platense
72'
J. Luduena
Union Santa Fe
🔄
79'
↔ B. Pitton
Union Santa Fe
79'
C. Tarragona
Union Santa Fe
🔄
80'
J. Gauto ↔ B. Merlini
Platense
🔄
80'
M. Barrios ↔ G. Lencina
Platense
87'
B. Merlini
Platense
🔄
90+2'
↔ F. Bussio
Platense
🔄
90+6'
L. Menossi ↔ M. Peresutti
Union Santa Fe

Platense vs Union Santa Fe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65.1%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Platense Win 34.9%
Draw 23%
Union Santa Fe Win 42.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Platense0.97
Union Santa Fe1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Platense Platense
WWDLW
19 GF / 22 GA
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
WLDWL
28 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.79
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
9
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
9
3.77
Shots on Goal
5.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Platense Platense 24 matches
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 20 matches
Platense Statistic Union Santa Fe
7 Wins 7
9 Draws 6
8 Losses 7
19 Goals For 28
22 Goals Against 25
0.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
9 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 16
6 Over 2.5 9
1 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 6
12 Failed To Score 6
3.77 Shots On Goal 5.39
11.09 Total Shots 16.67
4.09 Corners 5.22
49.7% Ball Possession 49.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Union Santa Fe's more proactive style and Platense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Platense have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Platense expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Union Santa Fe in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Union Santa Fe having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Union Santa Fe. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Platense Analysis

With 16 points from 16 games and a place of 12, Platense still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 10:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Lotti (2 goals), F. Zapiola (2 goals), T. Nasif (2 goals), with creative support from K. Retamar (2 assists), T. Nasif (1 assists), J. Gauto (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Union Santa Fe Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Union Santa Fe have collected 21 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, while the 24:20 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Cristian Tarragona (8 goals), M. Estigarribia (4 goals), Brahian Cuello (3 goals), with creative support from J. Palacios (6 assists), R. Profini (5 assists), Mateo Del Blanco (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Platense won 4 times, Union Santa Fe won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Platense's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.22 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77%)
Predicted formations: Platense 4-1-4-1 / Union Santa Fe 4-4-2
H2H summary: Platense wins 4, draws 4, Union Santa Fe wins 1

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
W L D L W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
W D W D D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D W D D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W L D D L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
D W L D W
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W W L D L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
D W L D W
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L W W W L
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
W L W D W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W L W W D
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
L D W W W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L D L W D
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L L D L L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D D D W W
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
L D D D L
Knockout Phase