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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
20.10.2026 21:30
Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas
Referee: Edwin Trujillo

Deportivo Pereira vs Chico Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 39.3%
Odds 3.14
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 31.8%
Odds 1.72
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
39.3%
3.14 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
31.8%
1.72 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.8%
1.42 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 0-0
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Pereira Win 31.8%
Draw 39.3%
Chico Win 28.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Pereira1.12
Chico1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
WWDLW
23 GF / 50 GA
Chico Chico
WLDWL
26 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
0.72
Average Goals Scored
0.81
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.72
14
BTTS Yes
8
14
Over 2.5
16
3.09
Shots on Goal
2.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 32 matches
Chico Chico 32 matches
Deportivo Pereira Statistic Chico
2 Wins 8
14 Draws 5
16 Losses 19
23 Goals For 26
50 Goals Against 55
0.72 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.72
14 BTTS Yes 8
19 Over 1.5 22
14 Over 2.5 16
10 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 8
17 Failed To Score 18
3.09 Shots On Goal 2.91
8.63 Total Shots 9.31
2.69 Corners 4.06
45.2% Ball Possession 44.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Chico. Chico arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Pereira expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Chico in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chico having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Deportivo Pereira Analysis

Deportivo Pereira sit 20 with 10 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 15:32, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Quiñones (5 goals), J. Monroy (4 goals), M. Pérez (4 goals), with creative support from J. Quiñones (2 assists), J. Largacha (2 assists), W. Pacheco (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Chico Analysis

With 17 points from 19 games and a place of 18, Chico still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 12 defeats with a 15:32 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jairo Molina (4 goals), S. Mera (3 goals), Arlen Banguero (2 goals), with creative support from S. Mera (2 assists), D. Ramírez (2 assists), Y. Cabrera (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Pereira won 6 times, Chico won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:12 from Deportivo Pereira's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (71.2%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Pereira 4-2-3-1 / Chico 4-4-2
H2H summary: Deportivo Pereira wins 6, draws 6, Chico wins 3

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W D W D L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
D D D L L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L W W D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
D L W W D
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W W D L L
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L L D D D
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
L W W L W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D D L L
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
D D W W W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W D D D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W L D L
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W D D W L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
D D W W W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
W L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L W L L L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
D L W L W
18
Chico Away
19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L D W L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W W L L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D D L L D
Post season qualification