COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
19.09.2026 23:10
Estadio Deportivo Cali

Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.4%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
86.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Cali Win 74.4%
Draw 5.3%
Cucuta Win 20.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Cali1.39
Cucuta0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali
WWDLW
33 GF / 24 GA
Cucuta Cucuta
WLDWL
32 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.1
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
13
BTTS Yes
19
8
Over 2.5
14
4.11
Shots on Goal
3.61

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 29 matches
Cucuta Cucuta 29 matches
Deportivo Cali Statistic Cucuta
11 Wins 5
10 Draws 11
8 Losses 13
33 Goals For 32
24 Goals Against 51
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
13 BTTS Yes 19
19 Over 1.5 25
8 Over 2.5 14
3 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 6
4.11 Shots On Goal 3.61
12.41 Total Shots 9.14
4.41 Corners 3.68
50.4% Ball Possession 43.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Deportivo Cali's more proactive style and Cucuta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cucuta. Deportivo Cali arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 27 points compared to Cucuta in 19 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Cali expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Cucuta in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cucuta having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Deportivo Cali Analysis

So far, Deportivo Cali have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 27 points from 19 matches. The record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 20:16 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through S. Rodríguez (9 goals), A. Hurtado (5 goals), J. Martínez (4 goals), with creative support from J. Martínez (5 assists), S. Rodríguez (2 assists), E. Bello (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Cucuta Analysis

Cucuta sit 19 with 16 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 22:35 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Jaime Peralta (7 goals), Luifer Hernández (5 goals), L. Berdugo (4 goals), with creative support from L. Berdugo (7 assists), K. Tamayo (3 assists), Luifer Hernández (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Cali won 3 times, Cucuta won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:4 from Deportivo Cali's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Cali 4-4-2 / Cucuta 5-4-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Cali wins 3, draws 1, Cucuta wins 0

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W W L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L D D L D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
W D L D L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
L W D W D
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L L W D D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L W W D W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D W D D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
W D D D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D D L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W D D L D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
L D D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
W L L L D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W W D D L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L D L W W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L D L W D
Post season qualification