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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
14.10.2026 18:45
Fratton Park
Referee: Oliver Langford
Portsmouth
Match Timeline
Sheffield Utd
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
Jayden Meghoma
Portsmouth
🟨
35'
Hamza Choudhury
Sheffield Utd
⚽
41'
Zak Swanson
Portsmouth
🟥
44'
Hamza Choudhury
Sheffield Utd
🔄
45'
Patrick Bamford ↔ Mark McGuinness
Sheffield Utd
🔄
45'
Ben Brereton ↔ Kalvin Phillips
Sheffield Utd
⚽
54'
Adrian Segecic · Assist: Ryan Kavuma-McQueen
Portsmouth
⚽
59'
Japhet Tanganga · Assist: Tahith Chong
Sheffield Utd
🟨
60'
Nicolas Schmid
Portsmouth
🟨
60'
Sam McCallum
Sheffield Utd
🔄
60'
Joe Rothwell ↔ Oliver Arblaster
Sheffield Utd
🔄
62'
Marko Milovanović ↔ Colby·Bishop
Portsmouth
⚽
67'
Thomas Cannon · Assist: Kalvin Phillips
Sheffield Utd
🔄
68'
Abu Kamara ↔ Keshi Anderson
Portsmouth
🔄
69'
Iyad Mohamed ↔ Ebou Adams
Portsmouth
🔄
69'
Zak Swanson ↔ Terry Devlin
Portsmouth
🔄
79'
Tahith Chong ↔ Romelle Donovan
Sheffield Utd
🔄
79'
Thomas Cannon ↔ Tyrese Campbell
Sheffield Utd
🟨
82'
Ebou Adams
Portsmouth
🔄
87'
Keshi Anderson ↔ Odin Bailey
Portsmouth
⚽
89'
Ebou Adams
Portsmouth

Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68.5%
Odds 1.53
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.03
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68.5%
1.53 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.03 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.12 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Portsmouth Win 31.5%
Draw 29.9%
Sheffield Utd Win 38.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portsmouth0.97
Sheffield Utd1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portsmouth Portsmouth
WWDLW
14 GF / 19 GA
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
WLDWL
22 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
8
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
9
4.38
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portsmouth Portsmouth 14 matches
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 15 matches
Portsmouth Statistic Sheffield Utd
3 Wins 7
5 Draws 5
6 Losses 3
14 Goals For 22
19 Goals Against 14
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
8 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 5
4.38 Shots On Goal 3.33
15.88 Total Shots 8.44
6.63 Corners 2.78
52.9% Ball Possession 41.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Portsmouth expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sheffield Utd in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sheffield Utd having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sheffield Utd. Sheffield Utd arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Portsmouth Analysis

With 8 points from 7 games and a place of 19, Portsmouth still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 9:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Milovanović (2 goals), A. Segecic (1 goals), R. Kavuma McQueen (1 goals), with creative support from A. Segecic (1 assists), R. Kavuma McQueen (1 assists), E. Adams (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sheffield Utd Analysis

Sheffield Utd approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 9 points from 8 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats with a 9:11 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on T. Cannon (2 goals), Sydie Peck (1 goals), P. Bamford (1 goals), with creative support from Sydie Peck (1 assists), P. Bamford (1 assists), J. Rothwell (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Portsmouth won 1 times, Sheffield Utd won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Portsmouth's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.83 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (70.1%)
Predicted formations: Portsmouth 4-2-3-1 / Sheffield Utd 4-4-2
Missing players: Portsmouth 6, Sheffield Utd 1
H2H summary: Portsmouth wins 1, draws 1, Sheffield Utd wins 4

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:7 9 23
W W W W L
2 10 6 3 1 20:14 6 21
W W D D W
3 10 5 4 1 29:12 17 19
W D D W W
4 10 4 5 1 17:11 6 17
W W D W L
5 10 4 5 1 15:9 6 17
W D D D D
6 10 5 2 3 12:10 2 17
W L L D W
7 10 6 2 2 21:10 11 16
W W L W W
8 10 5 1 4 17:16 1 16
L W W W D
9 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
W W D W L
10 9 4 2 3 16:14 2 14
L L W W D
11 10 4 2 4 16:16 0 14
L W D D L
12 10 4 2 4 12:14 -2 14
L D W L L
13 10 3 5 2 10:13 -3 14
D D L D D
14 10 4 1 5 15:18 -3 13
W L W W L
15 10 3 3 4 14:14 0 12
L W L L W
16 9 3 2 4 12:13 -1 11
W L D D W
17 10 2 5 3 11:15 -4 11
L D W L D
18 10 3 2 5 7:17 -10 11
L L L W W
19 10 2 4 4 16:15 1 10
W L W L D
20 10 3 0 7 17:20 -3 9
L L L L W
21 10 1 5 4 15:19 -4 8
D W D L D
22 10 2 2 6 8:19 -11 8
L L L L W
23 10 1 3 6 9:19 -10 6
L D D L L
24 10 1 1 8 8:20 -12 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One