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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
14.10.2026 19:00
Sincil Bank
Referee: Andrew Kitchen
Lincoln
Match Timeline
West Ham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
3'
Thomas Hamer
Lincoln
🟥
23'
Conor McGrandles
Lincoln
⚽
45'
Konstantinos Mavropanos · Assist: Jarrod Bowen
West Ham
🔄
45'
Felipe Morato ↔ Edvin Austbö
West Ham
🔄
45'
Chiedozie Ogbene ↔ Ryley Towler
Lincoln
🔄
45'
F. Draper ↔ Robert Nicholas Street
Lincoln
⚽
48'
Edvin Austbö · Assist: Joel Piroe
West Ham
⚽
50'
Jarrod Bowen · Assist: Arne Engels
West Ham
🟨
51'
Konstantinos Mavropanos
West Ham
🔄
58'
Manor Solomon ↔ Taty Castellanos
West Ham
🔄
58'
Konstantinos Mavropanos ↔ Airidas Golambeckis
West Ham
🔄
63'
Sonny Bradley ↔ Andrei Coubiș
Lincoln
🔄
64'
Ben House ↔ Yunus Konak
Lincoln
🔄
66'
Joël Veltman ↔ Kyle Walker-Peters
West Ham
🔄
66'
Arne Engels ↔ Tomáš Souček
West Ham
🔄
73'
Ivan Varfolomeev ↔ Tom Bayliss
Lincoln
⚽
75'
Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus · Assist: Edvin Austbö
West Ham
⚽
79'
Tomáš Souček · Assist: Jarrod Bowen
West Ham
⚽
89'
Tomáš Souček
West Ham
🟨
90+1'
Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus
West Ham

Lincoln vs West Ham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 78.3%
Odds 1.73
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.90
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
78.3%
1.73 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.90 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.17 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Lincoln Win 15.1%
Draw 6.6%
West Ham Win 78.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lincoln0.87
West Ham2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lincoln Lincoln
WWDLW
11 GF / 23 GA
West Ham West Ham
WLDWL
30 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
0.73
Average Goals Scored
2.31
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
6
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
8
3
Shots on Goal
5.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lincoln Lincoln 15 matches
West Ham West Ham 13 matches
Lincoln Statistic West Ham
5 Wins 5
2 Draws 7
8 Losses 1
11 Goals For 30
23 Goals Against 14
0.73 Avg Goals Scored 2.31
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
6 BTTS Yes 9
9 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 1
3 Shots On Goal 5.78
12.56 Total Shots 15.33
3.89 Corners 6.33
36.7% Ball Possession 58%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by West Ham's more proactive style and Lincoln's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. West Ham carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 15 points while Lincoln sit 12 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lincoln expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and West Ham in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward West Ham having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. West Ham look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors West Ham.

Lincoln Analysis

So far, Lincoln have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 11 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 7:8 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on R. Hackett (2 goals), F. Draper (2 goals), B. House (1 goals), with creative support from R. Hackett (1 assists), B. House (1 assists), A. Coubiș (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

West Ham Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 15 points from 8 games, West Ham bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, with a 22:11 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on J. Bowen (3 goals), K. Mavropanos (3 goals), M. Kanté (3 goals), with creative support from J. Bowen (2 assists), M. Solomon (2 assists), V. Castellanos (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Lincoln won 0 times, West Ham won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from Lincoln's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Lincoln 3-4-2-1 / West Ham 4-4-2
Missing players: Lincoln 2, West Ham 1
H2H summary: Lincoln wins 0, draws 0, West Ham wins 1

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:7 9 23
W W W W L
2 10 6 3 1 20:14 6 21
W W D D W
3 10 5 4 1 29:12 17 19
W D D W W
4 10 4 5 1 17:11 6 17
W W D W L
5 10 4 5 1 15:9 6 17
W D D D D
6 10 5 2 3 12:10 2 17
W L L D W
7 10 6 2 2 21:10 11 16
W W L W W
8 10 5 1 4 17:16 1 16
L W W W D
9 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
W W D W L
10 9 4 2 3 16:14 2 14
L L W W D
11 10 4 2 4 16:16 0 14
L W D D L
12 10 4 2 4 12:14 -2 14
L D W L L
13 10 3 5 2 10:13 -3 14
D D L D D
14 10 4 1 5 15:18 -3 13
W L W W L
15 10 3 3 4 14:14 0 12
L W L L W
16 9 3 2 4 12:13 -1 11
W L D D W
17 10 2 5 3 11:15 -4 11
L D W L D
18 10 3 2 5 7:17 -10 11
L L L W W
19 10 2 4 4 16:15 1 10
W L W L D
20 10 3 0 7 17:20 -3 9
L L L L W
21 10 1 5 4 15:19 -4 8
D W D L D
22 10 2 2 6 8:19 -11 8
L L L L W
23 10 1 3 6 9:19 -10 6
L D D L L
24 10 1 1 8 8:20 -12 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One