Carlisle
Match Timeline
Southend
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Carlisle Win 0%
Draw 0%
Southend Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Carlisle1.48
Southend1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Carlisle
WWDLW
75 GF / 52 GA
Southend
WLDWL
67 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
22
BTTS Yes
19
25
Over 2.5
20
3
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Carlisle
40 matches
Southend
38 matches
| Carlisle | Statistic | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wins | 20 |
| 5 | Draws | 8 |
| 10 | Losses | 10 |
| 75 | Goals For | 67 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 34 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 25 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 6 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 21% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Carlisle won 3 times, Southend won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:6 from Carlisle's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
H2H summary: Carlisle wins 3, draws 2, Southend wins 1
Lineups
Carlisle
Formation
Southend
G. Breeze
H. Atkinson
M. Feeney
T. Thomas
R. Galvin
D. Ajiboye
A. Gilliead
S. Wearne
H. Macadam
R. Linney
G. Kelly
O. Mason
G. Scott-Morriss
J. Golding
H. Taylor
J. Gubbins
H. Boyes
K. Appiah-Forson
C. Miley
O. Coker
A. Dallas
T. Hopper
Carlisle
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Breeze
31
H. Atkinson
5
M. Feeney
4
T. Thomas
⚽ 81'
12
R. Galvin
🎯 36'
7
D. Ajiboye
↓ 77'
20
A. Gilliead
↓ 83'
16
S. Wearne
37
H. Macadam
10
R. Linney
⚽ 36'
↓ 83'
9
G. Kelly
⚽ 3'
Substitutes
13
A. Mair
3
C. Harper
18
J. Ellis
↑ 83'
23
C. Wyke
26
B. Mugabi
↑ 77'
38
C. Conn-Clarke
30
H. Parker
↑ 83'
Southend
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
O. Mason
↓ 7'
2
G. Scott-Morriss
26
J. Golding
🟨 69'
16
H. Taylor
15
J. Gubbins
🟨 29'
33
H. Boyes
22
K. Appiah-Forson
↓ 66'
17
C. Miley
↓ 66'
28
O. Coker
🎯 65'
9
A. Dallas
⚽ 65'
↓ 87'
14
T. Hopper
↓ 66'
Substitutes
30
C. Andeng Ndi
↑ 7'
7
J. Bridge
10
S. Austin
↑ 66'
11
J. Walker
18
S. Spasov
↑ 87'
23
Morton
↑ 66'
24
C. Kendall
↑ 66'
Last matches: Carlisle
08.08.26
Nat
Carlisle
Worthing
2
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Carlisle
Derby County U21
3
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Salford City
0
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Darlington 1883
4
2
W
03.05.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Brackley Town
3
0
W
18.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Truro City
1
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Morecambe
2
2
D
03.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Gateshead
0
0
D
28.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Braintree
2
1
W
24.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
1
0
W
21.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boston United
6
2
W
14.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Tamworth
1
2
L
10.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
28.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Eastleigh
2
1
W
25.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Hartlepool
1
3
L
21.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Yeovil Town
3
0
W
14.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Forest Green
3
1
W
10.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Scunthorpe
3
2
W
Last matches: Southend
08.08.26
Nat
Southend
Altrincham
3
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Southend
Aveley
4
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Southend
Leyton Orient
1
1
D
22.07.26
Fri
Southend
Northampton
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Southend
West Ham
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Southend
Cambridge United
1
2
L
17.05.26
FA
Southend
Wealdstone
0
0
D
28.04.26
Nat
Southend
Scunthorpe
0
1
L
25.04.26
Nat
Southend
Wealdstone
2
1
W
21.04.26
Nat
Southend
Hartlepool
3
4
L
18.04.26
Nat
Southend
FC Halifax Town
6
2
W
14.04.26
Nat
Southend
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
Southend
Solihull Moors
0
0
D
06.04.26
Nat
Southend
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
03.04.26
Nat
Southend
Braintree
3
2
W
31.03.26
Nat
Southend
Yeovil Town
2
1
W
28.03.26
FA
Southend
Southport
3
1
W
25.03.26
Nat
Southend
Woking
1
1
D
21.03.26
Nat
Southend
Altrincham
0
1
L
17.03.26
Nat
Southend
Rochdale
3
2
W
H2H: Carlisle vs Southend
07.03.26
H2H
Carlisle
Southend
2
2
D
08.11.25
H2H
Southend
Carlisle
1
2
W
03.04.21
H2H
Southend
Carlisle
0
2
W
19.09.20
H2H
Carlisle
Southend
2
0
W
28.02.15
H2H
Southend
Carlisle
2
0
L
23.08.14
H2H
Carlisle
Southend
1
1
D
Last matches: Carlisle
08.08.26
Nat
Carlisle
Worthing
2
3
L
28.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Salford City
0
2
L
03.05.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Brackley Town
3
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
03.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Gateshead
0
0
D
21.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boston United
6
2
W
21.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Yeovil Town
3
0
W
10.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Scunthorpe
3
2
W
31.01.26
Nat
Carlisle
Altrincham
3
1
W
21.01.26
Nat
Carlisle
York
0
3
L
03.01.26
Nat
Carlisle
Wealdstone
2
0
W
30.12.25
Nat
Carlisle
Morecambe
1
0
W
10.12.25
Nat
Carlisle
Woking
1
3
L
29.11.25
Nat
Carlisle
Tamworth
2
1
W
15.11.25
Nat
Carlisle
Eastleigh
1
1
D
04.11.25
Nat
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
2
0
W
18.10.25
Nat
Carlisle
Forest Green
4
2
W
11.10.25
FA
Carlisle
Boston United
5
2
W
01.10.25
Nat
Carlisle
Hartlepool
3
1
W
H2H at home: Carlisle
07.03.26
H2H
Carlisle
Southend
2
2
D
19.09.20
H2H
Carlisle
Southend
2
0
W
23.08.14
H2H
Carlisle
Southend
1
1
D
Last matches: Southend
08.08.26
Nat
Southend
Altrincham
3
1
W
28.04.26
Nat
Southend
Scunthorpe
0
1
L
21.04.26
Nat
Southend
Hartlepool
3
4
L
18.04.26
Nat
Southend
FC Halifax Town
6
2
W
14.04.26
Nat
Southend
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
Southend
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
28.03.26
FA
Southend
Southport
3
1
W
21.03.26
Nat
Southend
Altrincham
0
1
L
28.02.26
FA
Southend
Horsham
2
1
W
21.02.26
Nat
Southend
Brackley Town
3
0
W
07.02.26
Nat
Southend
Scunthorpe
0
1
L
31.01.26
FA
Southend
Chatham Town
1
0
W
27.01.26
Nat
Southend
Rochdale
1
2
L
24.01.26
Nat
Southend
Boston United
3
3
D
17.01.26
Nat
Southend
York
1
1
D
13.01.26
FA
Southend
Bath City
3
1
W
26.12.25
Nat
Southend
Braintree
1
0
W
20.12.25
Nat
Southend
Tamworth
1
2
L
29.11.25
Nat
Southend
Forest Green
1
2
L
15.11.25
Nat
Southend
Yeovil Town
1
0
W
H2H away: Southend
07.03.26
H2H
Carlisle
Southend
2
2
D
19.09.20
H2H
Carlisle
Southend
2
0
L
23.08.14
H2H
Carlisle
Southend
1
1
D
Standings
Conference: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 73 | 108 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 47 | 106 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 |
Carlisle
Home
|
46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 36 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 37 | 90 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 15 | 82 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 |
Southend
Away
|
46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 36 | 81 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 7 | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 30 | 81 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 3 | 70 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | -5 | 68 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 15 | 63 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | -8 | 62 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | -4 | 59 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | -10 | 57 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | -1 | 56 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | -7 | 56 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | -20 | 51 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | -23 | 50 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | -36 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | -20 | 47 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | -18 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | -35 | 42 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | -37 | 38 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | -38 | 36 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | -30 | 34 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation