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18.10.2026 21:00

Bucaramanga vs America de Cali Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 48.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
48.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
72.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bucaramanga Win 38.6%
Draw 12.8%
America de Cali Win 48.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bucaramanga1.24
America de Cali1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
WWDLW
48 GF / 34 GA
America de Cali America de Cali
WLDWL
55 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
19
BTTS Yes
15
16
Over 2.5
16
4.1
Shots on Goal
4.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 32 matches
America de Cali America de Cali 38 matches
Bucaramanga Statistic America de Cali
11 Wins 20
14 Draws 8
7 Losses 10
48 Goals For 55
34 Goals Against 32
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
19 BTTS Yes 15
26 Over 1.5 25
16 Over 2.5 16
10 Over 3.5 5
10 Clean Sheets 18
8 Failed To Score 7
4.1 Shots On Goal 4.65
12.32 Total Shots 13.5
3.71 Corners 3.97
48.5% Ball Possession 54%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors America de Cali. Bucaramanga come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. America de Cali carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 33 points while Bucaramanga sit 13 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bucaramanga expected to line up in 5-3-2 and America de Cali in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward America de Cali having the stronger overall control.

Bucaramanga Analysis

From their first 19 matches, Bucaramanga have collected 23 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, while the 26:20 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Pons (11 goals), E. Batalla (11 goals), F. Sambueza (5 goals), with creative support from F. Sambueza (7 assists), L. Pons (5 assists), E. Batalla (4 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

America de Cali Analysis

America de Cali come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 33 points after 19 matches. The return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 25:15, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Yeison Guzmán (10 goals), Y. Guzmán (5 goals), D. Rosero (4 goals), with creative support from R. Carrascal (9 assists), L. Quiñones (4 assists), Yeison Guzmán (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bucaramanga won 4 times, America de Cali won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:21 from Bucaramanga's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.2%)
Predicted formations: Bucaramanga 5-3-2 / America de Cali 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bucaramanga wins 4, draws 4, America de Cali wins 7

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
D W D L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
D L L W W
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L W W D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
L W W D L
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W D L L W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L D D D D
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W L W W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D D L L
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
D W W W W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D D W W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W L D L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D D W L L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
D W W W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L W L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
W L L L D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
D L W L W
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L D W L L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W W L L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L L D D
Post season qualification