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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
15.10.2026 00:30
Toyota Stadium(Texas)
Referee: Jon Freemon
FC Dallas
Match Timeline
Seattle Sounders
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
58'
Nouhou Tolo ↔ Jordan Morris
Seattle Sounders
🔄
59'
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi ↔ Alexander Roldan
Seattle Sounders
⚽
63'
Kaick da Silva Ferreira · Assist: Osaze Urhoghide
FC Dallas
🔄
66'
Sebastian Gomez ↔ Jesús Ferreira
Seattle Sounders
🔄
74'
Santiago Moreno ↔ Patrickson Delgado
FC Dallas
🔄
74'
Joaquín Valiente Cioli ↔ Christian Cappis
FC Dallas
🟨
81'
Patrickson Delgado
FC Dallas
🔄
82'
Bernard Kamungo ↔ Herman Johansson
FC Dallas
🔄
83'
Snyder Brunell ↔ Peter Kingston
Seattle Sounders
🔄
83'
stuar hawkins ↔ Caden Clark
Seattle Sounders
🟨
90+8'
Daniel
FC Dallas

FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.9%
Odds 2.00
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.55
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.9%
2.00 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.44 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.55 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Dallas Win 71.9%
Draw 5.6%
Seattle Sounders Win 22.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Dallas1.62
Seattle Sounders1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Dallas FC Dallas
WWDLW
60 GF / 47 GA
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
WLDWL
55 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
19
BTTS Yes
20
22
Over 2.5
20
4.71
Shots on Goal
4.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Dallas FC Dallas 32 matches
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 36 matches
FC Dallas Statistic Seattle Sounders
15 Wins 17
9 Draws 8
8 Losses 11
60 Goals For 55
47 Goals Against 44
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
19 BTTS Yes 20
24 Over 1.5 29
22 Over 2.5 20
15 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 8
4.71 Shots On Goal 4.91
12.14 Total Shots 13.22
4.36 Corners 4.91
42.4% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features FC Dallas's more proactive style and Seattle Sounders's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Seattle Sounders. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. FC Dallas come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Dallas expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Seattle Sounders in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Seattle Sounders having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC Dallas Analysis

FC Dallas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 47 points after 27 outings. They have recorded 13 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, with a 50:42 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Petar Musa (11 goals), S. Moreno (4 goals), L. Farrington (4 goals), with creative support from J. Valiente (6 assists), Petar Musa (4 assists), S. Moreno (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Seattle Sounders Analysis

Seattle Sounders sit 7 with 38 points after 27 league matches. The record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 35:35 goal balance, points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through C. Roldan (4 goals), A. Rusnák (3 goals), P. Rothrock (3 goals), with creative support from A. Rusnák (9 assists), J. Morris (4 assists), P. Arriola (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Dallas won 2 times, Seattle Sounders won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:17 from FC Dallas's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: FC Dallas 3-4-2-1 / Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1
Missing players: FC Dallas 1, Seattle Sounders 5
H2H summary: FC Dallas wins 2, draws 4, Seattle Sounders wins 9

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 6 7 61:30 31 51
D L D W L
2 28 14 8 6 54:38 16 50
W W W W D
3 28 13 8 7 52:45 7 47
L W D W W
4 28 13 7 8 50:40 10 46
D W D W W
5 28 13 6 9 36:34 2 45
D L D L W
6 29 11 9 9 44:31 13 42
D L D L W
7 28 11 8 9 38:35 3 41
W W W W D
8 28 11 4 13 39:39 0 37
D L D W D
9 29 9 9 11 39:50 -11 36
L W W D L
10 28 9 6 13 51:54 -3 33
D L L L D
11 28 9 5 14 41:46 -5 32
L W L L L
12 28 8 8 12 48:51 -3 32
L D D L L
13 28 7 10 11 36:51 -15 31
L D D W D
14 28 7 9 12 42:51 -9 30
D L L L L
15 28 6 4 18 35:68 -33 22
D L W L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)