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15.10.2026 00:30
CITYPARK
Referee: F. Dujic
St. Louis City
Match Timeline
Vancouver Whitecaps
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
40'
C. Wallem ↔ Rafael Santos
St. Louis City
🟨
45+1'
Fallou Fall
St. Louis City
🟨
45+2'
Édier Ocampo
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
66'
E. Sabbi ↔ B. Caicedo
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
70'
Rafael Navarro ↔ S. Becher
St. Louis City
🔄
77'
O. Larraz ↔ A. Cvetkovic
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
77'
B. White ↔ R. Elloumi
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
81'
Ralph Priso
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
85'
Alexandru Mățan
St. Louis City
🔄
89'
C. Durkin ↔ L. MacNaughton
St. Louis City

St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 42.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
42.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
St. Louis City Win 42.3%
Draw 15.4%
Vancouver Whitecaps Win 42.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
St. Louis City1.54
Vancouver Whitecaps1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
St. Louis City St. Louis City
W W W W D
18 GF / 7 GA
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
D L D W L
9 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.81
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
22
BTTS Yes
16
19
Over 2.5
20
4.96
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

St. Louis City St. Louis City 32 matches
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 36 matches
St. Louis City Statistic Vancouver Whitecaps
15 Wins 17
9 Draws 7
8 Losses 12
58 Goals For 66
46 Goals Against 41
1.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
22 BTTS Yes 16
28 Over 1.5 29
19 Over 2.5 20
14 Over 3.5 11
5 Clean Sheets 14
5 Failed To Score 8
4.96 Shots On Goal 6
13.71 Total Shots 17
5.36 Corners 6.25
52.8% Ball Possession 58.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Vancouver Whitecaps. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with St. Louis City expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Vancouver Whitecaps in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vancouver Whitecaps having the stronger overall control. St. Louis City come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

St. Louis City Analysis

St. Louis City approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 47 points after 27 outings. The return of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 48:36, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through S. Becher (5 goals), T. Totland (3 goals), Marcel Hartel (3 goals), with creative support from S. Becher (3 assists), T. Totland (3 assists), Marcel Hartel (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 50 points from 27 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 60:29 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. White (10 goals), T. Müller (6 goals), Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez (4 goals), with creative support from T. Müller (5 assists), O. Larraz (5 assists), Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, St. Louis City won 1 times, Vancouver Whitecaps won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:15 from St. Louis City's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.7%)
Predicted formations: St. Louis City 3-1-4-2 / Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1
Missing players: St. Louis City 2, Vancouver Whitecaps 6
H2H summary: St. Louis City wins 1, draws 2, Vancouver Whitecaps wins 4

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 19 7 8 74:34 40 64
W W W L W
2 33 15 10 8 59:50 9 55
D L W D W
3 33 14 10 9 56:48 8 52
W D L D D
4 33 14 9 10 58:48 10 51
L L L L D
5 33 14 9 10 43:42 1 51
L W D D D
6 33 12 11 10 51:38 13 47
L D D W D
7 33 11 11 11 49:55 -6 44
W D D W L
8 33 12 7 14 60:61 -1 43
W W W D L
9 33 12 7 14 46:47 -1 43
L D W D D
10 33 11 10 12 42:45 -3 43
L L D D L
11 33 12 6 15 51:51 0 42
L W W W D
12 33 10 11 12 53:57 -4 41
W W D W D
13 33 9 11 13 57:62 -5 38
W L D D D
14 33 8 10 15 42:63 -21 34
L L W L L
15 33 6 5 22 39:81 -42 23
D L L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)