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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
15.10.2026 00:30
Soldier Field
Referee: Ricardo Fierro
Chicago Fire
Match Timeline
Philadelphia Union
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
Chicago Fire
🟨
41'
Jack Elliott
Chicago Fire
⚽
44'
Maren Haile-Selassie · Assist: Noah Allen
Chicago Fire
🟥
45+1'
Jack Elliott
Chicago Fire
🔄
45'
Jonathan Bamba ↔ Andreas Hanche-Olsen
Chicago Fire
⚽
49'
Milan Iloski · Assist: Bruno Damiani
Philadelphia Union
⚽
55'
Bruno Damiani · Assist: Cavan Sullivan
Philadelphia Union
🔄
57'
Jesus Bueno ↔ Indiana Vassilev
Philadelphia Union
⚽
67'
Bruno Damiani · Assist: Jovan Lukic
Philadelphia Union
🔄
68'
Robert Lewandowski ↔ Philip Zinckernagel
Chicago Fire
🔄
68'
Johan Arath Gomez ↔ Puso Dithejane
Chicago Fire
🔄
68'
Jonathan Dean ↔ Leonardo Barroso
Chicago Fire
🔄
72'
Anton Saletros ↔ Sergio Oregel
Chicago Fire
🔄
80'
Bruno Damiani ↔ Ezekiel Kwame Alladoh
Philadelphia Union
🔄
80'
Cavan Sullivan ↔ Benjamin Bender
Philadelphia Union
🟨
85'
Indiana Vassilev
Philadelphia Union
🟨
88'
Philip Zinckernagel
Chicago Fire
🔄
90+2'
Quinn Sullivan ↔ Japhet Sery Larsen
Philadelphia Union
🔄
90+2'
Milan Iloski ↔ Malik Jakupovic
Philadelphia Union
🟨
90+3'
Neil Pierre
Philadelphia Union

Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.3%
Odds 2.49
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.42
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.3%
2.49 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.36 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.42 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Chicago Fire Win 42.2%
Draw 3.5%
Philadelphia Union Win 54.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chicago Fire1.64
Philadelphia Union1.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
WWDLW
60 GF / 48 GA
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
WLDWL
78 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
2.11
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
23
BTTS Yes
23
24
Over 2.5
24
5.21
Shots on Goal
5.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 34 matches
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 37 matches
Chicago Fire Statistic Philadelphia Union
16 Wins 16
9 Draws 8
9 Losses 13
60 Goals For 78
48 Goals Against 54
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 2.11
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
23 BTTS Yes 23
27 Over 1.5 31
24 Over 2.5 24
13 Over 3.5 16
10 Clean Sheets 10
4 Failed To Score 6
5.21 Shots On Goal 5.25
14.39 Total Shots 16.13
4.36 Corners 5.94
51% Ball Possession 48.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Philadelphia Union. Philadelphia Union look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Chicago Fire Analysis

Chicago Fire come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 45 points from 27 matches. The record of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 49:39 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Haile-Selassie (8 goals), Hugo Cuypers (8 goals), P. Zinckernagel (6 goals), with creative support from P. Zinckernagel (7 assists), M. Haile-Selassie (5 assists), R. Lewandowski (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Philadelphia Union Analysis

So far, Philadelphia Union have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 39 points from 27 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 54:44 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Iloski (14 goals), B. Damiani (8 goals), Cavan Sullivan (6 goals), with creative support from I. Vassilev (5 assists), Frankie Westfield (5 assists), Cavan Sullivan (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chicago Fire won 3 times, Philadelphia Union won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:31 from Chicago Fire's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
Predicted formations: Chicago Fire 4-4-2 / Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
Missing players: Chicago Fire 5, Philadelphia Union 1
H2H summary: Chicago Fire wins 3, draws 5, Philadelphia Union wins 7

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 20 6 3 63:22 41 66
W W W W D
2 29 14 10 5 70:50 20 52
W W L D D
3 29 15 4 10 48:41 7 49
W L L W W
4 29 14 6 9 52:43 9 48
L W W W L
5 29 13 7 9 51:43 8 46
L W L W D
6 29 13 6 10 59:46 13 45
W W W W W
7 29 11 5 13 54:69 -15 38
D W L L W
8 29 10 6 13 39:54 -15 36
L W L W W
9 28 9 9 10 60:68 -8 36
L W L D D
10 29 8 9 12 42:40 2 33
L L D L W
11 29 7 12 10 44:55 -11 33
D W L L L
12 28 7 12 9 36:47 -11 33
W L D L D
13 29 9 5 15 44:47 -3 32
W L W W L
14 29 8 6 15 36:48 -12 30
W L D W D
15 29 6 6 17 35:59 -24 24
L L W L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)