Botafogo vs Santos Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
68.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
81.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
76.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
85.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Botafogo
Santos
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Botafogo
21 matches
Santos
19 matches
| Botafogo | Statistic | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 9 | Losses | 7 |
| 34 | Goals For | 29 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.86 | Shots On Goal | 3.33 |
| 12.62 | Total Shots | 11.78 |
| 3.76 | Corners | 5 |
| 49.5% | Ball Possession | 48.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Botafogo appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Santos. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Santos. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
From their first 17 matches, Botafogo have collected 22 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 31:31 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through Arthur Cabral (7 goals), Danilo (7 goals), Matheus Martins (4 goals), with creative support from A. Montoro (3 assists), Danilo (2 assists), Alex Telles (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Bastos, Allan, Junior Santos unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
With 21 points from 18 games and a place of 15, Santos still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 26:29, reflects poor form . Much of their threat comes through Gabriel Barbosa (7 goals), Neymar (4 goals), Benjamín Rollheiser (3 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Barbosa (2 assists), Neymar (2 assists), Miguelito (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Vinicius Lira, Thaciano unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo won 4 times, Santos won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:17 from Botafogo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53:22 | 31 | 57 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:31 | 10 | 46 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:33 | 9 | 46 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41:35 | 6 | 45 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 39 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:38 | -1 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:29 | 3 | 36 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 |
Santos
Away
|
26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 35 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 33 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28:29 | -1 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Botafogo
Home
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38:41 | -3 | 32 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 15 | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 29 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:35 | -7 | 28 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28:52 | -24 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
D
|