GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Borussia-Park
Referee: Tobias Welz, Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Match Timeline
FSV Mainz 05
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
J. Scally · Assist: H. Bolin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🟨
21'
Dominik Kohr
FSV Mainz 05
🟨
22'
Anthony Caci
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
66'
H. Bolin ↔ F. Honorat
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🔄
66'
S. Becker ↔ A. Sieb
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
66'
N. Veratschnig ↔ P. Mwene
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
71'
K. Diks ↔ F. C. Chiarodia
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🔄
72'
K. Stoger ↔ G. Reyna
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🔄
72'
J. Castrop ↔ L. Ullrich
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🔄
76'
A. Caci ↔ S. Widmer
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
76'
P. Nebel ↔ W. Boving
FSV Mainz 05
🟨
82'
Haris Tabakovic
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🔄
82'
D. da Costa ↔ N. Weiper
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
87'
H. Tabakovic ↔ K. Takai
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🟨
89'
Yannik Engelhardt
Borussia Mönchengladbach
VAR
89'
Nelson Weiper
FSV Mainz 05
🟨
90+7'
Moritz Nicolas
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🟨
90+3'
Philipp Sander
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🟨
90'
Nico Elvedi
Borussia Mönchengladbach
90'
N. Amiri
FSV Mainz 05

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 76.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
76.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.8%
-
Probability Distribution
Borussia Mönchengladbach Win 37.6%
Draw 18.5%
FSV Mainz 05 Win 43.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Borussia Mönchengladbach1.25
FSV Mainz 051.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
WWDLW
35 GF / 49 GA
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
WLDWL
51 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.69
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
12
BTTS Yes
21
16
Over 2.5
19
4.17
Shots on Goal
3.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 29 matches
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 41 matches
Borussia Mönchengladbach Statistic FSV Mainz 05
7 Wins 15
9 Draws 11
13 Losses 15
35 Goals For 51
49 Goals Against 54
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.69 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
12 BTTS Yes 21
21 Over 1.5 31
16 Over 2.5 19
11 Over 3.5 11
10 Clean Sheets 9
11 Failed To Score 13
4.17 Shots On Goal 3.8
11.69 Total Shots 11.93
4.07 Corners 5.17
46.1% Ball Possession 44.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. FSV Mainz 05 seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FSV Mainz 05. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Borussia Mönchengladbach expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and FSV Mainz 05 in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FSV Mainz 05 having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Borussia Mönchengladbach Analysis

Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 14 with 30 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 35:49 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on H. Tabakovic (11 goals), Kevin Diks (4 goals), J. Castrop (3 goals), with creative support from F. Honorat (6 assists), Joseph Scally (3 assists), L. Netz (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with T. Kleindienst unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

FSV Mainz 05 Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 are currently 9 in the standings with 33 points from 29 matches. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 35:44 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Amiri (10 goals), Jae-sung Lee (4 goals), Paul Nebel (4 goals), with creative support from Danny da Costa (3 assists), B. Hollerbach (3 assists), N. Amiri (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without M. Dal, B. Hollerbach, Silas, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 5 times, FSV Mainz 05 won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from Borussia Mönchengladbach's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.5%)
Predicted formations: Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4-2-1 / FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2
Missing players: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1, FSV Mainz 05 5
H2H summary: Borussia Mönchengladbach wins 5, draws 6, FSV Mainz 05 wins 4
Stats
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
5
0 Corner Kicks 6
12 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 2
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Goal 7
2 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 5
7 Shots insidebox 10
2 Shots outsidebox 7
6 Goalkeeper Saves 3
366 Total passes 588
289 Passes accurate 513
0.62 expected_goals 2.32
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Borussia Mönchengladbach
Formation
FSV Mainz 05
M. Nicolas
M. Nicolas
P. Sander
P. Sander
N. Elvedi
N. Elvedi
K. Diks
K. Diks
J. Scally
J. Scally
R. Reitz
R. Reitz
Y. Engelhardt
Y. Engelhardt
K. Stoger
K. Stoger
J. Castrop
J. Castrop
H. Bolin
🎯
H. Bolin
H. Tabakovic
H. Tabakovic
D. Batz
D. Batz
D. da Costa
D. da Costa
S. Posch
S. Posch
D. Kohr
D. Kohr
K. Sano
K. Sano
A. Caci
A. Caci
P. Nebel
P. Nebel
N. Amiri
N. Amiri
N. Veratschnig
N. Veratschnig
S. Becker
S. Becker
P. Tietz
P. Tietz
Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-5-1-1
Starting XI
33
M. Nicolas
🟨 90+7'
G
16
P. Sander
🟨 90+3'
D
30
N. Elvedi
🟨 90'
D
4
K. Diks
↓ 71'
D
29
J. Scally
⚽ 7'
M
27
R. Reitz
M
6
Y. Engelhardt
🟨 89'
M
7
K. Stoger
↓ 72'
M
17
J. Castrop
↓ 72'
M
38
H. Bolin
🎯 7' ↓ 66'
F
15
H. Tabakovic
↓ 87' 🟨 82'
F
Substitutes
23
J. Olschowsky
G
18
S. Machino
F
13
G. Reyna
↑ 72'
M
26
L. Ullrich
↑ 72'
D
2
F. C. Chiarodia
↑ 71'
D
36
W. Mohya
M
9
F. Honorat
↑ 66'
M
25
R. Hack
M
14
K. Takai
↑ 87'
D
FSV Mainz 05 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
33
D. Batz
G
21
D. da Costa
↓ 82'
D
4
S. Posch
D
31
D. Kohr
🟨 21'
D
6
K. Sano
M
19
A. Caci
↓ 76' 🟨 22'
M
8
P. Nebel
↓ 76'
M
10
N. Amiri
⚽ 90'
M
22
N. Veratschnig
↓ 66'
M
23
S. Becker
↓ 66'
F
20
P. Tietz
F
Substitutes
1
L. Riess
G
30
S. Widmer
↑ 76'
D
11
A. Sieb
↑ 66'
F
14
W. Boving
↑ 76'
F
24
S. Kawasaki
M
2
P. Mwene
↑ 66'
D
25
A. Hanche-Olsen
D
44
N. Weiper
↑ 82'
F
48
K. Potulski
D
Last matches: Borussia Mönchengladbach
20.05.26
Fri
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Spelle-Venhaus
6
2
W
16.05.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1899 Hoffenheim
4
0
W
09.05.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC Augsburg
1
3
L
03.05.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Dortmund
1
0
W
25.04.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfL Wolfsburg
0
0
D
11.04.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
RB Leipzig
0
1
L
04.04.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1. FC Heidenheim
2
2
D
26.03.26
Fri
Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfL Osnabrück
2
2
D
21.03.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1. FC Köln
3
3
D
13.03.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC St. Pauli
2
0
W
06.03.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bayern München
1
4
L
28.02.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Union Berlin
1
0
W
22.02.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
SC Freiburg
1
2
L
14.02.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
3
L
07.02.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
31.01.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Werder Bremen
1
1
D
25.01.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart
0
3
L
17.01.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Hamburger SV
0
0
D
14.01.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1899 Hoffenheim
1
5
L
11.01.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC Augsburg
4
0
W
Last matches: FSV Mainz 05
16.05.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Heidenheim
2
0
W
10.05.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
1
3
L
03.05.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
25.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
3
4
L
16.04.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Strasbourg
0
4
L
12.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
0
1
L
09.04.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Strasbourg
2
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
1899 Hoffenheim
2
1
W
22.03.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
2
0
W
15.03.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
2
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
0
0
D
07.03.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart
2
2
D
28.02.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
20.02.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
1
1
D
13.02.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund
0
4
L
07.02.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
FC Augsburg
2
0
W
31.01.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
2
1
W
24.01.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
3
1
W
17.01.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Köln
1
2
L
H2H: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05
19.04.26
H2H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
1
1
D
05.12.25
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
1
W
07.03.25
H2H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
1
3
L
25.10.24
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
1
D
02.03.24
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Monchengladbach
1
1
D
06.10.23
H2H
Borussia Monchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
2
2
D
24.02.23
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Monchengladbach
4
0
L
04.09.22
H2H
Borussia Monchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
0
1
W
03.04.22
H2H
Borussia Monchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
1
1
D
05.11.21
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Monchengladbach
1
1
D
20.02.21
H2H
Borussia Monchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
W
24.10.20
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Monchengladbach
2
3
W
25.01.20
H2H
Borussia Monchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
3
1
L
24.08.19
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Monchengladbach
1
3
W
09.03.19
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Monchengladbach
0
1
W
Last matches: Borussia Mönchengladbach
16.05.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1899 Hoffenheim
4
0
W
03.05.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Dortmund
1
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1. FC Heidenheim
2
2
D
13.03.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC St. Pauli
2
0
W
28.02.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Union Berlin
1
0
W
07.02.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
25.01.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart
0
3
L
11.01.26
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC Augsburg
4
0
W
13.12.25
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfL Wolfsburg
1
3
L
28.11.25
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
RB Leipzig
0
0
D
08.11.25
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1. FC Köln
3
1
W
25.10.25
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bayern München
0
3
L
05.10.25
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
SC Freiburg
0
0
D
27.09.25
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Eintracht Frankfurt
4
6
L
14.09.25
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Werder Bremen
0
4
L
24.08.25
Bun
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Hamburger SV
0
0
D
H2H at home: Borussia Mönchengladbach
19.04.26
H2H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
1
1
D
07.03.25
H2H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
1
3
L
Last matches: FSV Mainz 05
16.05.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Heidenheim
2
0
W
03.05.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
16.04.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Strasbourg
0
4
L
04.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
1899 Hoffenheim
2
1
W
15.03.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
2
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
0
0
D
28.02.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
13.02.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund
0
4
L
31.01.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
2
1
W
17.01.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Köln
1
2
L
10.01.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
2
2
D
14.12.25
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
2
2
D
11.12.25
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Lech Poznan
1
1
D
30.11.25
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
0
4
L
27.11.25
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Universitatea Craiova
0
1
L
09.11.25
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
1
L
26.10.25
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart
1
2
L
05.10.25
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
0
4
L
02.10.25
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Omonia Nicosia
1
0
W
20.09.25
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
FC Augsburg
4
1
W
H2H away: FSV Mainz 05
19.04.26
H2H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
1
1
D
07.03.25
H2H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
1
3
W
06.10.23
H2H
Borussia Monchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
2
2
D
04.09.22
H2H
Borussia Monchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
0
1
W
03.04.22
H2H
Borussia Monchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
1
1
D
20.02.21
H2H
Borussia Monchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
W
25.01.20
H2H
Borussia Monchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
3
1
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D

Missing Players

Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 missing
-
T. Kleindienst
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
FSV Mainz 05 5 missing
-
M. Dal
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
B. Hollerbach
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
Silas
Missing Fixture Broken shinbone
OUT
-
Lee Jae-Sung
Missing Fixture Toe Injury
OUT
-
M. Leitsch
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT