Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
81.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
76.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.8%
|
- |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Borussia Mönchengladbach
29 matches
FSV Mainz 05
41 matches
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | Statistic | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 15 |
| 9 | Draws | 11 |
| 13 | Losses | 15 |
| 35 | Goals For | 51 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 54 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 4.17 | Shots On Goal | 3.8 |
| 11.69 | Total Shots | 11.93 |
| 4.07 | Corners | 5.17 |
| 46.1% | Ball Possession | 44.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. FSV Mainz 05 seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FSV Mainz 05. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Borussia Mönchengladbach expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and FSV Mainz 05 in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FSV Mainz 05 having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 14 with 30 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 35:49 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on H. Tabakovic (11 goals), Kevin Diks (4 goals), J. Castrop (3 goals), with creative support from F. Honorat (6 assists), Joseph Scally (3 assists), L. Netz (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with T. Kleindienst unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
FSV Mainz 05 are currently 9 in the standings with 33 points from 29 matches. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 35:44 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Amiri (10 goals), Jae-sung Lee (4 goals), Paul Nebel (4 goals), with creative support from Danny da Costa (3 assists), B. Hollerbach (3 assists), N. Amiri (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without M. Dal, B. Hollerbach, Silas, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 5 times, FSV Mainz 05 won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from Borussia Mönchengladbach's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4
7
2
5
3
5
Lineups
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Spelle-Venhaus
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1899 Hoffenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC Augsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfL Wolfsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
RB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1. FC Heidenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfL Osnabrück
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1. FC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bayern München
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Union Berlin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
SC Freiburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Eintracht Frankfurt
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Werder Bremen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Hamburger SV
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1899 Hoffenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC Augsburg
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
Strasbourg
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
FSV Mainz 05
Strasbourg
FSV Mainz 05
1899 Hoffenheim
FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
FSV Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund
FSV Mainz 05
FC Augsburg
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1899 Hoffenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1. FC Heidenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Union Berlin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC Augsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfL Wolfsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
RB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1. FC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bayern München
Borussia Mönchengladbach
SC Freiburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Eintracht Frankfurt
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Werder Bremen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Hamburger SV
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
Strasbourg
FSV Mainz 05
1899 Hoffenheim
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
FSV Mainz 05
Universitatea Craiova
FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt
FSV Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
FSV Mainz 05
Omonia Nicosia
FSV Mainz 05
FC Augsburg
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 86 | 89 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 36 | 73 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 65 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 22 | 62 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 13 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 21 | 59 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | -6 | 47 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | -16 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
FSV Mainz 05
Away
|
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | -9 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | -14 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 32 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | -24 | 29 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | -31 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
D
|