Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
45.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cruzeiro
30 matches
Flamengo
30 matches
| Cruzeiro | Statistic | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 19 |
| 8 | Draws | 8 |
| 9 | Losses | 3 |
| 41 | Goals For | 60 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.83 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.54 | Shots On Goal | 5.81 |
| 13.82 | Total Shots | 15.58 |
| 4.86 | Corners | 4.65 |
| 55.4% | Ball Possession | 56.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Flamengo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 16 points while Cruzeiro sit 2 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Flamengo look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Flamengo. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Cruzeiro enter this tie with a season profile built on 11 points from 6 matches, placing them 2 in their league. The return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 8:3 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Matheus Pereira (4 goals), Christian (1 goals), Fagner (1 goals), with creative support from Fagner (2 assists), Kaio Jorge (2 assists), Matheus Pereira (1 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Ahead of this knockout test, Flamengo arrive from a league campaign that has them 1 with 16 points after 6 matches. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 14:2 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking influence is driven by Bruno Henrique (4 goals), G. de Arrascaeta (2 goals), Lucas Paqueta (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Henrique (2 assists), Ayrton Lucas (2 assists), G. de Arrascaeta (1 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cruzeiro won 1 times, Flamengo won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:22 from Cruzeiro's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Cruzeiro
1
5
5
6
5
4
Lineups
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Mirassol
Cruzeiro
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
Internacional
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Remo
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Mirassol
Flamengo
Vitoria
Flamengo
Internacional
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Chapecoense-sc
Flamengo
Olimpia
Flamengo
Benfica
Flamengo
Lausanne
Flamengo
River Plate
Flamengo
Coritiba
Flamengo
Cusco
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Gremio
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Mirassol
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
Santos
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Coritiba
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Mirassol
Flamengo
Internacional
Flamengo
Chapecoense-sc
Flamengo
Benfica
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Gremio
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
Fluminense
Flamengo
Cusco
Flamengo
RB Bragantino
Flamengo
Corinthians
Flamengo
Botafogo
Flamengo
Vitoria
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Cruzeiro
Home
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | -10 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|