COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
03.09.2026 21:00
Olímpico Pascual Guerrero
Referee: Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa
America de Cali
Match Timeline
Alianza Valledupar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
29'
C. Tovar · Assist: N. Hernandez
America de Cali
🟨
45+5'
Ever Meza
Alianza Valledupar
45'
T. Angel · Assist: Y. Guzman
America de Cali
🔄
46'
C. Esparragoza ↔ L. Palacios
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
60'
E. W. Meza Mercado ↔ J. Mosquera
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
63'
J. Murillo ↔ E. Tortolero
America de Cali
🔄
63'
T. Angel ↔ D. Valencia
America de Cali
🔄
63'
L. Quinones ↔ J. Lucumi
America de Cali
63'
Y. Guzman
America de Cali
VAR
71'
Nicolás Hernández
America de Cali
🔄
74'
J. Escobar ↔ J. Cavadia
America de Cali
🔄
74'
Y. Guzman ↔ J. A. Camacho Anchico
America de Cali
🔄
74'
F. Pardo ↔ C. Villegas
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
74'
C. Vergara ↔ M. Martinez
Alianza Valledupar
🟨
75'
Marcos Mina
America de Cali
🔄
84'
J. Castillo ↔ J. Viveros
Alianza Valledupar

America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.1%
Odds 1.34
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.96
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.1%
1.34
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.38
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.96
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.3%
1.40
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.95
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
America de Cali Win 79.1%
Draw 3.8%
Alianza Valledupar Win 17.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
America de Cali1.5
Alianza Valledupar0.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
America de Cali America de Cali
WWDLW
47 GF / 27 GA
Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar
WLDWL
19 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
0.73
0.84
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
12
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
9
4.82
Shots on Goal
2.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

America de Cali America de Cali 32 matches
Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 26 matches
America de Cali Statistic Alianza Valledupar
17 Wins 3
7 Draws 11
8 Losses 12
47 Goals For 19
27 Goals Against 40
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
0.84 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
12 BTTS Yes 13
21 Over 1.5 17
13 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 5
16 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 11
4.82 Shots On Goal 2.8
13.68 Total Shots 11.12
3.96 Corners 4.12
54.9% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by America de Cali's more proactive style and Alianza Valledupar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Alianza Valledupar. America de Cali arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 33 points compared to Alianza Valledupar in 17 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. America de Cali come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

America de Cali Analysis

America de Cali come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 33 points after 19 matches. The return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 25:15, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Yeison Guzmán (4 goals), Dany Rosero (3 goals), Kevin Angulo (2 goals), with creative support from Rafael Carrascal (3 assists), Luis Quiñones (2 assists), Tomás Ángel (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Alianza Valledupar Analysis

With 17 points from 19 games and a place of 17, Alianza Valledupar still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 13:27 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas (2 goals), Felipe Pardo (1 goals), Misael Martínez (1 goals), with creative support from Jhildrey Lasso (2 assists), Déinner Quiñones (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, America de Cali won 10 times, Alianza Valledupar won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:11 from America de Cali's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: America de Cali 4-2-3-1 / Alianza Valledupar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: America de Cali wins 10, draws 1, Alianza Valledupar wins 4

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
L W W W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
W L D D L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
W W D L D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
D L W D W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L W L L W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D L L W W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
L W W D W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
L L W D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W W D D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W W D D L
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W D L W W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D L D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D W D D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
W L L L L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
L D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L D D D W
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L W W L L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L W W D
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L L D L W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L D L W
Post season qualification