York
Match Timeline
Carlisle
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
York Win 0%
Draw 0%
Carlisle Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
York1.41
Carlisle1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
York
WWDLW
15 GF / 7 GA
Carlisle
WLDWL
21 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
2.1
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
0.7
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
York
8 matches
Carlisle
10 matches
| York | Statistic | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 7 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 1 | Losses | 1 |
| 15 | Goals For | 21 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 7 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.1 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.7 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, York won 3 times, Carlisle won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:3 from York's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.
H2H summary: York wins 3, draws 3, Carlisle wins 0
Lineups
York
Formation
Carlisle
H. Male
H. Boateng
A. Hunt
M. Kitching
C. Howe
M. Fagan-Walcott
O. Pearce
A. Newby
J. Grey
J. Felix
T. Sinclair
G. Breeze
A. Davies
S. Murray
J. Ellis
B. Mugabi
T. Thomas
H. Macadam
A. Gilliead
L. Armstrong
S. Wearne
R. Linney
York
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
H. Male
21
H. Boateng
🎯 44'
↓ 61'
8
A. Hunt
🟨 65'
3
M. Kitching
5
C. Howe
4
M. Fagan-Walcott
⚽ 4'
10
O. Pearce
⚽ 39'
⚽ 44'
🎯 4'
↓ 73'
30
A. Newby
⚽ 49'
↓ 80'
12
J. Grey
🎯 49'
↓ 73'
🟨 51'
23
J. Felix
7
T. Sinclair
↓ 61'
Substitutes
31
G. Sykes-Kenworthy
2
R. Fallowfield
↑ 73'
6
A. Palmer
9
J. Stones
⚽ 86'
↑ 73'
🟨 90+3'
14
B. Brookes
↑ 61'
🟨 70'
18
D. Batty
↑ 61'
28
O. Banks
↑ 80'
Carlisle
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Breeze
🟨 39'
2
A. Davies
15
S. Murray
↓ 65'
18
J. Ellis
↓ 56'
26
B. Mugabi
4
T. Thomas
🟨 29'
37
H. Macadam
20
A. Gilliead
🟨 60'
29
L. Armstrong
↓ 82'
16
S. Wearne
↓ 66'
10
R. Linney
↓ 66'
Substitutes
25
H. Lewis
5
M. Feeney
↑ 66'
🟨 90+2'
8
C. Whelan
↑ 66'
🟨 90+1'
9
G. Kelly
↑ 56'
11
J. Luamba
↑ 82'
21
J. Jones
↑ 65'
24
J. Grant
Last matches: York
15.08.26
Lea
York
Bristol Rovers
3
2
W
28.07.26
Fri
York
Peterborough
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
York
Al-Ettifaq
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
York
Sunderland
1
5
L
14.07.26
Fri
York
Pickering Town
2
4
L
11.07.26
Fri
York
Barnsley
2
1
W
25.04.26
Nat
York
Rochdale
1
1
D
18.04.26
Nat
York
Yeovil Town
3
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
York
Tamworth
1
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
York
Altrincham
2
1
W
03.04.26
Nat
York
Boston United
1
0
W
28.03.26
Nat
York
Woking
1
0
W
24.03.26
Nat
York
Gateshead
1
3
L
21.03.26
Nat
York
Brackley Town
4
0
W
14.03.26
Nat
York
Aldershot Town
3
0
W
07.03.26
Nat
York
Eastleigh
3
1
W
03.03.26
Nat
York
Boreham Wood
2
3
L
28.02.26
Nat
York
Morecambe
1
0
W
24.02.26
Nat
York
Scunthorpe
3
0
W
21.02.26
Nat
York
FC Halifax Town
4
1
W
Last matches: Carlisle
15.08.26
Nat
Carlisle
Yeovil Town
1
1
D
08.08.26
Nat
Carlisle
Worthing
2
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Carlisle
Derby County U21
3
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Salford City
0
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Darlington 1883
4
2
W
03.05.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Brackley Town
3
0
W
18.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Truro City
1
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Morecambe
2
2
D
03.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Gateshead
0
0
D
28.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Braintree
2
1
W
24.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
1
0
W
21.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boston United
6
2
W
14.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Tamworth
1
2
L
10.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
07.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Southend
2
2
D
28.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Eastleigh
2
1
W
25.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Hartlepool
1
3
L
21.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Yeovil Town
3
0
W
H2H: York vs Carlisle
21.01.26
H2H
Carlisle
York
0
3
W
23.09.25
H2H
York
Carlisle
5
0
W
23.01.16
H2H
Carlisle
York
1
1
D
19.09.15
H2H
York
Carlisle
2
2
D
14.03.15
H2H
York
Carlisle
0
0
D
28.12.14
H2H
Carlisle
York
0
3
W
Last matches: York
15.08.26
Lea
York
Bristol Rovers
3
2
W
28.07.26
Fri
York
Peterborough
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
York
Al-Ettifaq
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
York
Sunderland
1
5
L
11.07.26
Fri
York
Barnsley
2
1
W
18.04.26
Nat
York
Yeovil Town
3
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
York
Altrincham
2
1
W
28.03.26
Nat
York
Woking
1
0
W
21.03.26
Nat
York
Brackley Town
4
0
W
07.03.26
Nat
York
Eastleigh
3
1
W
21.02.26
Nat
York
FC Halifax Town
4
1
W
11.02.26
Nat
York
Hartlepool
3
2
W
07.02.26
Nat
York
Forest Green
2
1
W
24.01.26
Nat
York
Braintree
5
0
W
17.01.26
Nat
York
Southend
1
1
D
26.12.25
Nat
York
Boston United
2
2
D
20.12.25
Nat
York
Truro City
4
0
W
29.11.25
Nat
York
Aldershot Town
5
1
W
15.11.25
Nat
York
Morecambe
4
2
W
11.11.25
Nat
York
Rochdale
4
1
W
H2H at home: York
23.09.25
H2H
York
Carlisle
5
0
W
19.09.15
H2H
York
Carlisle
2
2
D
14.03.15
H2H
York
Carlisle
0
0
D
Last matches: Carlisle
15.08.26
Nat
Carlisle
Yeovil Town
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Carlisle
Derby County U21
3
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Darlington 1883
4
2
W
18.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Truro City
1
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Morecambe
2
2
D
28.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Braintree
2
1
W
24.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
1
0
W
14.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Tamworth
1
2
L
10.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
28.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Eastleigh
2
1
W
25.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Hartlepool
1
3
L
14.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Forest Green
3
1
W
07.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Rochdale
0
1
L
17.01.26
Nat
Carlisle
Solihull Moors
3
3
D
10.01.26
FA
Carlisle
Chatham Town
0
1
L
26.12.25
Nat
Carlisle
Gateshead
3
0
W
21.12.25
Nat
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
0
2
L
13.12.25
FA
Carlisle
Harborough Town
2
1
W
07.12.25
FA
Carlisle
Blackpool
1
4
L
22.11.25
Nat
Carlisle
Boston United
2
1
W
H2H away: Carlisle
23.09.25
H2H
York
Carlisle
5
0
L
19.09.15
H2H
York
Carlisle
2
2
D
14.03.15
H2H
York
Carlisle
0
0
D
Standings
Conference: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
York
Home
|
46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 73 | 108 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 47 | 106 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 |
Carlisle
Away
|
46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 36 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 37 | 90 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 15 | 82 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 36 | 81 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 30 | 81 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 3 | 70 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | -5 | 68 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 15 | 63 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | -8 | 62 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | -4 | 59 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | -10 | 57 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | -1 | 56 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | -7 | 56 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | -20 | 51 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | -23 | 50 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | -36 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | -20 | 47 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | -18 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | -35 | 42 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | -37 | 38 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | -38 | 36 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | -30 | 34 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation