Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
88.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
78.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Vitoria
Palmeiras
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vitoria
20 matches
Palmeiras
26 matches
| Vitoria | Statistic | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 16 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 3 |
| 22 | Goals For | 44 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.69 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.81 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.2 | Shots On Goal | 4.92 |
| 11 | Total Shots | 14.65 |
| 4.1 | Corners | 6.12 |
| 46% | Ball Possession | 53% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Palmeiras's more proactive style and Vitoria's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Palmeiras. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vitoria expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Palmeiras in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Palmeiras having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Palmeiras carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 44 points while Vitoria sit 11 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
So far, Vitoria have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 25 points from 18 matches. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 22:25 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Renê Sousa (5 goals), Renato Kayzer (4 goals), Erick (2 goals), with creative support from Erick (4 assists), Gabriel Baralhas (3 assists), Diego Tarzia (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 1 place with 44 points from 19 games, Palmeiras bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 13 wins, 5 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 33:14, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by José López (6 goals), Allan (4 goals), Ramón Sosa (3 goals), with creative support from Andreas Pereira (9 assists), José López (3 assists), Allan (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vitoria won 2 times, Palmeiras won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:31 from Vitoria's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Vitoria
3
5
4
8
3
3
Lineups
Vitoria
Botafogo
Vitoria
Flamengo
Vitoria
Remo
Vitoria
Botafogo
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
Santos
Vitoria
Internacional
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
Vitoria
Fluminense
Vitoria
Coritiba
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Corinthians
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Mirassol
Vitoria
Gremio
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
Bahia
Vitoria
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Internacional
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
Coritiba
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
Palmeiras
Junior
Palmeiras
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Remo
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Santos
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Palmeiras
Junior
Vitoria
Botafogo
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
Internacional
Vitoria
Coritiba
Vitoria
Corinthians
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Mirassol
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
Flamengo
Vitoria
Remo
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Coritiba
Palmeiras
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Remo
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Palmeiras
Junior
Palmeiras
Bahia
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
Internacional
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
Away
|
23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 2 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45:21 | 24 | 45 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36:29 | 7 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 |
Vitoria
Home
|
23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
| 13 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 23 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|