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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA B
16.10.2026 01:00
Estadio Centenario

Quindio vs Real Cartagena Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.20
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
62.1%
1.50 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.75 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.20 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Quindio Win 37.9%
Draw 19.5%
Real Cartagena Win 42.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Quindio1.09
Real Cartagena1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Quindio Quindio
WWDLW
34 GF / 25 GA
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena
WLDWL
55 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.57
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
13
BTTS Yes
21
12
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Quindio Quindio 33 matches
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena 35 matches
Quindio Statistic Real Cartagena
16 Wins 15
9 Draws 11
8 Losses 9
34 Goals For 55
25 Goals Against 41
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
0.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
13 BTTS Yes 21
16 Over 1.5 27
12 Over 2.5 18
3 Over 3.5 10
17 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Cartagena having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Real Cartagena.

Quindio Analysis

Quindio arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 57 points after 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 16 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses, while the 33:21 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Real Cartagena Analysis

Real Cartagena come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 55 points from 34 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 10 draws, and 9 losses, while the 53:39 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Quindio won 5 times, Real Cartagena won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:22 from Quindio's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.5%)
H2H summary: Quindio wins 5, draws 3, Real Cartagena wins 6

Standings

Primera B: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 2 1 29:13 16 38
W W W W W
2 15 10 2 3 27:15 12 32
W L W W W
3 15 9 4 2 20:10 10 31
W W L D W
4 15 9 2 4 24:14 10 29
W W L W W
5 15 7 5 3 23:15 8 26
L L W D W
6 15 6 5 4 16:14 2 23
W W D W L
7 15 6 2 7 21:20 1 20
W L W L W
8 15 5 5 5 15:14 1 20
L W W L D
9 15 4 7 4 13:14 -1 19
D D L W L
10 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
D L L D W
11 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
L W W L D
12 15 2 7 6 15:20 -5 13
L D D D D
13 15 2 7 6 14:19 -5 13
D L D L D
14 15 2 4 9 8:24 -16 10
D W L L L
15 15 1 6 8 12:23 -11 9
L L L D W
16 15 1 4 10 9:23 -14 7
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)