ITALY SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Referee: A. Zanotti
Venezia
Match Timeline
Palermo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Bartosz Bereszyński
Palermo
🟨
31'
Patryk Peda
Palermo
🔄
35'
B. Franjic ↔ A. Sidibe
Venezia
🔄
46'
P. Peda ↔ D. Veroli
Palermo
46'
I. Doumbia · Assist: J. Yeboah
Venezia
🔄
51'
A. Vasic ↔ D. Johnsen
Palermo
🔄
60'
J. Le Douaron ↔ J. Pohjanpalo
Palermo
🔄
61'
A. Palumbo ↔ C. Gomes
Palermo
🔄
72'
N. Pierozzi ↔ R. Modesto
Palermo
🟨
74'
Issa Doumbia
Venezia
🔄
76'
J. Yeboah ↔ M. Compagnon
Venezia
🔄
76'
L. Lauberbach ↔ A. Casas
Venezia
🟨
90+5'
Mattia Compagnon
Venezia
🔄
90'
I. Doumbia ↔ N. Lella
Venezia
🔄
90+1'
K. Perez ↔ A. Duncan
Venezia
90'
M. Compagnon · Assist: G. Busio
Venezia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
65%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Venezia Win 72.5%
Draw 0%
Palermo Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Venezia1.54
Palermo1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Venezia Venezia
WWDLW
80 GF / 36 GA
Palermo Palermo
WLDWL
62 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.59
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
22
BTTS Yes
17
24
Over 2.5
18
5.75
Shots on Goal
4.51

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Venezia Venezia 40 matches
Palermo Palermo 39 matches
Venezia Statistic Palermo
24 Wins 20
11 Draws 13
5 Losses 6
80 Goals For 62
36 Goals Against 33
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
22 BTTS Yes 17
35 Over 1.5 28
24 Over 2.5 18
14 Over 3.5 8
17 Clean Sheets 18
5 Failed To Score 8
5.75 Shots On Goal 4.51
16.85 Total Shots 14.08
4.63 Corners 5.26
63.3% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Venezia expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Palermo in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Palermo having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Palermo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Venezia Analysis

Venezia come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 79 points after 37 matches. The return of 23 wins, 10 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 75:31, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Adorante (17 goals), John Yeboah (10 goals), Gianluca Busio (7 goals), with creative support from John Yeboah (8 assists), Kike Pérez (7 assists), Issa Doumbia (5 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 16 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Palermo Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 72 points from 37 games, Palermo bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 20 wins, 12 draws, and 5 losses, with a 61:31 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on J. Pohjanpalo (24 goals), Filippo Ranocchia (6 goals), J. Le Douaron (5 goals), with creative support from A. Palumbo (10 assists), J. Pohjanpalo (7 assists), J. Le Douaron (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Venezia won 7 times, Palermo won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:10 from Venezia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Venezia 3-5-2 / Palermo 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Venezia wins 7, draws 5, Palermo wins 2

Standings

Serie B: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 10 4 77:31 46 82
W D W W D
2 38 23 12 3 76:34 42 81
W W W W D
3 38 22 10 6 61:32 29 76
D L W W W
4 38 20 12 6 61:33 28 72
L W D W D
5 38 15 14 9 62:51 11 59
L L W D D
6 38 15 10 13 49:36 13 55
L W L L D
7 38 11 18 9 44:45 -1 51
D L D D W
8 38 13 10 15 43:55 -12 49
W L W W D
9 38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
L W W L W
10 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
W W L W W
11 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
L D D L L
12 38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
L D L D L
13 38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
L W D L W
14 38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
W L W D D
15 38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
D W L D L
16 38 8 17 13 38:48 -10 41
D L L L D
17 38 10 10 18 38:60 -22 40
W W L L L
18 38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
W L D L W
19 38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35
D D L W L
20 38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
D L D D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation