Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
71.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.3%
|
- |
Union Berlin
VfL Wolfsburg
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Union Berlin
29 matches
VfL Wolfsburg
29 matches
| Union Berlin | Statistic | VfL Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 5 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 13 | Losses | 18 |
| 33 | Goals For | 39 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 65 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.34 |
| 1.72 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.24 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.59 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 12 | Total Shots | 11.69 |
| 4.86 | Corners | 4.03 |
| 38.8% | Ball Possession | 45.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. VfL Wolfsburg seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Union Berlin expected to line up in 5-3-2 and VfL Wolfsburg in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward VfL Wolfsburg having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors VfL Wolfsburg. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Union Berlin approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 32 points from 29 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 33:50, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through I. Ansah (5 goals), Rani Khedira (5 goals), D. Doekhi (4 goals), with creative support from A. Ilic (7 assists), I. Ansah (2 assists), Derrick Köhn (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with M. Raab, R. Skov, D. Preu unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
VfL Wolfsburg approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 21 points from 29 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 18 defeats with a 39:65 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Amoura (8 goals), Dženan Pejčinović (6 goals), C. Eriksen (3 goals), with creative support from C. Eriksen (6 assists), S. Kumbedi (5 assists), Maximilian Arnold (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with B. Dardai, Cleiton, K. Fischer unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Union Berlin won 5 times, VfL Wolfsburg won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:19 from Union Berlin's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Union Berlin
7
4
13
1
5
0
Lineups
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
1. FC Heidenheim
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin
Bayern München
Union Berlin
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
Werder Bremen
Union Berlin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
Hamburger SV
Union Berlin
Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin
1899 Hoffenheim
Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Erzgebirge Aue
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
VfL Wolfsburg
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Wolfsburg
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
Bayern München
VfL Wolfsburg
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfL Wolfsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
VfL Wolfsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen
VfL Wolfsburg
1899 Hoffenheim
VfL Wolfsburg
Hamburger SV
VfL Wolfsburg
VfB Stuttgart
VfL Wolfsburg
FC Augsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg
Borussia Dortmund
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Köln
VfL Wolfsburg
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
VfL Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
Bayern München
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin
Werder Bremen
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
1. FC Heidenheim
Union Berlin
Bayern München
Union Berlin
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Union Berlin
Hamburger SV
Union Berlin
1899 Hoffenheim
Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
VfL Wolfsburg
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg
1899 Hoffenheim
VfL Wolfsburg
VfB Stuttgart
VfL Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Köln
VfL Wolfsburg
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
Bayern München
VfL Wolfsburg
Estrela
VfL Wolfsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfL Wolfsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
VfL Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen
VfL Wolfsburg
Hamburger SV
VfL Wolfsburg
FC Augsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
Borussia Dortmund
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 86 | 89 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 36 | 73 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 65 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 22 | 62 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 13 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 21 | 59 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | -6 | 47 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | -16 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | -9 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 |
Union Berlin
Home
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | -14 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 32 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 |
VfL Wolfsburg
Away
|
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | -24 | 29 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | -31 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
D
|