Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
76.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
76.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.5%
|
- |
Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toronto FC
14 matches
Atlanta United FC
13 matches
| Toronto FC | Statistic | Atlanta United FC |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 3 |
| 5 | Draws | 3 |
| 3 | Losses | 7 |
| 26 | Goals For | 15 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.86 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.46 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 5.33 | Shots On Goal | 4.33 |
| 12.11 | Total Shots | 12.33 |
| 5.78 | Corners | 4.89 |
| 47.4% | Ball Possession | 54.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Toronto FC appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Atlanta United FC. Toronto FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 13 points compared to Atlanta United FC in 15 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Toronto FC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atlanta United FC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atlanta United FC having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Atlanta United FC. Atlanta United FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
So far, Toronto FC have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 13 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Salloi (3 goals), J. Sargent (2 goals), K. Franklin (2 goals), with creative support from D. Salloi (2 assists), D. Mihailovic (2 assists), A. Coello (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with B. Kuscevic, T. Corbeanu, N. Gomis unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Atlanta United FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 4 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 6:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Miranchuk (4 goals), Emmanuel Latte Lath (1 goals), F. Picault (1 goals), with creative support from M. Almiron (3 assists), Emmanuel Latte Lath (1 assists), E. Baez (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without Sergio Santos, M. Almiron, S. Alzate, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toronto FC won 5 times, Atlanta United FC won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:20 from Toronto FC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Toronto FC
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2
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3
4
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