ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
Referee: Guillermo Enrique Guerrero Alcivar, Ecuador
LDU de Quito
Match Timeline
Emelec
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
J. Corozo · Assist: Y. Quinonez
LDU de Quito
🟨
16'
Stalin Valencia
Emelec
18'
L. Segovia · Assist: Deyverson
LDU de Quito
VAR
21'
Deyverson
LDU de Quito
🔄
36'
S. Valencia ↔ J. Ruiz
Emelec
🟥
45+6'
Janner Corozo
LDU de Quito
VAR
45+6'
Janner Corozo
LDU de Quito
🔄
46'
V. Griffith ↔ G. Napoli
Emelec
🔄
46'
L. Fragozo ↔ L. Klimowicz
Emelec
🔄
59'
A. Mina ↔ F. Pizzini
Emelec
🔄
69'
A. Alvarado ↔ F. Cornejo
LDU de Quito
🔄
69'
Deyverson ↔ M. Estrada
LDU de Quito
🟨
76'
Luis Gomez
Emelec
🔄
80'
L. Gomez ↔ R. Saya
Emelec
🔄
81'
J. Rodriguez ↔ S. Gonzalez Baquero
LDU de Quito
🔄
90+2'
J. Carabali ↔ R. Ade
LDU de Quito

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 73.9%
Odds 1.12
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.81
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
73.9%
1.12
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
1.81
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.2%
1.16
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-1
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
LDU de Quito Win 52.7%
Draw 21.2%
Emelec Win 26.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
LDU de Quito1.1
Emelec0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
WWDLW
38 GF / 29 GA
Emelec Emelec
WLDWL
21 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
0.84
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
12
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
5
3.36
Shots on Goal
3.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 36 matches
Emelec Emelec 25 matches
LDU de Quito Statistic Emelec
16 Wins 8
9 Draws 8
11 Losses 9
38 Goals For 21
29 Goals Against 29
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 0.84
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
12 BTTS Yes 10
21 Over 1.5 18
8 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
14 Clean Sheets 9
14 Failed To Score 9
3.36 Shots On Goal 3.24
13.21 Total Shots 10.28
4.94 Corners 4.28
46.4% Ball Possession 43.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between LDU de Quito's more proactive style and Emelec's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Emelec. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

LDU de Quito Analysis

LDU de Quito are currently 6 in the standings with 35 points from 24 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 23:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Michael Estrada (5 goals), Deyverson (4 goals), Rodney Redes (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (2 assists), Yerlin Quinonez (2 assists), Michael Estrada (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Emelec Analysis

Emelec are currently 13 in the standings with 29 points from 25 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, while the 21:29 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Luca Klimowicz (6 goals), Ignacio Guerrico (2 goals), Juan Ruiz Gómez (2 goals), with creative support from Francisco Pizzini (3 assists), Luis Fragozo (2 assists), Angelo Mina (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, LDU de Quito won 7 times, Emelec won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:14 from LDU de Quito's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.8%)
Predicted formations: LDU de Quito 4-2-3-1 / Emelec 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: LDU de Quito wins 7, draws 3, Emelec wins 5
Stats
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
Emelec Emelec
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
4
10 Corner Kicks 3
10 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 1
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 7
5 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 7
6 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
492 Total passes 325
428 Passes accurate 260
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

LDU de Quito
Formation
Emelec
A. Dominguez
A. Dominguez
I. Zambrano
I. Zambrano
G. F. Allala Menendez
G. F. Allala Menendez
L. Segovia
L. Segovia
J. Carabali
J. Carabali
J. Pretell
J. Pretell
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
J. Corozo
J. Corozo
A. Alvarado
A. Alvarado
Y. Quinonez
🎯
Y. Quinonez
Deyverson
🎯
Deyverson
E. Bores
E. Bores
L. Gomez
L. Gomez
F. Leon
F. Leon
A. Leguizamon
A. Leguizamon
S. Valencia
S. Valencia
I. Guerrico
I. Guerrico
A. Mina
A. Mina
J. Valverde
J. Valverde
V. Griffith
V. Griffith
R. Carrillo
R. Carrillo
L. Fragozo
L. Fragozo
LDU de Quito 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
A. Dominguez
G
26
I. Zambrano
D
30
G. F. Allala Menendez
D
44
L. Segovia
⚽ 18'
D
67
J. Carabali
↓ 90+2'
D
8
J. Pretell
M
31
J. Rodriguez
↓ 81'
M
13
J. Corozo
⚽ 2' 🟥 45+6'
M
10
A. Alvarado
↓ 69'
M
23
Y. Quinonez
🎯 2'
M
16
Deyverson
🎯 18' ↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
1
G. Valle
G
4
R. Ade
↑ 90+2'
D
28
J. W. Cuero Mercado
D
20
F. Cornejo
↑ 69'
M
15
G. Villamil
M
77
K. Velasco
27
R. Mina
99
C. Luna Tobar
M
5
S. Gonzalez Baquero
↑ 81'
M
25
P. Ortiz
32
A. Gomez
11
M. Estrada
↑ 69'
F
Emelec 4-3-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
90
E. Bores
G
13
L. Gomez
↓ 80' 🟨 76'
D
27
F. Leon
D
2
A. Leguizamon
D
51
S. Valencia
↓ 36'
3
I. Guerrico
D
5
A. Mina
↓ 59'
M
32
J. Valverde
M
6
V. Griffith
↓ 46'
M
9
R. Carrillo
F
15
L. Fragozo
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Valero
G
4
E. Segura
D
8
G. Napoli
↑ 46'
M
21
J. Cevallos
M
16
S. Quintero
M
26
I. Cuero
M
59
R. Saya
↑ 80'
F
7
L. Klimowicz
↑ 46'
F
10
F. Pizzini
↑ 59'
F
19
J. Ruiz
↑ 36'
F
30
A. Mina
D
24
A. Viteri
Last matches: LDU de Quito
29.08.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
1
2
L
20.08.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
0
0
D
17.08.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Aucas
1
0
W
13.08.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
1
1
D
08.08.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
04.08.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
2
1
W
27.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
23.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
1
1
D
18.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
15.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
12.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Libertad
0
0
D
05.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Macara
0
1
L
01.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
3
0
W
18.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
17.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
26.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
3
2
W
24.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
21.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
2
0
W
15.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
12.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
W
Last matches: Emelec
16.08.26
Lig
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
10.08.26
Lig
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
0
0
D
02.08.26
Lig
Emelec
Aucas
0
2
L
28.07.26
Lig
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
24.07.26
Lig
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
1
1
D
20.07.26
Lig
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
1
6
L
17.07.26
Lig
Emelec
Orense SC
2
0
W
12.07.26
Lig
Emelec
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
05.07.26
Lig
Emelec
Delfin SC
1
1
D
31.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Macara
2
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Manta FC
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Libertad
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Leones del Norte
0
2
L
25.04.26
Lig
Emelec
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
1
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Aucas
0
2
L
09.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
05.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
0
2
L
H2H: LDU de Quito vs Emelec
24.08.26
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
2
0
W
25.04.26
H2H
Emelec
LDU de Quito
1
0
L
04.12.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
0
1
L
18.11.25
H2H
Emelec
LDU de Quito
1
2
W
12.07.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
2
0
W
16.03.25
H2H
Emelec
LDU de Quito
1
0
L
03.11.24
H2H
Emelec
LDU de Quito
0
1
W
11.05.24
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
2
2
D
22.10.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
1
0
W
14.05.23
H2H
Emelec
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
14.08.22
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
2
0
W
02.04.22
H2H
Emelec
LDU de Quito
2
0
L
20.09.21
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
3
2
W
10.04.21
H2H
Emelec
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
19.11.20
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
1
2
L
Last matches: LDU de Quito
20.08.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
0
0
D
08.08.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
04.08.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
2
1
W
18.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
12.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Libertad
0
0
D
01.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
3
0
W
18.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
17.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
26.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
3
2
W
21.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
2
0
W
15.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Aucas
0
0
D
15.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
2
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Macara
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
4
2
W
H2H at home: LDU de Quito
24.08.26
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
2
0
W
04.12.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
0
1
L
12.07.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
2
0
W
11.05.24
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
2
2
D
22.10.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
1
0
W
14.08.22
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
2
0
W
20.09.21
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
3
2
W
19.11.20
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
1
2
L
Last matches: Emelec
10.08.26
Lig
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
0
0
D
28.07.26
Lig
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
20.07.26
Lig
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
1
6
L
17.07.26
Lig
Emelec
Orense SC
2
0
W
05.07.26
Lig
Emelec
Delfin SC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Manta FC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Leones del Norte
0
2
L
22.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Aucas
0
2
L
09.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
22.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
0
2
L
07.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
H2H away: Emelec
24.08.26
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
2
0
L
04.12.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
0
1
W
12.07.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
2
0
L
11.05.24
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
2
2
D
22.10.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
1
0
L
14.08.22
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
2
0
L
20.09.21
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
3
2
L
19.11.20
H2H
LDU de Quito
Emelec
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.94
Draw 3.94
Home 1.58
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.45
Draw 2.32
Home 2.11
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.0 1.53
Over 2.25 1.78
Over 2.5 2.04
Over 2.75 2.34
Over 3.0 2.87
Over 3.5 3.56
Over 4.5 6.86
Under 1.5 3.30
Under 2.0 2.53
Under 2.25 2.05
Under 2.5 1.81
Under 2.75 1.61
Under 3.0 1.42
Under 3.5 1.29
Under 4.5 1.10
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.25
Draw 3.70
Home 1.55
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.25
Home 2.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.50
Home 1.91
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.5 2.00
Over 3.5 3.50
Over 4.5 7.00
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 1.5 3.40
Under 2.5 1.80
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.86
Draw 3.82
Home 1.57
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.20
Draw 2.11
Home 2.11
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.40
Draw 2.53
Home 1.86
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.02
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.16
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 1.75 1.37
Over 2.0 1.49
Over 2.25 1.74
Over 2.5 1.97
Over 2.75 2.21
Over 3.0 2.71
Over 3.25 3.00
Over 3.5 3.31
Over 3.75 4.16
Over 4.0 5.72
Over 4.25 6.10
Over 4.5 6.45
Over 5.5 13.50
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 8.65
Under 0.75 8.00
Under 1.0 7.46
Under 1.25 4.22
Under 1.5 3.12
Under 1.75 2.79
Under 2.0 2.42
Under 2.25 2.01
Under 2.5 1.78
Under 2.75 1.58
Under 3.0 1.40
Under 3.25 1.31
Under 3.5 1.26
Under 3.75 1.16
Under 4.0 1.08
Under 4.25 1.06
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.40
Draw 3.75
Home 1.54
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.60
Draw 2.30
Home 2.08
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.60
Home 1.92
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.0 1.43
Over 2.5 1.88
Over 3.0 2.55
Over 3.25 2.88
Over 3.5 3.20
Over 4.0 5.25
Over 4.25 5.50
Over 4.5 5.80
Under 1.5 3.30
Under 2.0 2.55
Under 2.5 1.80
Under 3.0 1.42
Under 3.25 1.34
Under 3.5 1.29
Under 4.0 1.11
Under 4.25 1.10
Under 4.5 1.09

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 22 2 3 66:28 38 68
D W W W W
2 27 12 8 7 47:25 22 44
D W D L W
3 26 13 5 8 30:26 4 44
W L W W L
4 26 12 6 8 33:26 7 42
L D W W W
5 27 12 5 10 27:22 5 41
L W W L W
6 27 10 9 8 28:22 6 39
L W D L D
7 26 10 7 9 29:29 0 37
W D W W W
8 27 9 9 9 33:34 -1 36
W D D W W
9 27 9 9 9 27:30 -3 36
W W D D L
10 26 9 8 9 28:28 0 35
L W L D W
11 27 9 5 13 23:35 -12 32
L D L L L
12 26 8 6 12 30:39 -9 30
L W D L L
13 26 8 8 10 21:31 -10 29
L W D L L
14 27 9 2 16 26:38 -12 29
W L L L L
15 27 6 6 15 17:29 -12 24
L L L D L
16 27 5 5 17 14:37 -23 20
W L L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs