Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
73.9%
|
1.12 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
1.81 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
86.2%
|
1.16 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-1 |
-
|
7.00 |
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
LDU de Quito
36 matches
Emelec
25 matches
| LDU de Quito | Statistic | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 8 |
| 9 | Draws | 8 |
| 11 | Losses | 9 |
| 38 | Goals For | 21 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.84 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.36 | Shots On Goal | 3.24 |
| 13.21 | Total Shots | 10.28 |
| 4.94 | Corners | 4.28 |
| 46.4% | Ball Possession | 43.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between LDU de Quito's more proactive style and Emelec's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Emelec. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
LDU de Quito are currently 6 in the standings with 35 points from 24 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 23:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Michael Estrada (5 goals), Deyverson (4 goals), Rodney Redes (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (2 assists), Yerlin Quinonez (2 assists), Michael Estrada (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Emelec are currently 13 in the standings with 29 points from 25 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, while the 21:29 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Luca Klimowicz (6 goals), Ignacio Guerrico (2 goals), Juan Ruiz Gómez (2 goals), with creative support from Francisco Pizzini (3 assists), Luis Fragozo (2 assists), Angelo Mina (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, LDU de Quito won 7 times, Emelec won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:14 from LDU de Quito's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
LDU de Quito
5
2
4
7
5
4
Lineups
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Macara
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Macara
Emelec
Manta FC
Emelec
Libertad
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
LDU de Quito
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Macara
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Emelec
Manta FC
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 66:28 | 38 | 68 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 47:25 | 22 | 44 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 44 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 42 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
LDU de Quito
Home
|
27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 27:22 | 5 | 41 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 6 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 28:22 | 6 | 39 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 37 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 36 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 36 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 23:35 | -12 | 32 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 |
Emelec
Away
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21:31 | -10 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 14 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 17:29 | -12 | 24 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 14:37 | -23 | 20 |
W
L
L
W
L
|