ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
24.08.2026 00:30
Estadio Presidente Perón
Referee: N. Ramirez
Racing Club
Match Timeline
Boca Juniors
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
A. Costa
Boca Juniors
9'
M. Rojo
Racing Club
🟨
10'
M. Martinez
Racing Club
28'
Miguel Merentiel · Assist: L. Flores
Boca Juniors
🟨
41'
E. Cannavo
Racing Club
🔄
46'
A. Costa ↔ F. Herrera
Boca Juniors
🔄
55'
G. A. Lodico ↔ M. Zaracho
Racing Club
🔄
55'
E. Torres ↔ F. Fraga
Racing Club
🔄
55'
M. Delgado ↔ T. Belmonte
Boca Juniors
🔄
62'
L. Flores ↔ S. Villa
Boca Juniors
🔄
73'
M. Miljevic ↔ D. Vergara
Racing Club
🔄
73'
T. Conechny ↔ A. Campo
Racing Club
🟨
75'
T. Belmonte
Boca Juniors
🔄
76'
I. Rodriguez ↔ Pacha
Racing Club
🔄
77'
Miguel Merentiel ↔ E. Valencia
Boca Juniors
🔄
77'
C. Rey Domenech ↔ A. Velasco
Boca Juniors
🟨
79'
L. Perez
Racing Club

Racing Club vs Boca Juniors Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 42.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
42.5%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Racing Club Win 40.2%
Draw 17.4%
Boca Juniors Win 42.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Racing Club0.98
Boca Juniors1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Racing Club Racing Club
WWDLW
29 GF / 25 GA
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
WLDWL
42 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.27
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
13
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
11
3.39
Shots on Goal
4.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Racing Club Racing Club 26 matches
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 33 matches
Racing Club Statistic Boca Juniors
10 Wins 15
7 Draws 11
9 Losses 7
29 Goals For 42
25 Goals Against 25
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
13 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 22
11 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 3
10 Clean Sheets 15
7 Failed To Score 7
3.39 Shots On Goal 4.57
12.39 Total Shots 13.43
4.26 Corners 5.21
55.7% Ball Possession 57.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Boca Juniors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Racing Club expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Boca Juniors in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Boca Juniors having the stronger overall control. Racing Club have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Boca Juniors carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 30 points while Racing Club sit 8 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Racing Club Analysis

With 21 points from 16 games and a place of 8, Racing Club still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats with a 17:15 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Matías Zaracho (3 goals), Santiago Sosa (1 goals), Matko Miljevic (1 goals), with creative support from Santiago Solari (2 assists), Santiago Sosa (1 assists), Matko Miljevic (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Boca Juniors Analysis

Placed 2 with 30 points from 16 outings, Boca Juniors continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 22:9 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Milton Giménez (4 goals), Alan Velasco (3 goals), Adam Bareiro (3 goals), with creative support from Tomás Aranda (3 assists), Miguel Merentiel (2 assists), Exequiel Zeballos (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Racing Club won 6 times, Boca Juniors won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:13 from Racing Club's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
Predicted formations: Racing Club 4-3-1-2 / Boca Juniors 4-3-3
H2H summary: Racing Club wins 6, draws 7, Boca Juniors wins 2

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W D L W L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W D W L L
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
W D L W W
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
L D W W W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D L W W D
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
W L L W W
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
D D L W D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L D L L L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D L L L W
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
D W D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L W W W W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
L L W L D
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
D D W L D
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L L D L L
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
D D L L D
Knockout Phase