ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
The Lamb Ground
Tamworth
Match Timeline
Braintree
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
S. Mols · Assist: L. Fairlamb
Tamworth
22'
L. Walker · Assist: M. Dibley-Dias
Braintree
29'
D. Creaney
Tamworth
🟨
34'
S. Mols
Tamworth
47'
S. Mols
Tamworth
51'
C. Ansen
Tamworth
🔄
61'
G. Babic ↔ J. Vennings
Braintree
🔄
61'
T. Smith ↔ S. Kamara
Braintree
🔄
64'
J. Riley ↔ B. Milnes
Tamworth
🔄
64'
B. Acquaye ↔ R. Maher
Tamworth
🔄
70'
T. Kurtaran ↔ A. Bates
Tamworth
🔄
70'
D. Creaney ↔ T. Tonks
Tamworth
🔄
70'
A. Hadi ↔ J. Akinde
Braintree
🟨
79'
B. Drake
Braintree
🔄
81'
S. Mols ↔ T. McGlinchey
Tamworth
🔄
83'
M. Dibley-Dias ↔ E. Okunowo
Braintree
🔄
83'
B. Drake ↔ E. Thorpe
Braintree
83'
O. Lynch · Assist: L. Fairlamb
Tamworth

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 90.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
90.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Tamworth Win 90.7%
Draw 0%
Braintree Win 9.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tamworth1.38
Braintree1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tamworth Tamworth
WWDLW
61 GF / 73 GA
Braintree Braintree
WLDWL
41 GF / 78 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
0.85
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
32
BTTS Yes
23
24
Over 2.5
23
2
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tamworth Tamworth 50 matches
Braintree Braintree 48 matches
Tamworth Statistic Braintree
17 Wins 9
14 Draws 12
19 Losses 27
61 Goals For 41
73 Goals Against 78
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
32 BTTS Yes 23
37 Over 1.5 34
24 Over 2.5 23
14 Over 3.5 13
10 Clean Sheets 13
11 Failed To Score 19
2 Shots On Goal 3
14 Total Shots 10
5 Corners 4
28% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Braintree. Tamworth arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 59 points compared to Braintree in 23 on 36, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Braintree arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Braintree having the stronger overall control.

Tamworth Analysis

Tamworth are currently 11 in the standings with 59 points from 45 matches. Their overall return of 16 wins, 11 draws, and 18 losses with goals at 57:69 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by O. Lynch (11 goals), S. Mols (8 goals), I. Duku (7 goals), with creative support from T. Kurtaran (6 assists), S. Mols (4 assists), B. Enoru (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Braintree Analysis

Braintree sit 23 with 36 points after 45 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 12 draws, and 25 defeats, and the 36:69 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Walker (9 goals), T. Works (7 goals), J. Akinde (5 goals), with creative support from C. Cooper (6 assists), T. Works (3 assists), B. Drake (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Tamworth won 5 times, Braintree won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:15 from Tamworth's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Tamworth wins 5, draws 1, Braintree wins 4

Lineups

Tamworth
Formation
Braintree
J. Singh
J. Singh
M. Curley
M. Curley
J. Cullinane-Liburd
J. Cullinane-Liburd
K. Digie
K. Digie
L. Fairlamb
🎯
L. Fairlamb
S. Mols
⚽ 2
S. Mols
T. Kurtaran
T. Kurtaran
J. Riley
J. Riley
B. Acquaye
B. Acquaye
D. Creaney
D. Creaney
O. Lynch
O. Lynch
C. Ansen
C. Ansen
R. Battrum
R. Battrum
A. Francis-Clarke
A. Francis-Clarke
J. Clarridge
J. Clarridge
B. Drake
B. Drake
T. Smith
T. Smith
M. Dibley-Dias
🎯
M. Dibley-Dias
C. Cooper
C. Cooper
A. Hadi
A. Hadi
G. Babic
G. Babic
L. Walker
L. Walker
Tamworth 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Singh
2
M. Curley
18
J. Cullinane-Liburd
5
K. Digie
11
L. Fairlamb
🎯 7' 🎯 83'
14
S. Mols
⚽ 7' ⚽ 47' ↓ 81' 🟨 34'
42
T. Kurtaran
↓ 70'
16
J. Riley
↓ 64'
24
B. Acquaye
↓ 64'
39
D. Creaney
⚽ 29' ↓ 70'
27
O. Lynch
⚽ 83'
Substitutes
26
H. Hollis
8
B. Milnes
↑ 64'
6
A. Bates
↑ 70'
4
T. Tonks
↑ 70'
19
T. McGlinchey
↑ 81'
31
R. Maher
↑ 64'
45
R. Howley
Braintree 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
13
C. Ansen
⚽ 51'
8
R. Battrum
2
A. Francis-Clarke
32
J. Clarridge
21
B. Drake
↓ 83' 🟨 79'
15
T. Smith
↓ 61'
19
M. Dibley-Dias
🎯 22' ↓ 83'
11
C. Cooper
10
A. Hadi
↓ 70'
16
G. Babic
↓ 61'
9
L. Walker
⚽ 22'
Substitutes
5
M. Omrore
6
J. Vennings
↑ 61'
14
J. Akinde
↑ 70'
18
S. Kamara
↑ 61'
33
E. Okunowo
↑ 83'
39
E. Thorpe
↑ 83'
Last matches: Tamworth
18.04.26
Nat
Tamworth
Eastleigh
1
1
D
11.04.26
Nat
Tamworth
York
0
1
L
06.04.26
Nat
Tamworth
FC Halifax Town
2
2
D
03.04.26
Nat
Tamworth
Solihull Moors
1
0
W
28.03.26
Nat
Tamworth
Brackley Town
1
0
W
25.03.26
Nat
Tamworth
Forest Green
1
0
W
21.03.26
Nat
Tamworth
Rochdale
2
3
L
14.03.26
Nat
Tamworth
Carlisle
2
1
W
10.03.26
Nat
Tamworth
Wealdstone
2
3
L
07.03.26
Nat
Tamworth
Woking
1
3
L
03.03.26
Nat
Tamworth
Yeovil Town
0
2
L
28.02.26
Nat
Tamworth
Boreham Wood
3
2
W
24.02.26
Nat
Tamworth
Altrincham
5
1
W
21.02.26
Nat
Tamworth
Boston United
0
0
D
14.02.26
Nat
Tamworth
Aldershot Town
1
1
D
10.02.26
Nat
Tamworth
Morecambe
2
2
D
07.02.26
Nat
Tamworth
Hartlepool
1
1
D
31.01.26
FA
Tamworth
Marine
0
0
D
24.01.26
Nat
Tamworth
Sutton Utd
0
1
L
17.01.26
Nat
Tamworth
Truro City
0
0
D
Last matches: Braintree
18.04.26
Nat
Braintree
Rochdale
1
2
L
11.04.26
Nat
Braintree
Forest Green
1
3
L
06.04.26
Nat
Braintree
Woking
0
0
D
03.04.26
Nat
Braintree
Southend
2
3
L
28.03.26
Nat
Braintree
Carlisle
1
2
L
24.03.26
Nat
Braintree
Brackley Town
1
1
D
21.03.26
Nat
Braintree
Scunthorpe
2
3
L
14.03.26
Nat
Braintree
Morecambe
1
1
D
07.03.26
Nat
Braintree
Wealdstone
1
4
L
04.03.26
Nat
Braintree
Gateshead
0
1
L
28.02.26
Nat
Braintree
Truro City
3
2
W
25.02.26
Nat
Braintree
Aldershot Town
1
2
L
21.02.26
Nat
Braintree
Altrincham
1
2
L
14.02.26
Nat
Braintree
Solihull Moors
0
0
D
11.02.26
Nat
Braintree
Sutton Utd
1
1
D
31.01.26
Nat
Braintree
Eastleigh
2
1
W
24.01.26
Nat
Braintree
York
0
5
L
17.01.26
Nat
Braintree
Boreham Wood
0
3
L
10.01.26
Nat
Braintree
Boston United
0
0
D
03.01.26
Nat
Braintree
Yeovil Town
1
3
L
H2H: Tamworth vs Braintree
25.04.26
H2H
Tamworth
Braintree
5
1
W
02.09.25
H2H
Braintree
Tamworth
1
2
W
12.04.25
H2H
Tamworth
Braintree
4
2
W
21.09.24
H2H
Braintree
Tamworth
0
1
W
28.12.13
H2H
Braintree
Tamworth
2
0
L
02.11.13
H2H
Tamworth
Braintree
0
0
D
05.01.13
H2H
Tamworth
Braintree
1
4
L
01.09.12
H2H
Braintree
Tamworth
2
1
L
29.11.11
H2H
Tamworth
Braintree
1
0
W
27.09.11
H2H
Braintree
Tamworth
3
1
L
Last matches: Tamworth
11.04.26
Nat
Tamworth
York
0
1
L
03.04.26
Nat
Tamworth
Solihull Moors
1
0
W
25.03.26
Nat
Tamworth
Forest Green
1
0
W
14.03.26
Nat
Tamworth
Carlisle
2
1
W
28.02.26
Nat
Tamworth
Boreham Wood
3
2
W
24.02.26
Nat
Tamworth
Altrincham
5
1
W
14.02.26
Nat
Tamworth
Aldershot Town
1
1
D
07.02.26
Nat
Tamworth
Hartlepool
1
1
D
31.01.26
FA
Tamworth
Marine
0
0
D
24.01.26
Nat
Tamworth
Sutton Utd
0
1
L
13.01.26
FA
Tamworth
Rochdale
1
1
D
03.01.26
Nat
Tamworth
Gateshead
3
1
W
30.12.25
Nat
Tamworth
FC Halifax Town
0
2
L
20.12.25
Nat
Tamworth
Southend
2
1
W
13.12.25
FA
Tamworth
Boston United
1
1
D
22.11.25
Nat
Tamworth
Rochdale
1
2
L
08.11.25
Nat
Tamworth
Woking
0
1
L
03.11.25
FA
Tamworth
Leyton Orient
0
1
L
25.10.25
Nat
Tamworth
Boston United
1
3
L
11.10.25
FA
Tamworth
Hyde United
1
0
W
H2H at home: Tamworth
25.04.26
H2H
Tamworth
Braintree
5
1
W
12.04.25
H2H
Tamworth
Braintree
4
2
W
02.11.13
H2H
Tamworth
Braintree
0
0
D
05.01.13
H2H
Tamworth
Braintree
1
4
L
29.11.11
H2H
Tamworth
Braintree
1
0
W
Last matches: Braintree
11.04.26
Nat
Braintree
Forest Green
1
3
L
03.04.26
Nat
Braintree
Southend
2
3
L
24.03.26
Nat
Braintree
Brackley Town
1
1
D
14.03.26
Nat
Braintree
Morecambe
1
1
D
04.03.26
Nat
Braintree
Gateshead
0
1
L
28.02.26
Nat
Braintree
Truro City
3
2
W
21.02.26
Nat
Braintree
Altrincham
1
2
L
11.02.26
Nat
Braintree
Sutton Utd
1
1
D
24.01.26
Nat
Braintree
York
0
5
L
03.01.26
Nat
Braintree
Yeovil Town
1
3
L
30.12.25
Nat
Braintree
Woking
1
0
W
13.12.25
FA
Braintree
Ebbsfleet United
1
3
L
06.12.25
Nat
Braintree
FC Halifax Town
0
4
L
22.11.25
Nat
Braintree
Scunthorpe
1
1
D
08.11.25
Nat
Braintree
Wealdstone
0
1
L
01.11.25
FA
Braintree
Chelmsford City
1
4
L
18.10.25
Nat
Braintree
Solihull Moors
0
2
L
30.09.25
Nat
Braintree
Aldershot Town
1
1
D
24.09.25
Nat
Braintree
Boston United
0
2
L
20.09.25
Nat
Braintree
Eastleigh
3
1
W
H2H away: Braintree
25.04.26
H2H
Tamworth
Braintree
5
1
L
12.04.25
H2H
Tamworth
Braintree
4
2
L
02.11.13
H2H
Tamworth
Braintree
0
0
D
05.01.13
H2H
Tamworth
Braintree
1
4
W
29.11.11
H2H
Tamworth
Braintree
1
0
L

Standings

Conference: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 33 9 4 114:41 73 108
D W W W W
2 46 33 7 6 88:41 47 106
D W W D L
3 46 29 8 9 87:51 36 95
W W W D D
4 46 27 9 10 95:58 37 90
W W W L W
5 46 23 13 10 77:62 15 82
L D W L D
6 46 23 12 11 83:47 36 81
W L W W D
7 46 23 12 11 82:52 30 81
W L W D W
8 46 20 10 16 69:66 3 70
W L D D W
9 46 18 14 14 54:59 -5 68
L W W L D
10 46 16 15 15 69:54 15 63
L W D W D
11 46 17 11 18 63:71 -8 62
W D L D W
12 46 15 14 17 63:67 -4 59
W W D W D
13 46 17 6 23 55:65 -10 57
W W W L L
14 46 14 14 18 71:72 -1 56
W L D D W
15 46 15 11 20 67:74 -7 56
L D D L W
16 46 15 6 25 48:68 -20 51
L L D L W
17 46 13 11 22 57:80 -23 50
W D L W D
18 46 14 8 24 54:90 -36 50
L L W W D
19 46 11 14 21 59:79 -20 47
L L L L D
20 46 13 7 26 69:87 -18 46
L L L L L
21 46 10 12 24 40:75 -35 42
L W L D L
22 46 9 11 26 66:103 -37 38
L L L D W
23 46 8 12 26 38:76 -38 36
L L L D L
24 46 8 10 28 42:72 -30 34
W L L D L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation