PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio José Alvalade
Referee: L. M. Branco Godinho
Sporting CP
Match Timeline
GIL Vicente
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
E. Quaresma · Assist: Pote
Sporting CP
34'
L. Suarez
Sporting CP
🔄
46'
J. Fernandes ↔ A. Moreira
GIL Vicente
🟨
63'
Zé Carlos
GIL Vicente
🔄
73'
H. Morita ↔ D. Braganca
Sporting CP
🔄
73'
Pote ↔ Luis Guilherme
Sporting CP
🔄
73'
G. Catamo ↔ G. Quenda
Sporting CP
🔄
73'
Ze Carlos ↔ S. Hevertton
GIL Vicente
🔄
73'
G. Varela ↔ H. Hernandez
GIL Vicente
🔄
82'
Murilo de Souza ↔ Bermejo
GIL Vicente
🔄
82'
F. Caseres ↔ Ze Carlos
GIL Vicente
🔄
90'
G. Vagiannidis ↔ R. Mangas
Sporting CP
🔄
90'
Trincao ↔ S. Blopa
Sporting CP
90'
M. Hjulmand · Assist: G. Quenda
Sporting CP

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 9.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
9.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sporting CP Win 82.9%
Draw 0%
GIL Vicente Win 17.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting CP1.86
GIL Vicente1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting CP Sporting CP
WWDLW
108 GF / 39 GA
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
WLDWL
47 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
2.4
Average Goals Scored
1.42
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
26
BTTS Yes
16
32
Over 2.5
17
6.38
Shots on Goal
4.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting CP Sporting CP 45 matches
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 matches
Sporting CP Statistic GIL Vicente
30 Wins 13
9 Draws 11
6 Losses 9
108 Goals For 47
39 Goals Against 35
2.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
26 BTTS Yes 16
40 Over 1.5 25
32 Over 2.5 17
16 Over 3.5 9
17 Clean Sheets 12
3 Failed To Score 8
6.38 Shots On Goal 4.64
16.38 Total Shots 13.91
6.27 Corners 5.7
58.7% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sporting CP arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 79 points compared to GIL Vicente in 6 on 50, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring GIL Vicente. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sporting CP Analysis

Sporting CP arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 79 points after 33 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 24 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, while the 86:24 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Suarez (27 goals), P. Goncalves (13 goals), Trincao (7 goals), with creative support from Trincao (11 assists), P. Goncalves (7 assists), L. Suarez (6 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 12 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

GIL Vicente Analysis

So far, GIL Vicente have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 50 points from 33 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 11 draws, and 9 losses, while the 47:35 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Murilo de Souza (11 goals), Pablo (10 goals), G. Varela (6 goals), with creative support from L. Esteves (7 assists), Murilo de Souza (4 assists), G. Varela (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sporting CP won 12 times, GIL Vicente won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:8 from Sporting CP's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Sporting CP 4-2-3-1 / GIL Vicente 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sporting CP wins 12, draws 3, GIL Vicente wins 0
Stats
Sporting CP Sporting CP
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 1
13 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 7
5 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 3
4 Shots outsidebox 7
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
579 Total passes 355
525 Passes accurate 292
1.65 expected_goals 0.68
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sporting CP
Formation
GIL Vicente
R. Silva
R. Silva
G. Vagiannidis
G. Vagiannidis
E. Quaresma
E. Quaresma
G. Inacio
G. Inacio
M. Araujo
M. Araujo
M. Hjulmand
M. Hjulmand
H. Morita
H. Morita
G. Catamo
G. Catamo
Trincao
Trincao
Pote
🎯
Pote
L. Suarez
L. Suarez
Figueira Daniel
Figueira Daniel
Ze Carlos
Ze Carlos
M. Elimbi
M. Elimbi
J. Buatu
J. Buatu
G. Konan
G. Konan
F. Caseres
F. Caseres
L. Esteves
L. Esteves
Murilo de Souza
Murilo de Souza
S. Garcia
S. Garcia
J. Fernandes
J. Fernandes
G. Varela
G. Varela
Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
R. Silva
G
13
G. Vagiannidis
↓ 90'
D
72
E. Quaresma
⚽ 15'
D
25
G. Inacio
D
20
M. Araujo
D
42
M. Hjulmand
⚽ 90'
M
5
H. Morita
↓ 73'
M
10
G. Catamo
↓ 73'
M
17
Trincao
↓ 90'
M
8
Pote
🎯 15' ↓ 73'
M
97
L. Suarez
⚽ 34'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Virginia
G
14
G. Kochorashvili
M
23
D. Braganca
↑ 73'
M
90
R. Nel
F
31
Luis Guilherme
↑ 73'
F
73
E. Felicissimo
M
91
R. Mangas
↑ 90'
D
7
G. Quenda
🎯 90' ↑ 73'
M
70
S. Blopa
↑ 90'
D
GIL Vicente 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
99
Figueira Daniel
G
2
Ze Carlos
↓ 73' 🟨 63'
D
4
M. Elimbi
D
39
J. Buatu
D
3
G. Konan
D
5
F. Caseres
↓ 82'
M
10
L. Esteves
M
77
Murilo de Souza
↓ 82'
M
95
S. Garcia
M
11
J. Fernandes
↓ 46'
M
89
G. Varela
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
30
Lucao
G
17
Bermejo
↑ 82'
F
20
S. Hevertton
↑ 73'
D
6
Ze Carlos
↑ 82'
M
48
A. Espigares
D
27
A. Moreira
↑ 46'
F
23
H. Hernandez
↑ 73'
F
32
M. Fernandez
M
29
Carlos Eduardo
F
Last matches: Sporting CP
11.05.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
4
1
W
04.05.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Guimaraes
5
1
W
29.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Tondela
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
AVS
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Benfica
1
2
L
15.04.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Arsenal
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Estrela
1
0
W
07.04.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Arsenal
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
4
2
W
22.03.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Alverca
4
1
W
17.03.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
5
0
W
11.03.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
07.03.26
Pri
Sporting CP
SC Braga
2
2
D
27.02.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Estoril
3
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Moreirense
3
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Famalicao
1
0
W
09.02.26
Pri
Sporting CP
FC Porto
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Nacional
2
1
W
28.01.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Athletic Club
3
2
W
24.01.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Arouca
2
1
W
Last matches: GIL Vicente
11.05.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Arouca
1
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
0
0
D
27.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Guimaraes
0
1
L
13.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Tondela
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
AVS
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Santa Clara
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Alverca
2
2
D
08.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Estrela
2
2
D
02.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Benfica
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Estoril
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
SC Braga
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Famalicao
5
0
W
26.01.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
FC Porto
0
3
L
17.01.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Nacional
2
1
W
02.01.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
1
1
D
28.12.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Arouca
2
2
D
20.12.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
2
2
D
13.12.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
1
1
D
H2H: Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente
16.05.26
H2H
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
3
0
W
02.01.26
H2H
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
1
1
D
04.05.25
H2H
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
2
1
W
27.02.25
H2H
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
0
1
W
22.12.24
H2H
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
0
0
D
12.04.24
H2H
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
0
4
W
04.12.23
H2H
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
05.04.23
H2H
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
0
0
D
30.09.22
H2H
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
01.05.22
H2H
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
4
1
W
18.12.21
H2H
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
0
3
W
09.02.21
H2H
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
1
2
W
28.10.20
H2H
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
01.07.20
H2H
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
2
1
W
04.12.19
H2H
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
0
2
W
Last matches: Sporting CP
04.05.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Guimaraes
5
1
W
29.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Tondela
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Benfica
1
2
L
07.04.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Arsenal
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
4
2
W
17.03.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
5
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Estoril
3
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Famalicao
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Nacional
2
1
W
20.01.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
2
1
W
16.01.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
3
0
W
28.12.25
Pri
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
4
0
W
13.12.25
Pri
Sporting CP
AVS
6
0
W
30.11.25
Pri
Sporting CP
Estrela
4
0
W
26.11.25
UEF
Sporting CP
Club Brugge KV
3
0
W
31.10.25
Pri
Sporting CP
Alverca
2
0
W
22.10.25
UEF
Sporting CP
Marseille
2
1
W
05.10.25
Pri
Sporting CP
SC Braga
1
1
D
22.09.25
Pri
Sporting CP
Moreirense
3
0
W
18.09.25
UEF
Sporting CP
Kairat Almaty
4
1
W
H2H at home: Sporting CP
16.05.26
H2H
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
3
0
W
04.05.25
H2H
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
2
1
W
04.12.23
H2H
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
30.09.22
H2H
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
01.05.22
H2H
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
4
1
W
28.10.20
H2H
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
01.07.20
H2H
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
2
1
W
Last matches: GIL Vicente
03.05.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
0
0
D
13.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Tondela
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Santa Clara
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Estrela
2
2
D
22.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Estoril
1
3
L
07.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
2
1
W
26.01.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
FC Porto
0
3
L
28.12.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Arouca
2
2
D
13.12.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
1
1
D
08.12.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Guimaraes
0
0
D
09.11.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
AVS
1
1
D
24.10.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Alverca
4
0
W
26.09.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Benfica
1
2
L
14.09.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
SC Braga
1
0
W
24.08.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Famalicao
0
0
D
09.08.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Nacional
2
0
W
H2H away: GIL Vicente
16.05.26
H2H
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
3
0
L
04.05.25
H2H
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
2
1
L
04.12.23
H2H
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
3
1
L
30.09.22
H2H
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
3
1
L
01.05.22
H2H
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
4
1
L
28.10.20
H2H
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
3
1
L
01.07.20
H2H
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
2
1
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D