Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Sporting CP Win 0%
Draw 0%
Arouca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting CP2.49
Arouca1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting CP
WWDLW
22 GF / 6 GA
Arouca
WLDWL
8 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
3.67
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
4
BTTS Yes
1
5
Over 2.5
3
5.5
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sporting CP
6 matches
Arouca
7 matches
| Sporting CP | Statistic | Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 3 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 0 | Losses | 2 |
| 22 | Goals For | 8 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 3.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.14 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.5 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 9 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 3.5 |
| 56% | Ball Possession | 46.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sporting CP won 12 times, Arouca won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:10 from Sporting CP's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Sporting CP 4-2-3-1 / Arouca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sporting CP wins 12, draws 2, Arouca wins 1
Last matches: Sporting CP
14.08.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Vitória SC
3
2
W
08.08.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Estrela
2
2
D
31.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Nottingham Forest
4
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Monaco
2
0
W
20.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Strasbourg
7
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Celtic
4
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
3
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
4
1
W
04.05.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Vitória SC
5
1
W
29.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Tondela
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
AVS
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Benfica
1
2
L
15.04.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Arsenal
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Estrela
1
0
W
07.04.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Arsenal
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
4
2
W
22.03.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Alverca
4
1
W
17.03.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
5
0
W
11.03.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
07.03.26
Pri
Sporting CP
SC Braga
2
2
D
Last matches: Arouca
16.08.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
4
0
W
08.08.26
Pri
Arouca
Vitória SC
1
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Arouca
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Feirense
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Rio Ave
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
1
2
L
06.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Nacional
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Casa Pia
2
3
L
H2H: Sporting CP vs Arouca
24.01.26
H2H
Arouca
Sporting CP
1
2
W
17.08.25
H2H
Sporting CP
Arouca
6
0
W
15.02.25
H2H
Sporting CP
Arouca
2
2
D
13.09.24
H2H
Arouca
Sporting CP
0
3
W
10.03.24
H2H
Arouca
Sporting CP
0
3
W
08.10.23
H2H
Sporting CP
Arouca
2
1
W
16.04.23
H2H
Sporting CP
Arouca
1
1
D
24.01.23
H2H
Arouca
Sporting CP
1
2
W
29.10.22
H2H
Arouca
Sporting CP
1
0
L
05.03.22
H2H
Sporting CP
Arouca
2
0
W
02.10.21
H2H
Arouca
Sporting CP
1
2
W
02.04.17
H2H
Arouca
Sporting CP
1
2
W
06.11.16
H2H
Sporting CP
Arouca
3
0
W
19.03.16
H2H
Sporting CP
Arouca
5
1
W
08.11.15
H2H
Arouca
Sporting CP
0
1
W
Last matches: Sporting CP
14.08.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Vitória SC
3
2
W
31.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Nottingham Forest
4
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Monaco
2
0
W
20.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Strasbourg
7
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Celtic
4
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
3
0
W
04.05.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Vitória SC
5
1
W
29.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Tondela
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Benfica
1
2
L
07.04.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Arsenal
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
4
2
W
17.03.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
5
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Estoril
3
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Famalicao
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Nacional
2
1
W
20.01.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
2
1
W
16.01.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
3
0
W
28.12.25
Pri
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
4
0
W
13.12.25
Pri
Sporting CP
AVS
6
0
W
30.11.25
Pri
Sporting CP
Estrela
4
0
W
H2H at home: Sporting CP
17.08.25
H2H
Sporting CP
Arouca
6
0
W
15.02.25
H2H
Sporting CP
Arouca
2
2
D
08.10.23
H2H
Sporting CP
Arouca
2
1
W
16.04.23
H2H
Sporting CP
Arouca
1
1
D
05.03.22
H2H
Sporting CP
Arouca
2
0
W
06.11.16
H2H
Sporting CP
Arouca
3
0
W
19.03.16
H2H
Sporting CP
Arouca
5
1
W
Last matches: Arouca
08.08.26
Pri
Arouca
Vitória SC
1
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Arouca
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Feirense
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Rio Ave
1
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Casa Pia
2
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Rio Ave
3
0
W
17.01.26
Pri
Arouca
AVS
1
0
W
03.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
1
3
L
21.12.25
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pri
Arouca
Estrela
1
3
L
07.11.25
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
4
L
25.10.25
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
0
5
L
H2H away: Arouca
17.08.25
H2H
Sporting CP
Arouca
6
0
L
15.02.25
H2H
Sporting CP
Arouca
2
2
D
08.10.23
H2H
Sporting CP
Arouca
2
1
L
16.04.23
H2H
Sporting CP
Arouca
1
1
D
05.03.22
H2H
Sporting CP
Arouca
2
0
L
06.11.16
H2H
Sporting CP
Arouca
3
0
L
19.03.16
H2H
Sporting CP
Arouca
5
1
L
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arouca
Away
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 7 |
Sporting CP
Home
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2