GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Europa-Park-Stadion
Referee: Bastian Dankert, Germany
SC Freiburg
Match Timeline
VfL Wolfsburg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
55'
K. Koulierakis · Assist: C. Eriksen
VfL Wolfsburg
🟨
57'
Matthias Ginter
SC Freiburg
🔄
58'
L. Holer ↔ I. Matanovic
SC Freiburg
🔄
58'
B. Ogbus ↔ P. Lienhart
SC Freiburg
🔄
71'
V. Grifo ↔ D. Scherhant
SC Freiburg
🔄
72'
C. Gunter ↔ L. Kubler
SC Freiburg
🔄
72'
Vini Souza ↔ M. Svanberg
VfL Wolfsburg
🔄
72'
P. Wimmer ↔ L. Majer
VfL Wolfsburg
75'
P. Lienhart · Assist: J. Manzambi
SC Freiburg
🟨
81'
Mattias Svanberg
VfL Wolfsburg
🔄
81'
Y. Suzuki ↔ N. Hofler
SC Freiburg
🔄
87'
A. Daghim ↔ M. Amoura
VfL Wolfsburg
🔄
90+7'
C. Eriksen ↔ Y. Gerhardt
VfL Wolfsburg
🔄
90+7'
K. Koulierakis ↔ M. Jenz
VfL Wolfsburg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
SC Freiburg Win 77.3%
Draw 0%
VfL Wolfsburg Win 22.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
SC Freiburg1.75
VfL Wolfsburg1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
WWDLW
66 GF / 61 GA
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
WLDWL
41 GF / 66 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
2.13
24
BTTS Yes
23
26
Over 2.5
21
4.48
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 44 matches
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 31 matches
SC Freiburg Statistic VfL Wolfsburg
20 Wins 6
9 Draws 7
15 Losses 18
66 Goals For 41
61 Goals Against 66
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 2.13
24 BTTS Yes 23
33 Over 1.5 25
26 Over 2.5 21
14 Over 3.5 14
11 Clean Sheets 2
12 Failed To Score 7
4.48 Shots On Goal 4
12.75 Total Shots 11.48
4.36 Corners 4.16
47.6% Ball Possession 45.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward VfL Wolfsburg. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. SC Freiburg arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 43 points compared to VfL Wolfsburg in 17 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SC Freiburg expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and VfL Wolfsburg in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward VfL Wolfsburg having the stronger overall control. VfL Wolfsburg arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

SC Freiburg Analysis

SC Freiburg sit 8 with 43 points after 31 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 7 draws, and 12 losses, while the 44:52 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Matanovic (8 goals), V. Grifo (7 goals), Johan Manzambi (5 goals), with creative support from Matthias Ginter (4 assists), V. Grifo (3 assists), Y. Suzuki (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

VfL Wolfsburg Analysis

With 25 points from 31 games and a place of 17, VfL Wolfsburg still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 18 defeats with a 41:66 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Amoura (8 goals), Dženan Pejčinović (7 goals), P. Wimmer (4 goals), with creative support from C. Eriksen (7 assists), S. Kumbedi (5 assists), Maximilian Arnold (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, SC Freiburg won 8 times, VfL Wolfsburg won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:25 from SC Freiburg's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1 / VfL Wolfsburg 3-4-2-1
Missing players: SC Freiburg 2, VfL Wolfsburg 7
H2H summary: SC Freiburg wins 8, draws 3, VfL Wolfsburg wins 4
Stats
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
1 Corner Kicks 7
5 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 1
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 7
3 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 6
3 Shots outsidebox 7
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
501 Total passes 287
422 Passes accurate 201
0.94 expected_goals 0.82
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

SC Freiburg
Formation
VfL Wolfsburg
N. Atubolu
N. Atubolu
P. Treu
P. Treu
M. Ginter
M. Ginter
B. Ogbus
B. Ogbus
C. Gunter
C. Gunter
M. Eggestein
M. Eggestein
J. Manzambi
🎯
J. Manzambi
J. Beste
J. Beste
Y. Suzuki
Y. Suzuki
V. Grifo
V. Grifo
L. Holer
L. Holer
K. Grabara
K. Grabara
J. Belocian
J. Belocian
D. Vavro
D. Vavro
K. Koulierakis
K. Koulierakis
S. Kumbedi
S. Kumbedi
P. Wimmer
P. Wimmer
Vini Souza
Vini Souza
C. Eriksen
🎯
C. Eriksen
J. Maehle
J. Maehle
A. Daghim
A. Daghim
D. Pejcinovic
D. Pejcinovic
SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
N. Atubolu
G
29
P. Treu
D
28
M. Ginter
🟨 57'
D
43
B. Ogbus
↓ 58'
D
30
C. Gunter
↓ 72'
D
8
M. Eggestein
M
44
J. Manzambi
🎯 75'
M
19
J. Beste
M
14
Y. Suzuki
↓ 81'
M
32
V. Grifo
↓ 71'
M
9
L. Holer
↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
21
F. Muller
G
27
N. Hofler
↑ 81'
M
17
L. Kubler
↑ 72'
D
26
M. Philipp
F
31
I. Matanovic
↑ 58'
F
33
J. Makengo
D
3
P. Lienhart
⚽ 75' ↑ 58'
D
7
D. Scherhant
↑ 71'
F
22
C. Irie
F
VfL Wolfsburg 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
K. Grabara
G
6
J. Belocian
D
3
D. Vavro
D
4
K. Koulierakis
⚽ 55' ↓ 90+7'
D
26
S. Kumbedi
M
39
P. Wimmer
↓ 72'
M
5
Vini Souza
↓ 72'
M
24
C. Eriksen
🎯 55' ↓ 90+7'
M
21
J. Maehle
M
11
A. Daghim
↓ 87'
F
17
D. Pejcinovic
F
Substitutes
12
P. Pervan
G
31
Y. Gerhardt
↑ 90+7'
M
32
M. Svanberg
↑ 72' 🟨 81'
M
15
M. Jenz
↑ 90+7'
D
10
L. Majer
↑ 72'
M
40
K. Paredes
M
9
M. Amoura
↑ 87'
F
25
A. Zehnter
D
7
K. Shiogai
F
Last matches: SC Freiburg
20.05.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
0
3
L
16.05.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
4
1
W
10.05.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Hamburger SV
2
3
L
07.05.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
SC Braga
3
1
W
30.04.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
SC Braga
1
2
L
26.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
0
4
L
19.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
1. FC Heidenheim
2
1
W
16.04.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo
3
1
W
12.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
FSV Mainz 05
1
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo
3
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Bayern München
2
3
L
22.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Genk
5
1
W
15.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
0
1
L
12.03.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Genk
0
1
L
07.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
3
3
D
01.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
2
L
22.02.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2
1
W
14.02.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
1899 Hoffenheim
0
3
L
07.02.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Werder Bremen
1
0
W
Last matches: VfL Wolfsburg
25.05.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
SC Paderborn 07
1
2
L
21.05.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
SC Paderborn 07
0
0
D
16.05.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli
3
1
W
09.05.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
Bayern München
0
1
L
25.04.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
0
D
18.04.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
Union Berlin
2
1
W
11.04.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
2
L
04.04.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
3
6
L
21.03.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen
0
1
L
14.03.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
1899 Hoffenheim
1
1
D
07.03.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
Hamburger SV
1
2
L
01.03.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
VfB Stuttgart
0
4
L
21.02.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
FC Augsburg
2
3
L
15.02.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig
2
2
D
07.02.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
Borussia Dortmund
1
2
L
30.01.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Köln
0
1
L
24.01.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
FSV Mainz 05
1
3
L
17.01.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
1
1
D
14.01.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
11.01.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
Bayern München
1
8
L
H2H: SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg
03.05.26
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
20.12.25
H2H
VfL Wolfsburg
SC Freiburg
3
4
W
26.04.25
H2H
VfL Wolfsburg
SC Freiburg
0
1
W
13.12.24
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
3
2
W
27.04.24
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
1
2
L
09.12.23
H2H
VfL Wolfsburg
SC Freiburg
0
1
W
22.07.23
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
2
3
L
19.05.23
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
2
0
W
21.01.23
H2H
VfL Wolfsburg
SC Freiburg
6
0
L
12.03.22
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
3
2
W
23.10.21
H2H
VfL Wolfsburg
SC Freiburg
0
2
W
31.01.21
H2H
VfL Wolfsburg
SC Freiburg
3
0
L
27.09.20
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
13.06.20
H2H
VfL Wolfsburg
SC Freiburg
2
2
D
07.12.19
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
1
0
W
Last matches: SC Freiburg
20.05.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
0
3
L
16.05.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
4
1
W
07.05.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
SC Braga
3
1
W
19.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
1. FC Heidenheim
2
1
W
09.04.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo
3
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Bayern München
2
3
L
19.03.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Genk
5
1
W
15.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
0
1
L
07.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
3
3
D
22.02.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2
1
W
07.02.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Werder Bremen
1
0
W
25.01.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
1. FC Köln
2
1
W
22.01.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1
0
W
10.01.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Hamburger SV
2
1
W
14.12.25
Bun
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
1
1
D
11.12.25
UEF
SC Freiburg
Red Bull Salzburg
1
0
W
30.11.25
Bun
SC Freiburg
FSV Mainz 05
4
0
W
09.11.25
Bun
SC Freiburg
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
23.10.25
UEF
SC Freiburg
Utrecht
2
0
W
19.10.25
Bun
SC Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
2
D
H2H at home: SC Freiburg
03.05.26
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
13.12.24
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
3
2
W
27.04.24
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
1
2
L
22.07.23
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
2
3
L
19.05.23
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
2
0
W
12.03.22
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
3
2
W
27.09.20
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
07.12.19
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
1
0
W
Last matches: VfL Wolfsburg
25.05.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
SC Paderborn 07
1
2
L
16.05.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli
3
1
W
18.04.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
Union Berlin
2
1
W
04.04.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
3
6
L
14.03.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
1899 Hoffenheim
1
1
D
01.03.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
VfB Stuttgart
0
4
L
15.02.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig
2
2
D
30.01.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Köln
0
1
L
24.01.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
FSV Mainz 05
1
3
L
11.01.26
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
Bayern München
1
8
L
06.01.26
Fri
VfL Wolfsburg
Estrela
1
1
D
13.12.25
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3
1
W
30.11.25
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
1
D
07.11.25
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen
1
2
L
25.10.25
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
Hamburger SV
1
0
W
04.10.25
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
FC Augsburg
1
3
L
21.09.25
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
Borussia Dortmund
0
1
L
23.08.25
Bun
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
3
1
W
H2H away: VfL Wolfsburg
03.05.26
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
13.12.24
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
3
2
L
27.04.24
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
1
2
W
22.07.23
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
2
3
W
19.05.23
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
2
0
L
12.03.22
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
3
2
L
27.09.20
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
07.12.19
H2H
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
1
0
L

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

SC Freiburg 2 missing
-
M. Rosenfelder
Questionable Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
P. Osterhage
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
VfL Wolfsburg 7 missing
-
B. Dardai
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Cleiton
Questionable Ankle Injury
OUT
-
K. Fischer
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
Rogerio
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
J. Seelt
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Wind
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
M. Arnold
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT