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BRAZIL › SERIE A
29.08.2026 23:00
MorumBIS
Referee: Anderson Daronco, Brazil
Sao Paulo
Match Timeline
RB Bragantino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Jonathan Calleri
Sao Paulo
VAR
8'
Luciano
Sao Paulo
🟨
13'
Isidro Pitta
RB Bragantino
⚽
14'
Luciano
Sao Paulo
⚽
45+4'
Gustavo Santana
Sao Paulo
🟨
45'
Agustin Sant Anna
RB Bragantino
🔄
46'
Vinicinho ↔ Fernando
RB Bragantino
🔄
46'
Eric Ramires ↔ Fabinho
RB Bragantino
🔄
55'
Gustavo Santana ↔ André Silva
Sao Paulo
🔄
68'
José Herrera ↔ Gustavo Neves
RB Bragantino
🔄
68'
Lucas Barbosa ↔ Henry Mosquera
RB Bragantino
🔄
71'
Luciano ↔ Lucas Ramon
Sao Paulo
🔄
71'
Aurélio Buta ↔ Pablo Maia
Sao Paulo
🔄
78'
Isidro Pitta ↔ Yuri Alves de Aquino
RB Bragantino
🟨
83'
Danielzinho
Sao Paulo
🟨
84'
André Silva
Sao Paulo
🔄
84'
Danielzinho ↔ Djhordney Ferreira
Sao Paulo
🔄
84'
Artur ↔ Ferreirinha
Sao Paulo
🟨
86'
Henry Mosquera
RB Bragantino
⚽
90'
Fernando · Assist: Henry Mosquera
RB Bragantino
🟨
90+5'
Juninho Capixaba
RB Bragantino
VAR
90'
Fernando
RB Bragantino

Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 69.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
69.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sao Paulo Win 30.7%
Draw 19.1%
RB Bragantino Win 50.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sao Paulo1.1
RB Bragantino1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
WWDLW
27 GF / 27 GA
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
WLDWL
30 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1
14
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
9
4.09
Shots on Goal
4.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 23 matches
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 24 matches
Sao Paulo Statistic RB Bragantino
7 Wins 11
6 Draws 5
10 Losses 8
27 Goals For 30
27 Goals Against 24
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1
14 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 18
9 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 6
4.09 Shots On Goal 4.83
12.78 Total Shots 16.3
6.22 Corners 5.57
55.1% Ball Possession 49.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward RB Bragantino. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Sao Paulo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sao Paulo Analysis

With 27 points from 22 games and a place of 13, Sao Paulo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats with a 27:26 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Luciano (5 goals), Jonathan Calleri (5 goals), Ferreirinha (4 goals), with creative support from Wendell (3 assists), Luciano (2 assists), Jonathan Calleri (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

RB Bragantino Analysis

From their first 22 matches, RB Bragantino have collected 32 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 27:23 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Isidro Pitta (6 goals), Lucas Barbosa (4 goals), Juninho Capixaba (2 goals), with creative support from Henry Mosquera (3 assists), Isidro Pitta (2 assists), Lucas Barbosa (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 6 times, RB Bragantino won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:17 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.9%)
Predicted formations: Sao Paulo 4-2-3-1 / RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Sao Paulo 6, RB Bragantino 4
H2H summary: Sao Paulo wins 6, draws 5, RB Bragantino wins 4

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 7 4 58:25 33 64
W D W W W
2 30 18 9 3 52:22 30 63
W W D W D
3 30 15 8 7 49:35 14 53
W D W D L
4 30 14 9 7 48:37 11 51
L W W L W
5 30 13 10 7 44:36 8 49
W L L W W
6 30 14 6 10 46:44 2 48
L W W L W
7 30 13 8 9 41:35 6 47
W D W D W
8 30 11 9 10 46:45 1 42
L D W W W
9 30 11 7 12 38:35 3 40
W D L L D
10 30 11 6 13 35:35 0 39
W L L W L
11 30 10 9 11 38:48 -10 39
D L L D L
12 30 10 6 14 33:44 -11 36
L W L D W
13 30 9 9 12 43:48 -5 36
D L L W D
14 29 9 8 12 36:42 -6 35
D W W W L
15 30 8 9 13 34:44 -10 33
L D W D W
16 30 8 8 14 31:38 -7 32
L L L L L
17 30 7 11 12 33:38 -5 32
D W L W L
18 30 7 10 13 32:40 -8 31
D D D L L
19 30 5 10 15 33:48 -15 25
D D L L L
20 29 3 9 17 30:61 -31 18
L L D L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B