BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
MorumBIS
Referee: Anderson Daronco, Brazil
Sao Paulo
Match Timeline
RB Bragantino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
Luciano
Sao Paulo
🟨
45'
A. Sant'Anna
RB Bragantino
45+4'
G. Santana
Sao Paulo
🔄
46'
Eric Ramires ↔ Fabinho
RB Bragantino
🔄
46'
Vinicinho ↔ Fernando Santos
RB Bragantino
🔄
55'
G. Santana ↔ Andre Silva
Sao Paulo
🔄
68'
Lucas Barbosa ↔ H. Mosquera
RB Bragantino
🔄
68'
J. Herrera ↔ Gustavo Neves
RB Bragantino
🔄
71'
Luciano ↔ Lucas Ramon
Sao Paulo
🔄
71'
Buta ↔ Pablo Maia
Sao Paulo
🔄
78'
I. Pitta ↔ Yuri Alves
RB Bragantino
🟨
83'
Pedro Henrique
RB Bragantino
🟨
84'
Andre Silva
Sao Paulo
🔄
84'
Danielzinho ↔ Djhordney
Sao Paulo
🔄
84'
Artur ↔ Ferreira
Sao Paulo
🟨
86'
H. Mosquera
RB Bragantino
90'
Fernando Santos · Assist: H. Mosquera
RB Bragantino
🟨
90+5'
Juninho Capixaba
RB Bragantino
🟨
90+6'
Jonathan Calleri
Sao Paulo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 69.3%
Odds 1.67
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds 1.95
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
69.3%
1.67
BTTS Yes
67.4%
1.95
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
1.68
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.12
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
5.00
Correct Score 1-1
-
6.00
Probability Distribution
Sao Paulo Win 30.7%
Draw 19.1%
RB Bragantino Win 50.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sao Paulo1.1
RB Bragantino1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
WWDLW
27 GF / 27 GA
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
WLDWL
30 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1
14
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
9
4.09
Shots on Goal
4.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 23 matches
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 24 matches
Sao Paulo Statistic RB Bragantino
7 Wins 11
6 Draws 5
10 Losses 8
27 Goals For 30
27 Goals Against 24
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1
14 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 18
9 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 6
4.09 Shots On Goal 4.83
12.78 Total Shots 16.22
6.22 Corners 5.57
55.1% Ball Possession 50.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward RB Bragantino. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Sao Paulo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sao Paulo Analysis

With 27 points from 22 games and a place of 13, Sao Paulo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats with a 27:26 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Luciano (5 goals), Jonathan Calleri (5 goals), Ferreirinha (4 goals), with creative support from Wendell (3 assists), Luciano (2 assists), Jonathan Calleri (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

RB Bragantino Analysis

From their first 22 matches, RB Bragantino have collected 32 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 27:23 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Isidro Pitta (6 goals), Lucas Barbosa (4 goals), Juninho Capixaba (2 goals), with creative support from Henry Mosquera (3 assists), Isidro Pitta (2 assists), Lucas Barbosa (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 5 times, RB Bragantino won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.9%)
Predicted formations: Sao Paulo 4-2-3-1 / RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Sao Paulo 6, RB Bragantino 4
H2H summary: Sao Paulo wins 5, draws 5, RB Bragantino wins 5
Stats
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
2
9 Corner Kicks 7
11 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 2
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 2
6 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
266 Total passes 454
189 Passes accurate 375
1.33 expected_goals 0.57
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sao Paulo
Formation
RB Bragantino
Rafael
Rafael
Domingos Duarte
Domingos Duarte
Robert Arboleda
Robert Arboleda
Sabino
Sabino
Aurélio Buta
Aurélio Buta
Danielzinho
Danielzinho
Marcos Antônio
Marcos Antônio
Iago Borduchi
Iago Borduchi
Artur
Artur
Gustavo Santana
Gustavo Santana
Luciano
Luciano
Tiago Volpi
Tiago Volpi
Agustin Sant Anna
Agustin Sant Anna
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique
Gustavo Marques
Gustavo Marques
Juninho Capixaba
Juninho Capixaba
Eric Ramires
Eric Ramires
Rodriguinho
Rodriguinho
José Herrera
José Herrera
Lucas Barbosa
Lucas Barbosa
Vinicinho
Vinicinho
Isidro Pitta
Isidro Pitta
Sao Paulo 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
23
Rafael
G
22
Domingos Duarte
D
5
Robert Arboleda
D
35
Sabino
D
20
Aurélio Buta
↓ 71'
M
94
Danielzinho
↓ 84'
M
8
Marcos Antônio
M
12
Iago Borduchi
M
37
Artur
↓ 84'
F
43
Gustavo Santana
⚽ 45+4' ↓ 55'
F
10
Luciano
⚽ 14' ↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
17
André Silva
↑ 55' 🟨 84'
F
31
Carlos Coronel
G
19
Lucas Ramon
D
54
Luis Osorio
D
18
Wendell
D
2
Rafael Tolói
D
29
Pablo Maia
↑ 71'
M
11
Ferreirinha
↑ 84'
F
34
Tetê
F
48
Djhordney Ferreira
↑ 84'
M
80
Cauly
M
9
Jonathan Calleri
🟨 90+6'
F
RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
18
Tiago Volpi
G
23
Agustin Sant Anna
🟨 45'
D
14
Pedro Henrique
D
16
Gustavo Marques
D
29
Juninho Capixaba
🟨 90+5'
D
7
Eric Ramires
↓ 46'
M
20
Rodriguinho
M
32
José Herrera
↓ 68'
M
21
Lucas Barbosa
↓ 68'
M
17
Vinicinho
↓ 46'
M
9
Isidro Pitta
↓ 78'
F
Substitutes
5
Fabinho
↑ 46'
M
11
Fernando
⚽ 90' ↑ 46'
F
1
Cleiton
G
51
Cauê Nascimento
D
4
Alix Vinicius
D
2
Guzmán Rodríguez
D
34
José Andrés Hurtado
D
6
Gabriel Girotto
M
41
Yuri Alves de Aquino
↑ 78'
M
22
Gustavo Neves
↑ 68'
M
30
Henry Mosquera
🎯 90' ↑ 68' 🟨 86'
F
35
Matheus Fernandes
M
Last matches: Sao Paulo
23.08.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
0
1
L
16.08.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
1
D
08.08.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
1
2
L
26.07.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
Last matches: RB Bragantino
23.08.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Gremio
1
0
W
15.08.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Corinthians
0
2
L
26.07.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Coritiba
0
0
D
17.07.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Fluminense
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Internacional
3
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
3
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Vitoria
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Santos
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Palmeiras
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Remo
4
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Mirassol
1
0
W
03.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Flamengo
3
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Botafogo
1
2
L
18.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Bahia
0
2
L
15.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
1
2
L
13.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Gremio
1
1
D
H2H: Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino
15.03.26
H2H
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
1
2
W
21.02.26
H2H
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
1
2
W
09.11.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
17.07.25
H2H
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
08.02.25
H2H
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
20.11.24
H2H
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
06.07.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
17.02.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
2
D
08.11.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
1
0
W
09.07.23
H2H
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
08.02.23
H2H
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
14.08.22
H2H
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
3
0
W
23.04.22
H2H
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
04.02.22
H2H
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
4
3
L
24.10.21
H2H
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
Last matches: Sao Paulo
16.08.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
12.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
H2H at home: Sao Paulo
09.11.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
06.07.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
17.02.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
2
D
08.11.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
1
0
W
14.08.22
H2H
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
3
0
W
Last matches: RB Bragantino
15.08.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Fluminense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
3
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Santos
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Mirassol
1
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Bahia
0
2
L
13.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Gremio
1
1
D
12.02.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Corinthians
0
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Coritiba
1
0
W
H2H away: RB Bragantino
09.11.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
0
1
W
06.07.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
0
L
17.02.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
2
D
08.11.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
1
0
L
14.08.22
H2H
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
3
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.24
Draw 3.18
Home 2.35
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.98
Draw 2.12
Home 3.01
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.38
Over 1.75 1.48
Over 2.0 1.65
Over 2.25 1.94
Over 2.5 2.22
Over 2.75 2.59
Over 3.5 4.00
Under 1.5 3.04
Under 1.75 2.67
Under 2.0 2.28
Under 2.25 1.89
Under 2.5 1.68
Under 2.75 1.51
Under 3.5 1.25
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 3.30
Home 2.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.10
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.30
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 2.5 2.15
Over 3.5 4.00
Over 4.5 8.00
Over 5.5 19.00
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 8.00
Under 1.5 3.00
Under 2.5 1.67
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.24
Draw 3.25
Home 2.35
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.86
Draw 1.97
Home 2.95
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.45
Draw 2.31
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 0.75 1.03
Over 1.0 1.05
Over 1.25 1.18
Over 1.5 1.32
Over 1.75 1.43
Over 2.0 1.57
Over 2.25 1.92
Over 2.5 2.20
Over 2.75 2.43
Over 3.0 3.12
Over 3.25 3.42
Over 3.5 3.80
Over 3.75 4.80
Over 4.0 7.00
Over 4.25 7.40
Over 4.5 7.90
Over 5.5 14.50
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 8.10
Under 0.75 7.39
Under 1.0 6.65
Under 1.25 3.86
Under 1.5 2.89
Under 1.75 2.56
Under 2.0 2.20
Under 2.25 1.92
Under 2.5 1.70
Under 2.75 1.48
Under 3.0 1.30
Under 3.25 1.23
Under 3.5 1.19
Under 3.75 1.12
Under 4.0 1.04
Under 4.25 1.03
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 3.20
Home 2.23
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.85
Draw 2.06
Home 2.88
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.35
Draw 2.45
Home 2.55
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.35
Over 1.75 1.45
Over 2.0 1.58
Over 2.25 1.86
Over 2.5 2.12
Over 2.75 2.50
Over 3.0 3.15
Over 3.25 3.50
Over 3.5 3.90
Over 4.5 8.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.5 3.10
Under 1.75 2.70
Under 2.0 2.33
Under 2.25 1.92
Under 2.5 1.70
Under 2.75 1.53
Under 3.0 1.36
Under 3.25 1.30
Under 3.5 1.24
Under 4.5 1.06

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 15 6 3 44:20 24 51
W L D W L
2 23 13 6 4 45:21 24 45
L W W D D
3 24 13 5 6 34:22 12 44
W D W D W
4 24 11 8 5 36:29 7 41
W W D D D
5 24 11 6 7 34:33 1 39
W W W W L
6 24 9 10 5 34:28 6 37
W D D D D
7 23 10 5 8 28:23 5 35
W D L D D
8 24 9 7 8 30:31 -1 34
W D W L D
9 23 9 6 8 30:27 3 33
D W D W D
10 24 8 8 8 26:24 2 32
L L W D D
11 23 8 6 9 37:37 0 30
L L D W D
12 24 8 5 11 23:35 -12 29
L W L L L
13 23 7 6 10 27:27 0 27
L D L D L
14 23 6 8 9 33:36 -3 26
D W L D L
15 23 6 7 10 24:31 -7 25
L L W D L
16 24 5 10 9 24:28 -4 25
D D D D L
17 23 6 6 11 26:36 -10 24
D L L W D
18 24 5 8 11 28:39 -11 23
L D D L W
19 23 5 7 11 24:38 -14 22
L L D D L
20 23 2 8 13 24:46 -22 14
W D L D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Sao Paulo 6 missing
-
R. Toloi
Questionable Muscle Injury
OUT
-
D. Bobadilla
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Jonathan Calleri
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
Lucas Moura
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
Lucca Marques
Missing Fixture Jaw injury
OUT
-
Victor Sa
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
RB Bragantino 4 missing
-
Vanderlan
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Davi Gomes
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Eduardo Sasha
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
Fernando Santos
Questionable Illness
OUT