Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
74.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
81%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Santa Fe
Fortaleza FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Santa Fe
36 matches
Fortaleza FC
26 matches
| Santa Fe | Statistic | Fortaleza FC |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 6 |
| 16 | Draws | 10 |
| 8 | Losses | 10 |
| 52 | Goals For | 28 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.46 | Shots On Goal | 3.69 |
| 12.14 | Total Shots | 11.42 |
| 4.51 | Corners | 4.12 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 53.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Santa Fe's more proactive style and Fortaleza FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Santa Fe expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and Fortaleza FC in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortaleza FC having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Fortaleza FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Santa Fe arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 29 points compared to Fortaleza FC in 15 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
From their first 19 matches, Santa Fe have collected 29 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, while the 29:22 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Franco Fagúndez (1 goals), Nahuel Bustos (1 goals), Hugo Rodallega (1 goals), with creative support from Franco Fagúndez (1 assists), Nahuel Bustos (1 assists), Maximiliano Lovera (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Fortaleza FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 22 points from 19 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats with a 22:27 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Richardson Rivas (2 goals), Joan Cajares (1 goals), J. Solís (1 goals), with creative support from Yesid Díaz (1 assists), Santiago Vivas (1 assists), Andres Copete (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Santa Fe won 6 times, Fortaleza FC won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:6 from Santa Fe's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Santa Fe
Home
|
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 |
Fortaleza FC
Away
|
19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
D
L
D
L
W
|