Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
90%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
21.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
RB Leipzig
32 matches
FC St. Pauli
32 matches
| RB Leipzig | Statistic | FC St. Pauli |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 8 |
| 8 | Losses | 18 |
| 63 | Goals For | 27 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 1.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.84 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.72 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 6.03 | Shots On Goal | 3.41 |
| 15.94 | Total Shots | 10.31 |
| 5.47 | Corners | 4.63 |
| 53.2% | Ball Possession | 44.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around RB Leipzig's more proactive style and FC St. Pauli's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with RB Leipzig expected to line up in 4-3-3 and FC St. Pauli in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC St. Pauli having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. RB Leipzig come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. RB Leipzig arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 62 points compared to FC St. Pauli in 17 on 26, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC St. Pauli.
RB Leipzig come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 62 points after 32 matches. With 19 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 63:42, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by C. Baumgartner (13 goals), Yan Diomande (12 goals), Romulo Cardoso (10 goals), with creative support from Yan Diomande (8 assists), C. Baumgartner (7 assists), D. Raum (6 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 11 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
With 26 points from 32 games and a place of 17, FC St. Pauli still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 27:55, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Sinani (5 goals), A. Hountondji (4 goals), M. Kaars (3 goals), with creative support from D. Sinani (3 assists), J. Fujita (3 assists), M. Saliakas (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, RB Leipzig won 4 times, FC St. Pauli won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:8 from RB Leipzig's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
RB Leipzig
5
3
6
3
2
2
Lineups
RB Leipzig
Altglienicke
RB Leipzig
Mamelodi Sundowns
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
RB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
1899 Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig
1. FC Köln
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
1. FC Heidenheim
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
FC St. Pauli
Bournemouth
FC St. Pauli
HNK Gorica
FC St. Pauli
SV Babelsberg 03
FC St. Pauli
Kickers Emden
FC St. Pauli
Altona 93
FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC St. Pauli
1899 Hoffenheim
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
FC St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli
VfB Stuttgart
FC St. Pauli
FC Augsburg
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
RB Leipzig
1899 Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig
1. FC Köln
RB Leipzig
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
Bournemouth
FC St. Pauli
SV Babelsberg 03
FC St. Pauli
Kickers Emden
FC St. Pauli
Altona 93
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC St. Pauli
1899 Hoffenheim
FC St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli
FC Augsburg
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Dortmund
FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
FC St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
FC St. Pauli
VfB Stuttgart
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 86 | 89 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 36 | 73 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
Home
|
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 65 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 22 | 62 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 13 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 21 | 59 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | -6 | 47 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | -16 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | -9 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | -14 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 32 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | -24 | 29 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | -31 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 |
FC St. Pauli
Away
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
D
|