POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
zondacrypto Arena
Referee: L. Kuzma
Raków Częstochowa
Match Timeline
Korona Kielce
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Wiktor Długosz
Korona Kielce
🔄
25'
W. Dlugosz ↔ H. Zwozny
Korona Kielce
🟨
45+5'
Marko Bulat
Raków Częstochowa
48'
L. Diaby-Fadiga · Assist: O. Repka
Raków Częstochowa
57'
M. Bulat · Assist: L. Diaby-Fadiga
Raków Częstochowa
🔄
63'
S. Gustafson ↔ Nono
Korona Kielce
🔄
63'
M. Remacle ↔ S. Davidovic
Korona Kielce
🔄
65'
M. Bulat ↔ V. Kochergin
Raków Częstochowa
🟨
70'
Bartłomiej Smolarczyk
Korona Kielce
🔄
73'
D. Blanik ↔ V. Nikolov
Korona Kielce
🔄
74'
M. Pieczek ↔ K. Matuszewski
Korona Kielce
🔄
75'
Adriano ↔ J. C. Silva
Raków Częstochowa
🔄
75'
L. Diaby-Fadiga ↔ P. Makuch
Raków Częstochowa
🔄
86'
J. Brunes ↔ L. Rocha
Raków Częstochowa
🔄
86'
T. Pienko ↔ I. Lopez
Raków Częstochowa
VAR
90+5'
Patryk Makuch
Raków Częstochowa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 5.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 36.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
5.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
36.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Raków Częstochowa Win 84.6%
Draw 0%
Korona Kielce Win 15.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Raków Częstochowa1.36
Korona Kielce1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
WWDLW
65 GF / 46 GA
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
WLDWL
38 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.23
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
24
BTTS Yes
17
20
Over 2.5
13
4.66
Shots on Goal
3.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 44 matches
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 31 matches
Raków Częstochowa Statistic Korona Kielce
22 Wins 10
9 Draws 9
13 Losses 12
65 Goals For 38
46 Goals Against 37
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
24 BTTS Yes 17
31 Over 1.5 25
20 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 5
15 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 8
4.66 Shots On Goal 3.9
12.93 Total Shots 14.97
4.07 Corners 5.16
50.5% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Korona Kielce. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Raków Częstochowa expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Korona Kielce in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Korona Kielce having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Raków Częstochowa Analysis

Placed 5 with 46 points from 30 outings, Raków Częstochowa continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 13 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 43:37 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Brunes (15 goals), L. Rocha (10 goals), L. Diaby-Fadiga (6 goals), with creative support from M. Ameyaw (5 assists), L. Diaby-Fadiga (3 assists), Oskar Repka (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Korona Kielce Analysis

From their first 31 matches, Korona Kielce have collected 39 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 38:37 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Dawid Błanik (8 goals), K. Sotiriou (5 goals), M. Pieczek (5 goals), with creative support from Dawid Błanik (4 assists), Wiktor Długosz (3 assists), K. Sotiriou (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Raków Częstochowa won 7 times, Korona Kielce won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:8 from Raków Częstochowa's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Raków Częstochowa 3-4-3 / Korona Kielce 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Raków Częstochowa wins 7, draws 2, Korona Kielce wins 3
Stats
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 2
9 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 0
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 6
5 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
431 Total passes 445
348 Passes accurate 359
0.91 expected_goals 1.43
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Raków Częstochowa
Formation
Korona Kielce
K. Trelowski
K. Trelowski
F. Tudor
F. Tudor
B. Racovitan
B. Racovitan
S. Svarnas
S. Svarnas
M. Ameyaw
M. Ameyaw
O. Repka
🎯
O. Repka
M. Bulat
M. Bulat
Adriano
Adriano
L. Diaby-Fadiga
🎯
L. Diaby-Fadiga
J. Brunes
J. Brunes
T. Pienko
T. Pienko
X. Dziekonski
X. Dziekonski
B. Smolarczyk
B. Smolarczyk
K. Sotiriou
K. Sotiriou
P. Resta
P. Resta
W. Dlugosz
W. Dlugosz
T. Svetlin
T. Svetlin
S. Gustafson
S. Gustafson
M. Pieczek
M. Pieczek
M. Remacle
M. Remacle
D. Blanik
D. Blanik
Antonin
Antonin
Raków Częstochowa 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
K. Trelowski
G
7
F. Tudor
D
25
B. Racovitan
D
4
S. Svarnas
D
19
M. Ameyaw
M
6
O. Repka
🎯 48'
M
5
M. Bulat
⚽ 57' ↓ 65' 🟨 45+5'
M
11
Adriano
↓ 75'
M
80
L. Diaby-Fadiga
⚽ 48' 🎯 57' ↓ 75'
F
18
J. Brunes
↓ 86'
F
8
T. Pienko
↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
48
O. Zych
G
27
P. Dawidowicz
D
30
V. Kochergin
↑ 65'
M
17
L. Rocha
↑ 86'
F
39
I. Brusberg
M
24
Z. Arsenic
D
10
I. Lopez
↑ 86'
M
20
J. C. Silva
↑ 75'
M
26
E. Otieno
M
9
P. Makuch
↑ 75'
F
2
A. Mosor
D
35
M. Ilenic
D
Korona Kielce 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
X. Dziekonski
G
24
B. Smolarczyk
🟨 70'
D
44
K. Sotiriou
D
5
P. Resta
D
71
W. Dlugosz
↓ 25' 🟨 20'
M
88
T. Svetlin
M
86
S. Gustafson
↓ 63'
M
6
M. Pieczek
↓ 74'
M
8
M. Remacle
↓ 63'
F
7
D. Blanik
↓ 73'
F
70
Antonin
F
Substitutes
87
R. Mamla
G
10
Nono
↑ 63'
M
3
K. Matuszewski
↑ 74'
D
27
W. Kaminski
M
23
S. Rubezic
D
37
H. Zwozny
↑ 25'
D
9
S. Davidovic
↑ 63'
M
26
V. Popov
D
11
V. Nikolov
↑ 73'
F
15
N. Niski
D
19
A. Hancko
M
Last matches: Raków Częstochowa
23.07.26
UEF
Raków Częstochowa
Valletta FC
3
1
W
16.07.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
GKS Katowice
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
PSV Eindhoven
2
3
L
08.07.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Zulte Waregem
3
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Puszcza Niepołomice
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Piast Gliwice
2
0
W
23.05.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
3
0
W
17.05.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Piast Gliwice
3
1
W
13.05.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Jagiellonia
0
2
L
25.04.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Lechia Gdansk
2
1
W
19.04.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
4
1
W
12.04.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Motor Lublin
1
1
D
04.04.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Widzew Łódź
1
1
D
29.03.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Stal Rzeszów
5
1
W
22.03.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Legia Warszawa
1
1
D
19.03.26
UEF
Raków Częstochowa
Fiorentina
1
2
L
15.03.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Gornik Zabrze
1
3
L
12.03.26
UEF
Raków Częstochowa
Fiorentina
1
2
L
08.03.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
W
Last matches: Korona Kielce
17.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
0
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Stal Rzeszów
0
0
D
09.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Omonia Nicosia
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Zemplín Michalovce
4
0
W
23.05.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
15.05.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
1
0
W
01.05.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
1
1
D
25.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Gornik Zabrze
0
1
L
10.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Lechia Gdansk
2
4
L
22.03.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
3
0
W
16.03.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Pogon Szczecin
1
2
L
07.03.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
2
1
W
28.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Motor Lublin
0
2
L
22.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Lech Poznan
1
2
L
13.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Radomiak Radom
2
0
W
06.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
1
2
L
01.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Legia Warszawa
2
1
W
20.01.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Dynamo Kyiv
0
0
D
H2H: Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce
08.05.26
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
2
0
W
09.11.25
H2H
Korona Kielce
Raków Częstochowa
1
4
W
17.05.25
H2H
Korona Kielce
Raków Częstochowa
1
1
D
24.11.24
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
1
1
D
13.03.24
H2H
Korona Kielce
Raków Częstochowa
0
2
W
17.12.23
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
1
0
W
07.05.23
H2H
Korona Kielce
Raków Częstochowa
1
0
L
22.10.22
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
1
0
W
03.08.20
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
5
0
W
23.06.20
H2H
Korona Kielce
Raków Częstochowa
0
1
W
23.11.19
H2H
Korona Kielce
Raków Częstochowa
3
0
L
20.07.19
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
0
1
L
Last matches: Raków Częstochowa
23.07.26
UEF
Raków Częstochowa
Valletta FC
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Puszcza Niepołomice
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Piast Gliwice
2
0
W
23.05.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
3
0
W
13.05.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Jagiellonia
0
2
L
19.04.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
4
1
W
04.04.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Widzew Łódź
1
1
D
29.03.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Stal Rzeszów
5
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
Raków Częstochowa
Fiorentina
1
2
L
08.03.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
W
21.02.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Nieciecza
1
0
W
08.02.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Radomiak Radom
0
0
D
28.01.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
SKRA Częstochowa
2
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Vojvodina
3
1
W
18.01.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
FK Partizan
1
1
D
14.01.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Ludogorets
2
2
D
10.01.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Red Bull Salzburg
1
1
D
14.12.25
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Zaglebie Lubin
0
1
L
11.12.25
UEF
Raków Częstochowa
Zrinjski
1
0
W
07.12.25
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
GKS Katowice
1
0
W
H2H at home: Raków Częstochowa
08.05.26
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
2
0
W
24.11.24
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
1
1
D
17.12.23
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
1
0
W
22.10.22
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
1
0
W
03.08.20
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
5
0
W
20.07.19
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
0
1
L
Last matches: Korona Kielce
23.05.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Gornik Zabrze
0
1
L
06.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Lechia Gdansk
2
4
L
16.03.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Pogon Szczecin
1
2
L
28.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Motor Lublin
0
2
L
13.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Radomiak Radom
2
0
W
01.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Legia Warszawa
2
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
CSKA Sofia
2
0
W
23.11.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
3
1
W
31.10.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
0
0
D
25.10.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
0
1
L
05.10.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia
1
3
L
20.09.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
0
0
D
30.08.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
3
1
W
16.08.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Lech Poznan
1
1
D
01.08.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
1
1
D
19.07.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Wisla Plock
0
2
L
H2H away: Korona Kielce
08.05.26
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
2
0
L
24.11.24
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
1
1
D
17.12.23
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
1
0
L
22.10.22
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
1
0
L
03.08.20
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
5
0
L
20.07.19
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
0
1
W

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation