POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
zondacrypto Arena
Referee: D. Stefanski
Raków Częstochowa
Match Timeline
Arka Gdynia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Dawid Gojny
Arka Gdynia
🟨
32'
Alassane Sidibe
Arka Gdynia
37'
M. Bulat · Assist: Adriano
Raków Częstochowa
🔄
46'
B. Racovitan ↔ P. Dawidowicz
Raków Częstochowa
VAR
50'
Dawid Gojny
Arka Gdynia
🟨
60'
Adriano
Raków Częstochowa
🔄
61'
T. Pienko ↔ I. Lopez
Raków Częstochowa
🔄
64'
V. Gutkovskis ↔ E. D. Espiau Hernandez
Arka Gdynia
🔄
64'
D. Kocyla ↔ N. Gozdecki
Arka Gdynia
🔄
68'
Adriano ↔ M. Ameyaw
Raków Częstochowa
71'
J. Brunes · Assist: J. C. Silva
Raków Częstochowa
🔄
72'
P. Szysz ↔ M. Navarro
Arka Gdynia
75'
J. C. Silva · Assist: M. Bulat
Raków Częstochowa
🔄
80'
J. C. Silva ↔ M. Ilenic
Raków Częstochowa
🔄
81'
P. Makuch ↔ L. Rocha
Raków Częstochowa
🔄
90+2'
D. Zator ↔ W. Zacharewicz
Arka Gdynia
🔄
90+2'
A. Sidibe ↔ O. Gohlike
Arka Gdynia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Raków Częstochowa Win 78.4%
Draw 0%
Arka Gdynia Win 21.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Raków Częstochowa1.6
Arka Gdynia1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
WWDLW
70 GF / 49 GA
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
WLDWL
34 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1.49
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
25
BTTS Yes
17
21
Over 2.5
20
4.64
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 47 matches
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 33 matches
Raków Częstochowa Statistic Arka Gdynia
24 Wins 9
9 Draws 9
14 Losses 15
70 Goals For 34
49 Goals Against 58
1.49 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
25 BTTS Yes 17
34 Over 1.5 24
21 Over 2.5 20
12 Over 3.5 13
16 Clean Sheets 7
9 Failed To Score 13
4.64 Shots On Goal 3.33
13.06 Total Shots 10.52
4.06 Corners 4.12
50.3% Ball Possession 45%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Raków Częstochowa's more proactive style and Arka Gdynia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Raków Częstochowa expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Arka Gdynia in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Arka Gdynia having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Arka Gdynia. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Raków Częstochowa arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 52 points compared to Arka Gdynia in 17 on 36, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Raków Częstochowa come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Raków Częstochowa Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 52 points from 33 games, Raków Częstochowa bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats, together with goals at 48:40, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Brunes (15 goals), L. Rocha (10 goals), L. Diaby-Fadiga (7 goals), with creative support from M. Ameyaw (5 assists), L. Diaby-Fadiga (4 assists), Oskar Repka (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Arka Gdynia Analysis

Arka Gdynia approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 36 points from 33 matches. Their record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 34:58, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through E. D. Espiau Hernandez (6 goals), N. Rusyn (4 goals), S. Kerk (4 goals), with creative support from S. Kerk (7 assists), Marc Navarro (4 assists), Kike Hermoso (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Raków Częstochowa won 6 times, Arka Gdynia won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:7 from Raków Częstochowa's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Raków Częstochowa 3-4-3 / Arka Gdynia 3-5-2
H2H summary: Raków Częstochowa wins 6, draws 0, Arka Gdynia wins 1
Stats
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
1 Corner Kicks 4
14 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 1
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 5
6 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
476 Total passes 301
397 Passes accurate 236
0.52 expected_goals 0.60
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Raków Częstochowa
Formation
Arka Gdynia
K. Trelowski
K. Trelowski
F. Tudor
F. Tudor
B. Racovitan
B. Racovitan
A. Mosor
A. Mosor
J. C. Silva
🎯
J. C. Silva
O. Repka
O. Repka
M. Bulat
🎯
M. Bulat
Adriano
🎯
Adriano
P. Makuch
P. Makuch
J. Brunes
J. Brunes
T. Pienko
T. Pienko
J. Grobelny
J. Grobelny
S. Szota
S. Szota
M. Marcjanik
M. Marcjanik
D. Gojny
D. Gojny
D. Zator
D. Zator
A. Sidibe
A. Sidibe
M. Rzuchowski
M. Rzuchowski
D. Abramowicz
D. Abramowicz
P. Szysz
P. Szysz
D. Kocyla
D. Kocyla
V. Gutkovskis
V. Gutkovskis
Raków Częstochowa 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
K. Trelowski
G
7
F. Tudor
D
25
B. Racovitan
↓ 46'
D
2
A. Mosor
D
20
J. C. Silva
⚽ 75' 🎯 71' ↓ 80'
M
6
O. Repka
M
5
M. Bulat
⚽ 37' 🎯 75'
M
11
Adriano
🎯 37' ↓ 68' 🟨 60'
M
9
P. Makuch
↓ 81'
F
18
J. Brunes
⚽ 71'
F
8
T. Pienko
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
48
O. Zych
G
29
W. Zolneczko
G
27
P. Dawidowicz
↑ 46'
D
30
V. Kochergin
M
17
L. Rocha
↑ 81'
F
44
B. Mircetic
M
22
O. Abraham
4
S. Svarnas
D
10
I. Lopez
↑ 61'
M
19
M. Ameyaw
↑ 68'
M
35
M. Ilenic
↑ 80'
D
Arka Gdynia 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
J. Grobelny
G
3
S. Szota
D
29
M. Marcjanik
D
94
D. Gojny
🟨 14'
D
4
D. Zator
↓ 90+2'
M
8
A. Sidibe
↓ 90+2' 🟨 32'
M
22
M. Rzuchowski
M
33
D. Abramowicz
M
21
P. Szysz
↓ 72'
F
11
D. Kocyla
↓ 64'
F
19
V. Gutkovskis
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
30
K. Krzepisz
G
2
M. Navarro
↑ 72'
D
99
E. D. Espiau Hernandez
↑ 64'
F
41
O. Gohlike
↑ 90+2'
D
42
N. Gozdecki
↑ 64'
M
43
W. Zacharewicz
↑ 90+2'
D
Last matches: Raków Częstochowa
23.07.26
UEF
Raków Częstochowa
Valletta FC
3
1
W
16.07.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
GKS Katowice
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
PSV Eindhoven
2
3
L
08.07.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Zulte Waregem
3
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Puszcza Niepołomice
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Piast Gliwice
2
0
W
17.05.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Piast Gliwice
3
1
W
13.05.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Jagiellonia
0
2
L
08.05.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
2
0
W
25.04.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Lechia Gdansk
2
1
W
19.04.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
4
1
W
12.04.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Motor Lublin
1
1
D
04.04.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Widzew Łódź
1
1
D
29.03.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Stal Rzeszów
5
1
W
22.03.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Legia Warszawa
1
1
D
19.03.26
UEF
Raków Częstochowa
Fiorentina
1
2
L
15.03.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Gornik Zabrze
1
3
L
12.03.26
UEF
Raków Częstochowa
Fiorentina
1
2
L
08.03.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
W
Last matches: Arka Gdynia
18.07.26
Fri
Arka Gdynia
Luzino
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Arka Gdynia
Olimpia Grudziądz
2
4
L
03.07.26
Fri
Arka Gdynia
Petrolul Ploiesti
2
0
W
28.06.26
Fri
Arka Gdynia
GKS Katowice
0
2
L
18.05.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Nieciecza
2
3
L
13.05.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Gornik Zabrze
0
0
D
08.05.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Lech Poznan
1
1
D
27.04.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Piast Gliwice
1
4
L
19.04.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Jagiellonia
0
3
L
12.04.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Cracovia Krakow
2
2
D
07.04.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Zaglebie Lubin
3
1
W
22.03.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Korona Kielce
0
3
L
15.03.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Widzew Łódź
0
0
D
09.03.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Wisla Plock
3
0
W
05.03.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Radomiak Radom
1
3
L
27.02.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Lechia Gdansk
2
2
D
22.02.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
GKS Katowice
2
1
W
15.02.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Pogon Szczecin
0
1
L
07.02.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Legia Warszawa
2
2
D
20.01.26
Fri
Arka Gdynia
Radnicki NIS
2
0
W
H2H: Raków Częstochowa vs Arka Gdynia
23.05.26
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
3
0
W
30.11.25
H2H
Arka Gdynia
Raków Częstochowa
1
4
W
01.03.22
H2H
Arka Gdynia
Raków Częstochowa
0
2
W
02.05.21
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
2
1
W
26.06.20
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
3
2
W
22.02.20
H2H
Arka Gdynia
Raków Częstochowa
3
2
L
14.09.19
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
2
0
W
Last matches: Raków Częstochowa
23.07.26
UEF
Raków Częstochowa
Valletta FC
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Puszcza Niepołomice
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Piast Gliwice
2
0
W
13.05.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Jagiellonia
0
2
L
08.05.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
2
0
W
19.04.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
4
1
W
04.04.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Widzew Łódź
1
1
D
29.03.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Stal Rzeszów
5
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
Raków Częstochowa
Fiorentina
1
2
L
08.03.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
W
21.02.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Nieciecza
1
0
W
08.02.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Radomiak Radom
0
0
D
28.01.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
SKRA Częstochowa
2
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Vojvodina
3
1
W
18.01.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
FK Partizan
1
1
D
14.01.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Ludogorets
2
2
D
10.01.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Red Bull Salzburg
1
1
D
14.12.25
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Zaglebie Lubin
0
1
L
11.12.25
UEF
Raków Częstochowa
Zrinjski
1
0
W
07.12.25
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
GKS Katowice
1
0
W
H2H at home: Raków Częstochowa
23.05.26
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
3
0
W
02.05.21
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
2
1
W
26.06.20
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
3
2
W
14.09.19
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
2
0
W
Last matches: Arka Gdynia
28.06.26
Fri
Arka Gdynia
GKS Katowice
0
2
L
08.05.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Lech Poznan
1
1
D
27.04.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Piast Gliwice
1
4
L
12.04.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Cracovia Krakow
2
2
D
22.03.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Korona Kielce
0
3
L
09.03.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Wisla Plock
3
0
W
05.03.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Radomiak Radom
1
3
L
15.02.26
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Pogon Szczecin
0
1
L
21.11.25
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Nieciecza
0
2
L
02.11.25
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Gornik Zabrze
1
5
L
18.10.25
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Jagiellonia
0
4
L
29.09.25
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Zaglebie Lubin
0
4
L
14.09.25
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Widzew Łódź
0
2
L
24.08.25
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Lechia Gdansk
0
1
L
16.08.25
Eks
Arka Gdynia
GKS Katowice
1
4
L
03.08.25
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Legia Warszawa
0
0
D
20.07.25
Eks
Arka Gdynia
Motor Lublin
0
1
L
H2H away: Arka Gdynia
23.05.26
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
3
0
L
02.05.21
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
2
1
L
26.06.20
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
3
2
L
14.09.19
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
2
0
L

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation