Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
78.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
74.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Raków Częstochowa
47 matches
Arka Gdynia
33 matches
| Raków Częstochowa | Statistic | Arka Gdynia |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 9 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 14 | Losses | 15 |
| 70 | Goals For | 34 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 58 |
| 1.49 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 34 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 4.64 | Shots On Goal | 3.33 |
| 13.06 | Total Shots | 10.52 |
| 4.06 | Corners | 4.12 |
| 50.3% | Ball Possession | 45% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Raków Częstochowa's more proactive style and Arka Gdynia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Raków Częstochowa expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Arka Gdynia in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Arka Gdynia having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Arka Gdynia. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Raków Częstochowa arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 52 points compared to Arka Gdynia in 17 on 36, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Raków Częstochowa come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.
Operating from 4 place with 52 points from 33 games, Raków Częstochowa bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats, together with goals at 48:40, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Brunes (15 goals), L. Rocha (10 goals), L. Diaby-Fadiga (7 goals), with creative support from M. Ameyaw (5 assists), L. Diaby-Fadiga (4 assists), Oskar Repka (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Arka Gdynia approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 36 points from 33 matches. Their record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 34:58, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through E. D. Espiau Hernandez (6 goals), N. Rusyn (4 goals), S. Kerk (4 goals), with creative support from S. Kerk (7 assists), Marc Navarro (4 assists), Kike Hermoso (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Raków Częstochowa won 6 times, Arka Gdynia won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:7 from Raków Częstochowa's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.
Raków Częstochowa
5
2
6
5
1
1
Lineups
Raków Częstochowa
Valletta FC
Raków Częstochowa
GKS Katowice
Raków Częstochowa
PSV Eindhoven
Raków Częstochowa
Olympiakos Piraeus
Raków Częstochowa
Zulte Waregem
Raków Częstochowa
Puszcza Niepołomice
Raków Częstochowa
Piast Gliwice
Raków Częstochowa
Piast Gliwice
Raków Częstochowa
Jagiellonia
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
Raków Częstochowa
Lechia Gdansk
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
Raków Częstochowa
Motor Lublin
Raków Częstochowa
Widzew Łódź
Raków Częstochowa
Stal Rzeszów
Raków Częstochowa
Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
Gornik Zabrze
Raków Częstochowa
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
Arka Gdynia
Luzino
Arka Gdynia
Olimpia Grudziądz
Arka Gdynia
Petrolul Ploiesti
Arka Gdynia
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
Nieciecza
Arka Gdynia
Gornik Zabrze
Arka Gdynia
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
Piast Gliwice
Arka Gdynia
Jagiellonia
Arka Gdynia
Cracovia Krakow
Arka Gdynia
Zaglebie Lubin
Arka Gdynia
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
Widzew Łódź
Arka Gdynia
Wisla Plock
Arka Gdynia
Radomiak Radom
Arka Gdynia
Lechia Gdansk
Arka Gdynia
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
Pogon Szczecin
Arka Gdynia
Legia Warszawa
Arka Gdynia
Radnicki NIS
Raków Częstochowa
Valletta FC
Raków Częstochowa
Puszcza Niepołomice
Raków Częstochowa
Piast Gliwice
Raków Częstochowa
Jagiellonia
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
Raków Częstochowa
Widzew Łódź
Raków Częstochowa
Stal Rzeszów
Raków Częstochowa
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
Raków Częstochowa
Nieciecza
Raków Częstochowa
Radomiak Radom
Raków Częstochowa
SKRA Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
Vojvodina
Raków Częstochowa
FK Partizan
Raków Częstochowa
Ludogorets
Raków Częstochowa
Red Bull Salzburg
Raków Częstochowa
Zaglebie Lubin
Raków Częstochowa
Zrinjski
Raków Częstochowa
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
Piast Gliwice
Arka Gdynia
Cracovia Krakow
Arka Gdynia
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
Wisla Plock
Arka Gdynia
Radomiak Radom
Arka Gdynia
Pogon Szczecin
Arka Gdynia
Nieciecza
Arka Gdynia
Gornik Zabrze
Arka Gdynia
Jagiellonia
Arka Gdynia
Zaglebie Lubin
Arka Gdynia
Widzew Łódź
Arka Gdynia
Lechia Gdansk
Arka Gdynia
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
Legia Warszawa
Arka Gdynia
Motor Lublin
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 62:45 | 17 | 60 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:38 | 12 | 56 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56:41 | 15 | 56 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
Raków Częstochowa
Home
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 51:40 | 11 | 55 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:45 | 6 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 49 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 46 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 47:49 | -2 | 45 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:53 | -1 | 44 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:40 | 0 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:53 | -7 | 43 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 42 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:41 | 0 | 42 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:46 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 62:65 | -3 | 38 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Arka Gdynia
Away
|
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:61 | -27 | 36 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 18 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 34 |
W
W
L
L
W
|