POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion im. Braci Czachorów
Referee: S. Marciniak
Radomiak Radom
Match Timeline
Lechia Gdansk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
26'
A. Tapsoba · Assist: E. Balde
Radomiak Radom
🟨
30'
Bogdan Viunnyk
Lechia Gdansk
🟥
36'
Jérémy Blasco
Radomiak Radom
🔄
39'
Maurides ↔ S. Kingue
Radomiak Radom
🔄
44'
B. Viunnyk ↔ T. Neugebauer
Lechia Gdansk
45'
A. Tapsoba
Radomiak Radom
48'
A. Tapsoba · Assist: E. Balde
Radomiak Radom
🔄
56'
E. Balde ↔ M. Cichocki
Radomiak Radom
🔄
56'
R. Wolski ↔ I. Camara
Radomiak Radom
🟨
62'
Zié Ouattara
Radomiak Radom
VAR
65'
Tomasz Neugebauer
Lechia Gdansk
66'
T. Bobcek
Lechia Gdansk
🔄
70'
C. Donis ↔ R. Baro
Radomiak Radom
🔄
70'
A. Tapsoba ↔ S. Soumah
Radomiak Radom
🔄
83'
M. Vojtko ↔ M. Kalahur
Lechia Gdansk
🔄
83'
T. Wojtowicz ↔ B. Kludka
Lechia Gdansk
🟨
85'
Miłosz Kałahur
Lechia Gdansk

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 15.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 28.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
15.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
28.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Radomiak Radom Win 52.4%
Draw 13%
Lechia Gdansk Win 34.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Radomiak Radom1.64
Lechia Gdansk1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
WWDLW
46 GF / 43 GA
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
WLDWL
57 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.9
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
21
BTTS Yes
22
17
Over 2.5
21
4.2
Shots on Goal
5.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 30 matches
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 30 matches
Radomiak Radom Statistic Lechia Gdansk
10 Wins 12
10 Draws 7
10 Losses 11
46 Goals For 57
43 Goals Against 54
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
21 BTTS Yes 22
25 Over 1.5 28
17 Over 2.5 21
12 Over 3.5 12
5 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 5
4.2 Shots On Goal 5.43
14.3 Total Shots 13.73
4.67 Corners 5.07
51.7% Ball Possession 49.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Lechia Gdansk. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Radomiak Radom expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Lechia Gdansk in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lechia Gdansk having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Radomiak Radom Analysis

Radomiak Radom are currently 9 in the standings with 40 points from 30 matches. The record of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 46:43 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Maurides (8 goals), Capita (6 goals), J. Grzesik (6 goals), with creative support from R. Wolski (7 assists), J. Grzesik (5 assists), Zie Ouattara (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Lechia Gdansk Analysis

With 38 points from 30 games and a place of 15, Lechia Gdansk still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats with a 57:54 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on T. Bobcek (16 goals), Ivan Zhelizko (6 goals), Camilo Mena (5 goals), with creative support from T. Bobcek (6 assists), Ivan Zhelizko (6 assists), Camilo Mena (6 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Radomiak Radom won 7 times, Lechia Gdansk won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:8 from Radomiak Radom's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.11 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
Predicted formations: Radomiak Radom 4-1-4-1 / Lechia Gdansk 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Radomiak Radom wins 7, draws 1, Lechia Gdansk wins 1
Stats
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
13
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
7
4 Corner Kicks 7
10 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 3
33% Ball Possession 67%
13 Total Shots 27
5 Shots on Goal 7
4 Shots off Goal 13
4 Blocked Shots 7
8 Shots insidebox 17
5 Shots outsidebox 10
6 Goalkeeper Saves 2
250 Total passes 475
172 Passes accurate 403
1.05 expected_goals 2.44
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Radomiak Radom
Formation
Lechia Gdansk
F. Majchrowicz
F. Majchrowicz
Zie Ouattara
Zie Ouattara
J. Blasco
J. Blasco
A. Dieguez
A. Dieguez
J. Grzesik
J. Grzesik
C. Donis
C. Donis
A. Tapsoba
⚽ 3
A. Tapsoba
Luquinhas
Luquinhas
R. Wolski
R. Wolski
E. Balde
🎯
E. Balde
Maurides
Maurides
A. Paulsen
A. Paulsen
T. Wojtowicz
T. Wojtowicz
M. Dyachuk
M. Dyachuk
M. Rodin
M. Rodin
M. Vojtko
M. Vojtko
C. Mena
C. Mena
R. Kapic
R. Kapic
I. Zhelizko
I. Zhelizko
A. Cirkovic
A. Cirkovic
T. Bobcek
T. Bobcek
B. Viunnyk
B. Viunnyk
Radomiak Radom 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
F. Majchrowicz
G
24
Zie Ouattara
🟨 62'
D
5
J. Blasco
🟥 36'
D
26
A. Dieguez
D
13
J. Grzesik
D
77
C. Donis
↓ 70'
M
15
A. Tapsoba
⚽ 26' ⚽ 45' ⚽ 48' ↓ 70'
M
82
Luquinhas
M
27
R. Wolski
↓ 56'
M
21
E. Balde
🎯 26' 🎯 48' ↓ 56'
M
25
Maurides
↓ 39'
F
Substitutes
44
W. Koptas
G
75
M. Jerke
G
10
R. Alves
M
9
Leandro
M
6
R. Baro
↑ 70'
M
20
Joao Pedro
D
19
S. Soumah
↑ 70'
F
16
M. Cichocki
↑ 56'
D
2
I. Camara
↑ 56'
M
14
S. Kingue
↑ 39'
D
7
V. Lopes
F
17
A. Zabicki
M
Lechia Gdansk 4-4-2
Starting XI
18
A. Paulsen
G
33
T. Wojtowicz
↓ 83'
D
15
M. Dyachuk
D
80
M. Rodin
D
27
M. Vojtko
↓ 83'
D
11
C. Mena
M
10
R. Kapic
M
5
I. Zhelizko
M
8
A. Cirkovic
M
89
T. Bobcek
⚽ 66'
F
7
B. Viunnyk
↓ 44' 🟨 30'
F
Substitutes
29
B. Sarnavskyi
G
1
S. Weirauch
G
23
M. Kalahur
↑ 83' 🟨 85'
D
99
T. Neugebauer
↑ 44'
M
4
B. Pllana
D
2
B. Kludka
↑ 83'
D
17
A. Tsarenko
M
76
I. Mavraj
D
Last matches: Radomiak Radom
24.07.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Wieczysta Kraków
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Pogoń Siedlce
1
2
L
17.07.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Legia Warszawa II
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Legia Warszawa
1
3
L
10.07.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Dynamo Kyiv
2
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
ŁKS Łódź
1
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2
3
L
23.05.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Gornik Zabrze
2
6
L
16.05.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
1
3
L
11.05.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
26.04.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Wisla Plock
1
0
W
18.04.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
2
1
W
11.04.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Zaglebie Lubin
0
1
L
06.04.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Motor Lublin
1
1
D
20.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Piast Gliwice
1
3
L
13.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Legia Warszawa
1
1
D
08.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
GKS Katowice
0
1
L
05.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Arka Gdynia
3
1
W
01.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Nieciecza
1
1
D
22.02.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Jagiellonia
1
1
D
Last matches: Lechia Gdansk
18.07.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Randers FC
2
2
D
04.07.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Olimpia Grudziądz
1
3
L
27.06.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Petrolul Ploiesti
0
5
L
23.05.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Nieciecza
2
3
L
17.05.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
1
2
L
09.05.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Widzew Łódź
1
3
L
25.04.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Raków Częstochowa
1
2
L
20.04.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Piast Gliwice
1
1
D
10.04.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Wisla Plock
0
1
L
06.04.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Korona Kielce
4
2
W
21.03.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
W
14.03.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
GKS Katowice
0
2
L
06.03.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Jagiellonia
3
0
W
27.02.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Arka Gdynia
2
2
D
23.02.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Zaglebie Lubin
0
2
L
15.02.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Motor Lublin
3
2
W
06.02.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
31.01.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Lech Poznan
3
1
W
22.01.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Mladost Lucani
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Hradec Králové
1
2
L
H2H: Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk
04.05.26
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lechia Gdansk
3
1
W
03.11.25
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Radomiak Radom
1
2
W
14.03.25
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lechia Gdansk
2
1
W
14.09.24
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Radomiak Radom
1
0
L
25.02.23
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Radomiak Radom
1
3
W
14.08.22
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lechia Gdansk
4
1
W
30.06.22
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Radomiak Radom
0
0
D
27.02.22
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lechia Gdansk
2
0
W
28.08.21
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Radomiak Radom
2
2
D
09.07.21
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Radomiak Radom
0
2
W
Last matches: Radomiak Radom
24.07.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Wieczysta Kraków
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Pogoń Siedlce
1
2
L
17.07.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Legia Warszawa II
2
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Dynamo Kyiv
2
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
ŁKS Łódź
1
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2
3
L
16.05.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
1
3
L
18.04.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
2
1
W
06.04.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Motor Lublin
1
1
D
13.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Legia Warszawa
1
1
D
08.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
GKS Katowice
0
1
L
05.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Arka Gdynia
3
1
W
13.02.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Korona Kielce
0
2
L
19.01.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Farense
5
0
W
14.01.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Moncarapachense
4
0
W
09.01.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Znicz Pruszków
3
1
W
28.11.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Gornik Zabrze
4
0
W
07.11.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Cracovia Krakow
3
0
W
27.10.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Wisla Plock
1
1
D
04.10.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Zaglebie Lubin
3
1
W
H2H at home: Radomiak Radom
04.05.26
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lechia Gdansk
3
1
W
14.03.25
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lechia Gdansk
2
1
W
14.08.22
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lechia Gdansk
4
1
W
27.02.22
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lechia Gdansk
2
0
W
Last matches: Lechia Gdansk
23.05.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Nieciecza
2
3
L
09.05.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Widzew Łódź
1
3
L
10.04.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Wisla Plock
0
1
L
14.03.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
GKS Katowice
0
2
L
27.02.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Arka Gdynia
2
2
D
15.02.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Motor Lublin
3
2
W
31.01.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Lech Poznan
3
1
W
22.11.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
2
2
D
26.10.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Raków Częstochowa
1
2
L
19.10.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Piast Gliwice
2
1
W
27.09.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Korona Kielce
0
3
L
21.09.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
4
3
W
31.08.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Jagiellonia
0
2
L
15.08.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Zaglebie Lubin
2
6
L
03.08.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Cracovia Krakow
2
2
D
20.07.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Gornik Zabrze
1
2
L
H2H away: Lechia Gdansk
04.05.26
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lechia Gdansk
3
1
L
14.03.25
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lechia Gdansk
2
1
L
14.08.22
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lechia Gdansk
4
1
L
27.02.22
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lechia Gdansk
2
0
L

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation