POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion im. Braci Czachorów
Referee: K. Arys
Radomiak Radom
Match Timeline
Lech Poznan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
J. Grzesik · Assist: V. Lopes
Radomiak Radom
🔄
11'
Leandro ↔ Maurides
Radomiak Radom
16'
M. Ishak · Assist: L. Palma
Lech Poznan
22'
L. Palma · Assist: L. Bengtsson
Lech Poznan
🟨
54'
Antoni Kozubal
Lech Poznan
58'
P. Walemark · Assist: M. Ishak
Lech Poznan
🔄
65'
V. Lopes ↔ Joao Pedro
Radomiak Radom
🔄
66'
E. Balde ↔ S. Soumah
Radomiak Radom
🔄
66'
L. Palma ↔ F. Jagiello
Lech Poznan
🔄
66'
P. Walemark ↔ D. Hakans
Lech Poznan
🟨
69'
Leo Bengtsson
Lech Poznan
🔄
78'
P. Rodriguez ↔ R. Murawski
Lech Poznan
🔄
78'
L. Bengtsson ↔ T. Ismaheel
Lech Poznan
🟨
83'
Christos Donis
Radomiak Radom
🔄
84'
R. Baro ↔ R. Alves
Radomiak Radom
🔄
84'
C. Donis ↔ A. Zabicki
Radomiak Radom
🔄
84'
M. Ishak ↔ Y. Agnero
Lech Poznan
🟨
90+4'
Roberto Alves
Radomiak Radom
🟨
90+3'
Yannick Agnero
Lech Poznan

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Radomiak Radom Win 32.7%
Draw 3.3%
Lech Poznan Win 63.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Radomiak Radom1.46
Lech Poznan1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
WWDLW
49 GF / 44 GA
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
WLDWL
88 GF / 65 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
22
BTTS Yes
33
18
Over 2.5
31
4.13
Shots on Goal
5.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 32 matches
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 48 matches
Radomiak Radom Statistic Lech Poznan
11 Wins 24
11 Draws 13
10 Losses 11
49 Goals For 88
44 Goals Against 65
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
22 BTTS Yes 33
26 Over 1.5 38
18 Over 2.5 31
13 Over 3.5 20
6 Clean Sheets 14
6 Failed To Score 4
4.13 Shots On Goal 5.52
14 Total Shots 15.63
4.63 Corners 5.17
50.8% Ball Possession 52.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Lech Poznan. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Radomiak Radom expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Lech Poznan in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lech Poznan having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Radomiak Radom Analysis

Radomiak Radom sit 8 with 44 points after 32 league matches. The record of 11 wins, 11 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 49:44 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Maurides (8 goals), Abdoul Tapsoba (6 goals), Capita (6 goals), with creative support from R. Wolski (7 assists), J. Grzesik (5 assists), Zie Ouattara (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Lech Poznan Analysis

Lech Poznan approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 56 points after 32 outings. They have recorded 15 wins, 11 draws, and 6 losses, with a 57:42 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on M. Ishak (15 goals), Luis Palma (8 goals), Ali Gholizadeh (6 goals), with creative support from Luis Palma (5 assists), J. Pereira (5 assists), M. Ishak (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Radomiak Radom won 1 times, Lech Poznan won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:19 from Radomiak Radom's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.7%)
Predicted formations: Radomiak Radom 4-1-4-1 / Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Radomiak Radom wins 1, draws 5, Lech Poznan wins 5
Stats
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 3
16 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 1
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Goal 5
2 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 7
1 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
385 Total passes 320
327 Passes accurate 255
0.50 expected_goals 1.40
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Radomiak Radom
Formation
Lech Poznan
F. Majchrowicz
F. Majchrowicz
Zie Ouattara
Zie Ouattara
S. Kingue
S. Kingue
A. Dieguez
A. Dieguez
J. Grzesik
J. Grzesik
C. Donis
C. Donis
E. Balde
E. Balde
R. Baro
R. Baro
Luquinhas
Luquinhas
V. Lopes
🎯
V. Lopes
Leandro
Leandro
B. Mrozek
B. Mrozek
J. Pereira
J. Pereira
M. Skrzypczak
M. Skrzypczak
W. Monka
W. Monka
M. Gurgul
M. Gurgul
P. Walemark
P. Walemark
A. Kozubal
A. Kozubal
P. Rodriguez
P. Rodriguez
L. Bengtsson
🎯
L. Bengtsson
M. Ishak
🎯
M. Ishak
L. Palma
🎯
L. Palma
Radomiak Radom 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
F. Majchrowicz
G
24
Zie Ouattara
D
14
S. Kingue
D
26
A. Dieguez
D
13
J. Grzesik
⚽ 8'
D
77
C. Donis
↓ 84' 🟨 83'
M
21
E. Balde
↓ 66'
M
6
R. Baro
↓ 84'
M
82
Luquinhas
M
7
V. Lopes
🎯 8' ↓ 65'
M
9
Leandro
↓ 11'
F
Substitutes
44
W. Koptas
G
75
M. Jerke
G
10
R. Alves
↑ 84' 🟨 90+4'
M
5
J. Blasco
D
20
Joao Pedro
↑ 65'
D
19
S. Soumah
↑ 66'
F
25
Maurides
↑ 11'
F
16
M. Cichocki
D
2
I. Camara
M
28
M. Kaput
M
33
O. Markiewicz
D
17
A. Zabicki
↑ 84'
M
Lech Poznan 4-4-2
Starting XI
41
B. Mrozek
G
2
J. Pereira
D
72
M. Skrzypczak
D
27
W. Monka
D
15
M. Gurgul
D
10
P. Walemark
⚽ 58' ↓ 66'
M
43
A. Kozubal
🟨 54'
M
99
P. Rodriguez
↓ 78'
M
14
L. Bengtsson
🎯 22' ↓ 78' 🟨 69'
M
9
M. Ishak
⚽ 16' 🎯 58' ↓ 84'
F
77
L. Palma
⚽ 22' 🎯 16' ↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
1
P. Andreev
G
33
M. Pruchniewski
G
22
R. Murawski
↑ 78'
M
7
Y. Agnero
↑ 84' 🟨 90+3'
F
90
H. Janyszka
D
24
F. Jagiello
↑ 66'
M
11
D. Hakans
↑ 66'
M
88
T. Ismaheel
↑ 78'
M
6
T. Ouma
M
Last matches: Radomiak Radom
23.05.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Gornik Zabrze
2
6
L
11.05.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
04.05.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Lechia Gdansk
3
1
W
26.04.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Wisla Plock
1
0
W
18.04.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
2
1
W
11.04.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Zaglebie Lubin
0
1
L
06.04.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Motor Lublin
1
1
D
20.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Piast Gliwice
1
3
L
13.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Legia Warszawa
1
1
D
08.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
GKS Katowice
0
1
L
05.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Arka Gdynia
3
1
W
01.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Nieciecza
1
1
D
22.02.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Jagiellonia
1
1
D
13.02.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Korona Kielce
0
2
L
08.02.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Raków Częstochowa
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Stal Rzeszów
2
1
W
19.01.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Portimonense
1
1
D
19.01.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Farense
5
0
W
14.01.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Moncarapachense
4
0
W
09.01.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Znicz Pruszków
3
1
W
Last matches: Lech Poznan
23.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
08.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
4
0
W
18.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
W
12.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
GKS Katowice
3
3
D
04.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
22.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Nieciecza
4
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
W
15.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
3
L
07.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Widzew Łódź
1
2
L
01.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Raków Częstochowa
4
3
W
26.02.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KuPS
1
0
W
22.02.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Korona Kielce
2
1
W
19.02.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KuPS
2
0
W
15.02.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
3
0
W
07.02.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Gornik Zabrze
1
0
W
03.02.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
0
1
L
31.01.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Lechia Gdansk
1
3
L
H2H: Radomiak Radom vs Lech Poznan
16.05.26
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
1
3
L
23.11.25
H2H
Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
4
1
L
27.04.25
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
2
2
D
26.10.24
H2H
Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
2
1
L
16.12.23
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
2
2
D
30.07.23
H2H
Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
2
0
L
24.04.23
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
1
1
D
09.10.22
H2H
Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
1
0
L
11.12.21
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
2
1
W
23.07.21
H2H
Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
0
0
D
11.02.21
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
1
1
D
Last matches: Radomiak Radom
04.05.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Lechia Gdansk
3
1
W
18.04.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
2
1
W
06.04.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Motor Lublin
1
1
D
13.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Legia Warszawa
1
1
D
08.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
GKS Katowice
0
1
L
05.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Arka Gdynia
3
1
W
13.02.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Korona Kielce
0
2
L
19.01.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Farense
5
0
W
14.01.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Moncarapachense
4
0
W
09.01.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Znicz Pruszków
3
1
W
28.11.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Gornik Zabrze
4
0
W
07.11.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Cracovia Krakow
3
0
W
27.10.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Wisla Plock
1
1
D
04.10.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Zaglebie Lubin
3
1
W
20.09.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Piast Gliwice
1
0
W
22.08.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Nieciecza
1
1
D
17.08.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Jagiellonia
1
2
L
03.08.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Raków Częstochowa
3
1
W
20.07.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Pogon Szczecin
5
1
W
H2H at home: Radomiak Radom
16.05.26
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
1
3
L
27.04.25
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
2
2
D
16.12.23
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
2
2
D
24.04.23
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
1
1
D
11.12.21
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
2
1
W
11.02.21
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
1
1
D
Last matches: Lech Poznan
02.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin
1
0
W
18.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
W
04.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
19.03.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
W
15.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
07.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Widzew Łódź
1
2
L
22.02.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Korona Kielce
2
1
W
19.02.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KuPS
2
0
W
07.02.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Gornik Zabrze
1
0
W
03.02.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
0
1
L
18.12.25
UEF
Lech Poznan
Sigma Olomouc
2
1
W
07.12.25
Eks
Lech Poznan
Cracovia Krakow
2
2
D
30.11.25
Eks
Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock
0
0
D
09.11.25
Eks
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
1
3
L
06.11.25
UEF
Lech Poznan
Rayo Vallecano
2
3
L
26.10.25
Eks
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
0
0
D
23.10.25
UEF
Lech Poznan
Lincoln Red Imps FC
1
2
L
05.10.25
Eks
Lech Poznan
GKS Katowice
1
0
W
24.09.25
Eks
Lech Poznan
Raków Częstochowa
2
2
D
20.09.25
Eks
Lech Poznan
Nieciecza
2
0
W
H2H away: Lech Poznan
16.05.26
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
1
3
W
27.04.25
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
2
2
D
16.12.23
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
2
2
D
24.04.23
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
1
1
D
11.12.21
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
2
1
L
11.02.21
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
1
1
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W