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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Plymouth
FT
5 - 2
Cardiff
Home Park
Referee: D. Drysdale
Plymouth
Match Timeline
Cardiff
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Omari Kellyman
Cardiff
⚽
28'
L. Tolaj · Assist: A. Pepple
Plymouth
⚽
31'
A. Pepple · Assist: J. Edwards
Plymouth
⚽
33'
O. Kellyman
Cardiff
⚽
34'
A. Pepple · Assist: W. Harding
Plymouth
🟨
37'
Caleb Watts
Plymouth
⚽
43'
O. Kellyman · Assist: P. Ng
Cardiff
🟨
44'
Mathias Ross
Plymouth
🟨
45+6'
Gabriel Osho
Cardiff
🔄
46'
C. Watts ↔ M. Sorinola
Plymouth
🔄
46'
D. Turnbull ↔ R. Colwill
Cardiff
🔄
62'
C. Willock ↔ C. Ashford
Cardiff
🔄
62'
J. Colwill ↔ C. Robinson
Cardiff
🟨
67'
Perry Ng
Cardiff
⚽
68'
L. Tolaj
Plymouth
🟨
70'
Malachi Boateng
Plymouth
🟨
72'
Alex Robertson
Cardiff
🔄
76'
P. Ng ↔ R. Kpakio
Cardiff
🔄
80'
B. Wiredu ↔ B. Ibrahim
Plymouth
⚽
81'
M. Ross · Assist: R. Curtis
Plymouth
🔄
85'
L. Tolaj ↔ X. Amaechi
Plymouth
🔄
86'
A. Pepple ↔ O. Dale
Plymouth
🔄
88'
J. Bagan ↔ C. Scanlon
Cardiff

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Plymouth Win 0%
Draw 0%
Cardiff Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Plymouth1.19
Cardiff1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Plymouth Plymouth
WWDLW
44 GF / 49 GA
Cardiff Cardiff
WLDWL
62 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
15
BTTS Yes
18
16
Over 2.5
19
3.94
Shots on Goal
5.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Plymouth Plymouth 33 matches
Cardiff Cardiff 33 matches
Plymouth Statistic Cardiff
13 Wins 21
4 Draws 6
16 Losses 6
44 Goals For 62
49 Goals Against 32
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
15 BTTS Yes 18
24 Over 1.5 24
16 Over 2.5 19
12 Over 3.5 11
9 Clean Sheets 12
9 Failed To Score 4
3.94 Shots On Goal 5.06
11.97 Total Shots 13.91
5.24 Corners 5
48.2% Ball Possession 59.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Plymouth won 2 times, Cardiff won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:15 from Plymouth's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Plymouth 4-4-2 / Cardiff 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Plymouth wins 2, draws 2, Cardiff wins 2
Stats
Plymouth Plymouth
Cardiff Cardiff
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
7
3 Corner Kicks 8
23 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
29% Ball Possession 71%
16 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 7
10 Shots insidebox 10
6 Shots outsidebox 8
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
186 Total passes 463
119 Passes accurate 371
2.67 expected_goals 2.21
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Plymouth
Formation
Cardiff
C. Hazard
C. Hazard
J. Edwards
🎯
J. Edwards
M. Ross
⚽
M. Ross
A. Mitchell
A. Mitchell
W. Harding
🎯
W. Harding
R. Curtis
🎯
R. Curtis
M. Boateng
M. Boateng
B. Wiredu
↓
B. Wiredu
C. Watts
↓
C. Watts
L. Tolaj
⚽ 2 ↓
L. Tolaj
A. Pepple
⚽ 2 🎯 ↓
A. Pepple
N. Trott
N. Trott
P. Ng
🎯 ↓
P. Ng
G. Osho
G. Osho
C. Chambers
C. Chambers
J. Bagan
↓
J. Bagan
A. Robertson
A. Robertson
D. Turnbull
↓
D. Turnbull
O. Tanner
O. Tanner
J. Colwill
↓
J. Colwill
C. Willock
↓
C. Willock
O. Kellyman
⚽ 2
O. Kellyman
Plymouth 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
C. Hazard
G
8
J. Edwards
🎯 31'
D
2
M. Ross
⚽ 81' 🟨 44'
D
15
A. Mitchell
D
45
W. Harding
🎯 34'
D
28
R. Curtis
🎯 81'
M
19
M. Boateng
🟨 70'
M
4
B. Wiredu
↓ 80'
M
17
C. Watts
↓ 46' 🟨 37'
M
9
L. Tolaj
⚽ 28' ⚽ 68' ↓ 85'
F
27
A. Pepple
⚽ 31' ⚽ 34' 🎯 28' ↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
21
L. Ashby-Hammond
G
5
J. Pleguezuelo
D
35
O. Dale
↑ 86'
F
10
X. Amaechi
↑ 85'
F
3
J. MacKenzie
D
29
M. Sorinola
↑ 46'
D
23
B. Ibrahim
↑ 80'
M
Cardiff 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
N. Trott
G
38
P. Ng
🎯 43' ↓ 76' 🟨 67'
D
4
G. Osho
🟨 45+6'
D
12
C. Chambers
D
3
J. Bagan
↓ 88'
D
18
A. Robertson
🟨 72'
M
14
D. Turnbull
↓ 46'
M
11
O. Tanner
M
27
J. Colwill
↓ 62'
M
16
C. Willock
↓ 62'
M
8
O. Kellyman
⚽ 33' ⚽ 43' 🟨 15'
F
Substitutes
10
R. Colwill
↑ 46'
M
23
C. Scanlon
↑ 88'
D
45
C. Ashford
↑ 62'
F
44
R. Kpakio
↑ 76'
D
47
C. Robinson
↑ 62'
F
6
R. Wintle
M
48
D. Lawlor
D
Last matches: Plymouth
04.08.26
Fri
Plymouth
Tavistock
4
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Plymouth
Bristol City
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Truro City
1
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Torquay
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Bath City
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Plymouth Parkway
4
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Plymouth
Northampton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Port Vale
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Bradford
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
AFC Wimbledon
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Exeter City
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Barnsley
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Bolton
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Huddersfield
3
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Stevenage
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Reading
2
2
D
10.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Wigan
3
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Doncaster
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Rotherham
0
1
L
17.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Leyton Orient
3
1
W
Last matches: Cardiff
01.08.26
Fri
Cardiff
AS Roma
4
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Forest Green
5
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Cork City
6
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
FC Midtjylland
0
6
L
02.05.26
Lea
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
4
5
L
25.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Northampton
5
1
W
22.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Port Vale
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Reading
3
1
W
14.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Huddersfield
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Bolton
2
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Peterborough
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Blackpool
0
0
D
17.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wycombe
0
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Exeter City
4
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Barnsley
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Lincoln
0
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Doncaster
4
0
W
17.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
AFC Wimbledon
4
1
W
14.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Luton
3
1
W
07.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Rotherham
3
0
W
H2H: Plymouth vs Cardiff
21.02.26
H2H
Plymouth
Cardiff
5
2
W
30.08.25
H2H
Cardiff
Plymouth
4
0
L
22.02.25
H2H
Plymouth
Cardiff
1
1
D
19.10.24
H2H
Cardiff
Plymouth
5
0
L
20.01.24
H2H
Plymouth
Cardiff
3
1
W
26.12.23
H2H
Cardiff
Plymouth
2
2
D
Last matches: Plymouth
01.08.26
Fri
Plymouth
Bristol City
0
0
D
25.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Port Vale
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Exeter City
2
2
D
03.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Bolton
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Huddersfield
3
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Stevenage
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Doncaster
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Lincoln
1
4
L
27.01.26
Lea
Plymouth
Mansfield Town
1
1
D
24.01.26
Lea
Plymouth
Luton
1
0
W
04.01.26
Lea
Plymouth
Burton Albion
3
0
W
29.12.25
Lea
Plymouth
Wycombe
1
1
D
26.12.25
Lea
Plymouth
Reading
1
4
L
13.12.25
Lea
Plymouth
Rotherham
1
0
W
06.12.25
Lea
Plymouth
Bradford
0
1
L
29.11.25
Lea
Plymouth
Northampton
0
3
L
18.10.25
Lea
Plymouth
AFC Wimbledon
1
2
L
04.10.25
Lea
Plymouth
Wigan
1
1
D
20.09.25
Lea
Plymouth
Peterborough
0
1
L
06.09.25
Lea
Plymouth
Stockport County
4
2
W
H2H at home: Plymouth
21.02.26
H2H
Plymouth
Cardiff
5
2
W
22.02.25
H2H
Plymouth
Cardiff
1
1
D
20.01.24
H2H
Plymouth
Cardiff
3
1
W
Last matches: Cardiff
25.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Forest Green
5
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Cork City
6
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
4
5
L
18.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Reading
3
1
W
14.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Huddersfield
1
1
D
06.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Peterborough
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Exeter City
4
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Barnsley
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Doncaster
4
0
W
07.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Rotherham
3
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Burton Albion
2
2
D
17.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Bradford
2
1
W
10.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Leyton Orient
1
1
D
01.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wycombe
1
1
D
20.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Lincoln
1
2
L
09.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Stevenage
1
0
W
22.11.25
Lea
Cardiff
Northampton
3
1
W
08.11.25
Lea
Cardiff
Blackpool
1
3
L
01.11.25
FA
Cardiff
Peterborough
0
1
L
25.10.25
Lea
Cardiff
Bolton
0
1
L
H2H away: Cardiff
21.02.26
H2H
Plymouth
Cardiff
5
2
L
22.02.25
H2H
Plymouth
Cardiff
1
1
D
20.01.24
H2H
Plymouth
Cardiff
3
1
L

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Lincoln
46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2
Cardiff Away
46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3
Stockport County
46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4
Bradford
46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5
Bolton
46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6
Stevenage
46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7
Luton
46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8
Plymouth Home
46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9
Huddersfield
46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10
Mansfield Town
46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11
Wycombe
46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12
Reading
46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13
Blackpool
46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14
Doncaster
46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15
Barnsley
46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16
Wigan
46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17
Burton Albion
46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18
Peterborough
46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19
AFC Wimbledon
46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20
Leyton Orient
46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21
Exeter City
46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22
Port Vale
46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23
Rotherham
46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24
Northampton
46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two