Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
72.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Philadelphia Union
New York Red Bulls
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Philadelphia Union
24 matches
New York Red Bulls
21 matches
| Philadelphia Union | Statistic | New York Red Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 8 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 13 | Losses | 9 |
| 40 | Goals For | 38 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.81 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.14 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.53 | Shots On Goal | 5.07 |
| 14.68 | Total Shots | 13.47 |
| 5.84 | Corners | 6.07 |
| 47.8% | Ball Possession | 52.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Philadelphia Union have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward New York Red Bulls. New York Red Bulls carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 22 points while Philadelphia Union sit 15 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward New York Red Bulls having the stronger overall control.
With 7 points from 15 games and a place of 15, Philadelphia Union still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats with a 18:30 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Iloski (7 goals), D. Jean Jacques (2 goals), A. Anello (1 goals), with creative support from A. Bedoya (2 assists), F. Westfield (2 assists), M. Iloski (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 5 place with 22 points from 15 games, New York Red Bulls bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 25:32, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Hall (9 goals), J. Ruvalcaba (7 goals), E. M. Choupo-Moting (2 goals), with creative support from Ronald Donkor (4 assists), J. Hall (3 assists), C. Cowell (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Philadelphia Union won 9 times, New York Red Bulls won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:9 from Philadelphia Union's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Philadelphia Union
10
5
10
3
4
2
Lineups
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
Seattle Sounders
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Philadelphia Union
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
DC United
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC
New York Red Bulls
Houston Dynamo
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
Seattle Sounders
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Philadelphia Union
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
Defence Force
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Philadelphia Union
Buducnost Podgorica
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC
New York Red Bulls
Houston Dynamo
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 40:15 | 25 | 46 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 48:38 | 10 | 39 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 36:25 | 11 | 35 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 33 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 48:46 | 2 | 30 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 35:31 | 4 | 29 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
New York Red Bulls
Away
|
20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 30:42 | -12 | 25 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 9 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 27:33 | -6 | 24 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 32:50 | -18 | 21 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 20 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 |
Philadelphia Union
Home
|
20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 30:37 | -7 | 20 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27:37 | -10 | 20 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23:35 | -12 | 18 |
W
W
L
L
D
|