AUSTRALIA VICTORIA NPL
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.2%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Hume City Win 49.2%
Draw 17.9%
Sunshine Georgies Win 32.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hume City1.72
Sunshine Georgies1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hume City Hume City
WWDLW
48 GF / 32 GA
Sunshine Georgies Sunshine Georgies
WLDWL
32 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
17
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hume City Hume City 24 matches
Sunshine Georgies Sunshine Georgies 24 matches
Hume City Statistic Sunshine Georgies
14 Wins 8
4 Draws 11
6 Losses 5
48 Goals For 32
32 Goals Against 31
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
17 BTTS Yes 14
18 Over 1.5 18
15 Over 2.5 11
11 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 8
3 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Hume City's more proactive style and Sunshine Georgies's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sunshine Georgies. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sunshine Georgies having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Hume City have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Hume City Analysis

Hume City sit 2 with 43 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 43:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Sunshine Georgies Analysis

Sunshine Georgies are currently 8 in the standings with 32 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 11 draws, and 5 losses, while the 29:29 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Hume City won 1 times, Sunshine Georgies won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Hume City's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.1%)
H2H summary: Hume City wins 1, draws 0, Sunshine Georgies wins 0
Last matches: Hume City
15.08.26
Vic
Hume City
Heidelberg United
5
4
W
01.08.26
Vic
Hume City
Melbourne City II
1
0
W
24.07.26
Vic
Hume City
St. Albans Saints
2
3
L
18.07.26
Vic
Hume City
Oakleigh Cannons
0
1
L
10.07.26
Vic
Hume City
Preston Lions
1
2
L
04.07.26
Vic
Hume City
Dandenong City
0
0
D
27.06.26
Vic
Hume City
Dandenong Thunder
3
1
W
20.06.26
Vic
Hume City
Green Gully
3
2
W
05.06.26
Vic
Hume City
Bentleigh Greens
5
1
W
30.05.26
Vic
Hume City
South Melbourne
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vic
Hume City
Altona Magic
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vic
Hume City
Avondale
3
0
W
09.05.26
Vic
Hume City
Sunshine Georgies
4
2
W
02.05.26
Vic
Hume City
Heidelberg United
2
1
W
26.04.26
Vic
Hume City
Melbourne City II
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vic
Hume City
St. Albans Saints
0
1
L
11.04.26
Vic
Hume City
Oakleigh Cannons
2
3
L
28.03.26
Vic
Hume City
Preston Lions
3
2
W
20.03.26
Vic
Hume City
Dandenong City
1
1
D
14.03.26
Vic
Hume City
Dandenong Thunder
3
1
W
Last matches: Sunshine Georgies
15.08.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Avondale
3
2
W
01.08.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Altona Magic
1
1
D
24.07.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Heidelberg United
0
0
D
18.07.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Melbourne City II
1
0
W
12.07.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
St. Albans Saints
2
2
D
04.07.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Oakleigh Cannons
1
1
D
27.06.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Preston Lions
0
2
L
20.06.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Dandenong City
3
2
W
06.06.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Dandenong Thunder
3
2
W
30.05.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Green Gully
0
0
D
22.05.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Bentleigh Greens
0
0
D
18.05.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
South Melbourne
4
0
W
09.05.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Hume City
2
4
L
02.05.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Avondale
2
5
L
25.04.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Altona Magic
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Heidelberg United
0
3
L
12.04.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Melbourne City II
1
1
D
28.03.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
St. Albans Saints
2
1
W
20.03.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Oakleigh Cannons
1
2
L
13.03.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Preston Lions
1
1
D
H2H: Hume City vs Sunshine Georgies
09.05.26
H2H
Sunshine Georgies
Hume City
2
4
W
Last matches: Hume City
01.08.26
Vic
Hume City
Melbourne City II
1
0
W
18.07.26
Vic
Hume City
Oakleigh Cannons
0
1
L
04.07.26
Vic
Hume City
Dandenong City
0
0
D
20.06.26
Vic
Hume City
Green Gully
3
2
W
30.05.26
Vic
Hume City
South Melbourne
1
1
D
16.05.26
Vic
Hume City
Avondale
3
0
W
02.05.26
Vic
Hume City
Heidelberg United
2
1
W
18.04.26
Vic
Hume City
St. Albans Saints
0
1
L
28.03.26
Vic
Hume City
Preston Lions
3
2
W
14.03.26
Vic
Hume City
Dandenong Thunder
3
1
W
28.02.26
Vic
Hume City
Bentleigh Greens
1
0
W
13.02.26
Vic
Hume City
Altona Magic
1
3
L
15.08.25
Vic
Hume City
Melbourne Victory II
1
2
L
25.07.25
Vic
Hume City
Port Melbourne
4
1
W
04.07.25
Vic
Hume City
Avondale
1
2
L
20.06.25
Vic
Hume City
Heidelberg United
0
1
L
06.06.25
Vic
Hume City
Dandenong City
3
0
W
30.05.25
Vic
Hume City
Green Gully
3
2
W
16.05.25
Vic
Hume City
Preston Lions
0
1
L
10.05.25
Vic
Hume City
St. Albans Saints
3
2
W
Last matches: Sunshine Georgies
01.08.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Altona Magic
1
1
D
24.07.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Heidelberg United
0
0
D
12.07.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
St. Albans Saints
2
2
D
06.06.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Dandenong Thunder
3
2
W
22.05.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Bentleigh Greens
0
0
D
18.05.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
South Melbourne
4
0
W
02.05.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Avondale
2
5
L
12.04.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Melbourne City II
1
1
D
20.03.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Oakleigh Cannons
1
2
L
13.03.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Preston Lions
1
1
D
06.03.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Dandenong City
0
0
D
20.02.26
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Green Gully
2
0
W
16.08.25
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Melbourne Srbija
2
0
W
26.07.25
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Melbourne City II
2
1
W
04.07.25
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Northcote City
2
1
W
09.06.25
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Kingston City
3
1
W
11.05.25
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Western United II
5
0
W
26.04.25
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Eastern Lions
3
2
W
04.04.25
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Moreland City
2
1
W
21.03.25
Vic
Sunshine Georgies
Bentleigh Greens
2
3
L

Standings

Victoria NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 15 6 3 49:21 28 51
W D L W W
2 24 15 4 5 40:18 22 49
W W D W D
3 24 14 4 6 48:32 16 46
W W L L L
4 24 13 2 9 61:34 27 41
L W W D L
5 24 13 2 9 38:33 5 41
W W W D W
6 24 8 11 5 32:31 1 35
W D D W D
7 24 9 7 8 38:33 5 34
L L D D D
8 24 9 6 9 32:29 3 33
W W D L L
9 24 8 6 10 39:34 5 30
L L L L L
10 24 7 7 10 28:42 -14 28
D L W D D
11 24 7 6 11 27:39 -12 27
L D W D W
12 24 5 6 13 21:47 -26 21
D D L W L
13 24 3 6 15 20:49 -29 15
L D D W L
14 24 4 3 17 23:54 -31 15
L L L L W