AUSTRALIA VICTORIA NPL
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.6%
Odds 2.02
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.6%
2.02
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
1.68
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Dandenong City Win 39%
Draw 3.5%
Preston Lions Win 57.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dandenong City1.1
Preston Lions1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dandenong City Dandenong City
WWDLW
32 GF / 29 GA
Preston Lions Preston Lions
WLDWL
40 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
12
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dandenong City Dandenong City 24 matches
Preston Lions Preston Lions 24 matches
Dandenong City Statistic Preston Lions
9 Wins 15
6 Draws 4
9 Losses 5
32 Goals For 40
29 Goals Against 18
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
12 BTTS Yes 8
16 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 12
8 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Preston Lions. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Preston Lions carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 43 points while Dandenong City sit 9 on 30, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Preston Lions having the stronger overall control.

Dandenong City Analysis

Dandenong City sit 9 with 30 points after 23 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, while the 30:29 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Preston Lions Analysis

Preston Lions come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 43 points after 22 matches. They have recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a 33:18 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Dandenong City won 0 times, Preston Lions won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:10 from Dandenong City's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
H2H summary: Dandenong City wins 0, draws 2, Preston Lions wins 3
Last matches: Dandenong City
14.08.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Altona Magic
2
0
W
01.08.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Dandenong Thunder
3
0
W
24.07.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Green Gully
0
0
D
17.07.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Bentleigh Greens
1
2
L
10.07.26
Vic
Dandenong City
South Melbourne
0
2
L
04.07.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Hume City
0
0
D
26.06.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Avondale
3
1
W
20.06.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Sunshine Georgies
2
3
L
05.06.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Heidelberg United
4
1
W
30.05.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Melbourne City II
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vic
Dandenong City
St. Albans Saints
2
1
W
15.05.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Oakleigh Cannons
1
1
D
08.05.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Preston Lions
0
1
L
02.05.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Altona Magic
0
1
L
24.04.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Dandenong Thunder
0
1
L
17.04.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Green Gully
2
1
W
11.04.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Bentleigh Greens
3
0
W
31.03.26
Vic
Dandenong City
South Melbourne
2
4
L
20.03.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Hume City
1
1
D
14.03.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Avondale
1
4
L
Last matches: Preston Lions
19.08.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Melbourne City II
4
0
W
16.08.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Dandenong Thunder
3
0
W
31.07.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Green Gully
2
2
D
24.07.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Bentleigh Greens
1
0
W
18.07.26
Vic
Preston Lions
South Melbourne
0
0
D
10.07.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Hume City
2
1
W
04.07.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Avondale
3
2
W
27.06.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Sunshine Georgies
2
0
W
20.06.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Heidelberg United
1
0
W
31.05.26
Vic
Preston Lions
St. Albans Saints
1
0
W
24.05.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Oakleigh Cannons
0
1
L
16.05.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Altona Magic
0
1
L
08.05.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Dandenong City
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Dandenong Thunder
1
0
W
24.04.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Green Gully
4
0
W
17.04.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Bentleigh Greens
1
1
D
11.04.26
Vic
Preston Lions
South Melbourne
0
3
L
28.03.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Hume City
2
3
L
20.03.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Avondale
2
1
W
13.03.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Sunshine Georgies
1
1
D
H2H: Dandenong City vs Preston Lions
08.05.26
H2H
Preston Lions
Dandenong City
1
0
L
23.05.25
H2H
Preston Lions
Dandenong City
1
1
D
14.02.25
H2H
Dandenong City
Preston Lions
2
2
D
02.06.23
H2H
Preston Lions
Dandenong City
2
1
L
03.03.23
H2H
Dandenong City
Preston Lions
1
4
L
Last matches: Dandenong City
14.08.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Altona Magic
2
0
W
10.07.26
Vic
Dandenong City
South Melbourne
0
2
L
26.06.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Avondale
3
1
W
05.06.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Heidelberg United
4
1
W
22.05.26
Vic
Dandenong City
St. Albans Saints
2
1
W
15.05.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Oakleigh Cannons
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Dandenong Thunder
0
1
L
17.04.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Green Gully
2
1
W
11.04.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Bentleigh Greens
3
0
W
20.03.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Hume City
1
1
D
06.03.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Sunshine Georgies
0
0
D
20.02.26
Vic
Dandenong City
Melbourne City II
2
4
L
16.08.25
Vic
Dandenong City
Melbourne Knights
7
1
W
25.07.25
Vic
Dandenong City
Oakleigh Cannons
1
0
W
04.07.25
Vic
Dandenong City
South Melbourne
3
3
D
20.06.25
Vic
Dandenong City
Altona Magic
2
1
W
13.06.25
Vic
Dandenong City
Green Gully
0
0
D
30.05.25
Vic
Dandenong City
Dandenong Thunder
1
2
L
09.05.25
Vic
Dandenong City
Melbourne Victory II
3
1
W
25.04.25
Vic
Dandenong City
Port Melbourne
5
2
W
H2H at home: Dandenong City
14.02.25
H2H
Dandenong City
Preston Lions
2
2
D
03.03.23
H2H
Dandenong City
Preston Lions
1
4
L
Last matches: Preston Lions
18.07.26
Vic
Preston Lions
South Melbourne
0
0
D
04.07.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Avondale
3
2
W
27.06.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Sunshine Georgies
2
0
W
20.06.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Heidelberg United
1
0
W
31.05.26
Vic
Preston Lions
St. Albans Saints
1
0
W
16.05.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Altona Magic
0
1
L
02.05.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Dandenong Thunder
1
0
W
24.04.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Green Gully
4
0
W
17.04.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Bentleigh Greens
1
1
D
28.03.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Hume City
2
3
L
01.03.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Melbourne City II
3
0
W
15.02.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Oakleigh Cannons
3
1
W
15.11.25
Aus
Preston Lions
Avondale
1
1
D
02.11.25
Aus
Preston Lions
NWS Spirit
3
1
W
19.10.25
Aus
Preston Lions
Canberra FC
2
3
L
05.09.25
Vic
Preston Lions
Heidelberg United
1
2
L
31.08.25
Vic
Preston Lions
Oakleigh Cannons
2
1
W
15.08.25
Vic
Preston Lions
Green Gully
1
0
W
03.08.25
Vic
Preston Lions
St. Albans Saints
3
0
W
27.06.25
Vic
Preston Lions
Oakleigh Cannons
0
4
L
H2H away: Preston Lions
14.02.25
H2H
Dandenong City
Preston Lions
2
2
D
03.03.23
H2H
Dandenong City
Preston Lions
1
4
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.02
Draw 3.64
Home 3.04
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.0 1.30
Over 2.25 1.49
Over 2.5 1.68
Over 2.75 1.88
Over 3.0 2.17
Over 3.25 2.44
Over 3.5 2.73
Under 2.0 3.21
Under 2.25 2.46
Under 2.5 2.10
Under 2.75 1.89
Under 3.0 1.64
Under 3.25 1.50
Under 3.5 1.40
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.05
Draw 3.70
Home 2.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.62
Draw 2.25
Home 3.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.40
Draw 2.62
Home 3.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.70
Over 3.5 2.62
Over 4.5 4.50
Over 5.5 8.50
Over 6.5 12.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.10
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.96
Draw 3.54
Home 3.24
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.22
Home 3.84
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.31
Draw 2.56
Home 3.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.08
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 1.75 1.22
Over 2.0 1.28
Over 2.25 1.49
Over 2.5 1.67
Over 2.75 1.84
Over 3.0 2.10
Over 3.25 2.38
Over 3.5 2.66
Over 3.75 3.14
Over 4.0 4.20
Over 4.25 4.54
Over 4.5 4.85
Over 4.75 6.15
Over 5.0 8.70
Over 5.5 9.30
Over 6.5 12.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 11.70
Under 1.0 8.70
Under 1.25 5.44
Under 1.5 3.92
Under 1.75 3.50
Under 2.0 3.08
Under 2.25 2.42
Under 2.5 2.05
Under 2.75 1.84
Under 3.0 1.59
Under 3.25 1.46
Under 3.5 1.37
Under 3.75 1.27
Under 4.0 1.16
Under 4.25 1.13
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 4.75 1.06
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.00
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.90
Draw 3.30
Home 3.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.48
Draw 2.23
Home 3.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.71
Over 3.5 2.75
Under 1.5 3.55
Under 2.5 1.93
Under 3.5 1.36

Standings

Victoria NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 15 6 3 49:21 28 51
W D L W W
2 24 15 4 5 40:18 22 49
W W D W D
3 24 14 4 6 48:32 16 46
W W L L L
4 24 13 2 9 61:34 27 41
L W W D L
5 24 13 2 9 38:33 5 41
W W W D W
6 24 8 11 5 32:31 1 35
W D D W D
7 24 9 7 8 38:33 5 34
L L D D D
8 24 9 6 9 32:29 3 33
W W D L L
9 24 8 6 10 39:34 5 30
L L L L L
10 24 7 7 10 28:42 -14 28
D L W D D
11 24 7 6 11 27:39 -12 27
L D W D W
12 24 5 6 13 21:47 -26 21
D D L W L
13 24 3 6 15 20:49 -29 15
L D D W L
14 24 4 3 17 23:54 -31 15
L L L L W