Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82.5%
|
1.59 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
1.95 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
1.92 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.40 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Palmeiras
31 matches
Vasco DA Gama
22 matches
| Palmeiras | Statistic | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 5 |
| 9 | Draws | 7 |
| 4 | Losses | 10 |
| 52 | Goals For | 23 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.05 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.55 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.94 | Shots On Goal | 5.09 |
| 15.1 | Total Shots | 17.5 |
| 5.9 | Corners | 5.32 |
| 53.3% | Ball Possession | 54.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Palmeiras's more proactive style and Vasco DA Gama's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Palmeiras expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Vasco DA Gama in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vasco DA Gama having the stronger overall control. Vasco DA Gama arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Palmeiras arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 48 points compared to Vasco DA Gama in 18 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Vasco DA Gama. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Palmeiras arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 48 points after 23 matches. The record of 14 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 40:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through José Manuel López (6 goals), Allan (4 goals), Ramón Sosa (4 goals), with creative support from Andreas Pereira (9 assists), José Manuel López (3 assists), Joaquín Piquerez (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Vasco DA Gama sit 18 with 22 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 23:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Andrés Gómez (4 goals), Thiago Mendes (3 goals), Puma Rodríguez (2 goals), with creative support from Puma Rodríguez (3 assists), Cuiabano (2 assists), David (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Palmeiras won 10 times, Vasco DA Gama won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:8 from Palmeiras's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Internacional
Palmeiras
Vitoria
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
Coritiba
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
Palmeiras
Junior
Palmeiras
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Remo
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Santos
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Internacional
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
Palmeiras
Junior
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Santos
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Gremio
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Palmeiras
Mirassol
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
Home
|
23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 2 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45:21 | 24 | 45 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36:29 | 7 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 23 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 |
Vasco DA Gama
Away
|
22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|