BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Nubank Parque
Referee: D. Lacerda
Palmeiras
Match Timeline
Internacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
39'
Murilo
Palmeiras
🟨
52'
Paulinho Paula
Internacional
🔄
58'
R. Sosa ↔ Vitor Roque
Palmeiras
🔄
58'
Mauricio ↔ J. Lopez
Palmeiras
🔄
63'
Matheus Bahia ↔ B. Aguirre
Internacional
🟨
70'
Braian Aguirre
Internacional
🟨
72'
Matheus Cunha
Internacional
🔄
77'
Allan Elias ↔ Felipe Anderson
Palmeiras
🔄
77'
E. Martinez ↔ A. Giay
Palmeiras
🔄
77'
Alan Patrick ↔ Juninho
Internacional
🔄
77'
Bruno Henrique ↔ Ronaldo
Internacional
🔄
88'
J. Carbonero ↔ Joao Bezerra
Internacional

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.6%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Palmeiras Win 80.6%
Draw 5.6%
Internacional Win 13.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palmeiras1.58
Internacional0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palmeiras Palmeiras
WWDLW
48 GF / 21 GA
Internacional Internacional
WLDWL
23 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
1.1
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
17
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
8
4.93
Shots on Goal
4.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Palmeiras Palmeiras 27 matches
Internacional Internacional 21 matches
Palmeiras Statistic Internacional
17 Wins 5
7 Draws 7
3 Losses 9
48 Goals For 23
21 Goals Against 27
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
17 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 6
4.93 Shots On Goal 4.76
14.7 Total Shots 15.38
5.93 Corners 6.81
53.5% Ball Possession 49.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Palmeiras's more proactive style and Internacional's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Internacional. Palmeiras come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Palmeiras expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Internacional in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Internacional having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Palmeiras arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 47 points compared to Internacional in 16 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Palmeiras Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 47 points from 21 games, Palmeiras bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 14 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 38:16, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by José Manuel López (6 goals), Allan (4 goals), Ramón Sosa (4 goals), with creative support from Andreas Pereira (9 assists), José Manuel López (3 assists), Joaquín Piquerez (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Internacional Analysis

With 22 points from 21 games and a place of 16, Internacional still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 23:27, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Johan Carbonero (5 goals), Alexandro Bernabei (4 goals), Alerrandro (3 goals), with creative support from Johan Carbonero (3 assists), Alerrandro (3 assists), Vitinho (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Palmeiras won 7 times, Internacional won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:13 from Palmeiras's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Palmeiras 3-4-1-2 / Internacional 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Palmeiras wins 7, draws 5, Internacional wins 3
Stats
Palmeiras Palmeiras
Internacional Internacional
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 2
11 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 2
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Goal 2
10 Shots off Goal 4
9 Blocked Shots 3
13 Shots insidebox 4
9 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
545 Total passes 343
461 Passes accurate 258
1.19 expected_goals 0.24
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Palmeiras
Formation
Internacional
Carlos Miguel
Carlos Miguel
E. Martinez
E. Martinez
Murilo
Murilo
A. Barboza
A. Barboza
Allan Elias
Allan Elias
Andreas Pereira
Andreas Pereira
Marlon Freitas
Marlon Freitas
J. Piquerez
J. Piquerez
Mauricio
Mauricio
J. Arias
J. Arias
R. Sosa
R. Sosa
Matheus Cunha
Matheus Cunha
Bruno Gomes
Bruno Gomes
G. Maripan
G. Maripan
F. Torres
F. Torres
Vitinho
Vitinho
Paulinho Paula
Paulinho Paula
Bruno Henrique
Bruno Henrique
Matheus Bahia
Matheus Bahia
A. Bernabei
A. Bernabei
J. Carbonero
J. Carbonero
Alan Patrick
Alan Patrick
Palmeiras 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
Carlos Miguel
G
32
E. Martinez
↓ 77'
D
26
Murilo
🟨 39'
D
2
A. Barboza
D
40
Allan Elias
↓ 77'
M
8
Andreas Pereira
M
17
Marlon Freitas
M
22
J. Piquerez
M
18
Mauricio
↓ 58'
F
11
J. Arias
F
19
R. Sosa
↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
14
Marcelo Lomba
G
7
Felipe Anderson
↑ 77'
M
9
Vitor Roque
↑ 58'
F
37
Riquelme Fillipi
56
Arthur Gabriel
D
50
Luis Pacheco
M
30
Lucas Evangelista
M
42
J. Lopez
↑ 58'
F
4
A. Giay
↑ 77'
D
43
Benedetti
D
48
Larson
M
29
M. C. Bilong
F
Internacional 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
23
Matheus Cunha
🟨 72'
G
15
Bruno Gomes
D
3
G. Maripan
D
4
F. Torres
D
28
Vitinho
M
27
Paulinho Paula
🟨 52'
M
8
Bruno Henrique
↓ 77'
M
6
Matheus Bahia
↓ 63'
M
26
A. Bernabei
F
7
J. Carbonero
↓ 88'
F
10
Alan Patrick
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
12
Anthoni
G
25
G. Mercado
D
18
Juninho
↑ 77'
D
35
B. Aguirre
↑ 63' 🟨 70'
D
53
L. F. de Morais Francisco
D
16
Ronaldo
↑ 77'
M
9
Alerrandro
F
30
Calebe
M
31
Allex
M
49
Joao Bezerra
↑ 88'
F
51
J. Gabriel Kempes Goncalves
M
52
G. Vinicius
M
Last matches: Palmeiras
19.08.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
1
0
W
15.08.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Fluminense
2
3
L
12.08.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
30.07.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Vitoria
4
0
W
26.07.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
1
2
L
22.07.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Coritiba
3
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
1
0
W
28.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
4
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Flamengo
3
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Remo
1
1
D
05.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Santos
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
16.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Corinthians
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
1
1
D
Last matches: Internacional
17.08.26
Ser
Internacional
Remo
1
1
D
29.07.26
Ser
Internacional
Flamengo
1
1
D
25.07.26
Ser
Internacional
Atletico Paranaense
0
2
L
23.07.26
Ser
Internacional
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Internacional
RB Bragantino
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Vitoria
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
4
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Coritiba
2
2
D
03.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Fluminense
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Botafogo
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Mirassol
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Gremio
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Corinthians
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Santos
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Bahia
0
1
L
11.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
25.02.26
Ser
Internacional
Remo
1
1
D
13.02.26
Ser
Internacional
Palmeiras
1
3
L
H2H: Palmeiras vs Internacional
09.08.26
H2H
Palmeiras
Internacional
0
0
D
13.02.26
H2H
Internacional
Palmeiras
1
3
W
13.09.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Internacional
4
1
W
16.04.25
H2H
Internacional
Palmeiras
0
1
W
04.08.24
H2H
Internacional
Palmeiras
1
1
D
17.04.24
H2H
Palmeiras
Internacional
0
1
L
12.11.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Internacional
3
0
W
16.07.23
H2H
Internacional
Palmeiras
0
0
D
13.11.22
H2H
Internacional
Palmeiras
3
0
L
24.07.22
H2H
Palmeiras
Internacional
2
1
W
17.10.21
H2H
Palmeiras
Internacional
1
0
W
30.06.21
H2H
Internacional
Palmeiras
1
2
W
20.12.20
H2H
Internacional
Palmeiras
2
0
L
03.09.20
H2H
Palmeiras
Internacional
1
1
D
29.09.19
H2H
Internacional
Palmeiras
1
1
D
Last matches: Palmeiras
12.08.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
26.07.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
1
0
W
28.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
4
1
W
21.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Santos
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
16.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
03.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Gremio
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Botafogo
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Mirassol
1
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Fluminense
2
1
W
05.02.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Vitoria
5
1
W
H2H at home: Palmeiras
09.08.26
H2H
Palmeiras
Internacional
0
0
D
13.09.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Internacional
4
1
W
17.04.24
H2H
Palmeiras
Internacional
0
1
L
12.11.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Internacional
3
0
W
24.07.22
H2H
Palmeiras
Internacional
2
1
W
17.10.21
H2H
Palmeiras
Internacional
1
0
W
03.09.20
H2H
Palmeiras
Internacional
1
1
D
Last matches: Internacional
25.07.26
Ser
Internacional
Atletico Paranaense
0
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Internacional
RB Bragantino
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Vitoria
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Coritiba
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Botafogo
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Corinthians
1
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Santos
2
1
W
11.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
25.02.26
Ser
Internacional
Remo
1
1
D
04.02.26
Ser
Internacional
Flamengo
1
1
D
H2H away: Internacional
09.08.26
H2H
Palmeiras
Internacional
0
0
D
13.09.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Internacional
4
1
L
17.04.24
H2H
Palmeiras
Internacional
0
1
W
12.11.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Internacional
3
0
L
24.07.22
H2H
Palmeiras
Internacional
2
1
L
17.10.21
H2H
Palmeiras
Internacional
1
0
L
03.09.20
H2H
Palmeiras
Internacional
1
1
D

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 14 6 3 40:19 21 48
L D W L W
2 22 13 6 3 44:19 25 45
W W D D W
3 23 12 5 6 31:20 11 41
D W D W W
4 23 10 8 5 34:28 6 38
W D D D D
5 23 10 6 7 32:32 0 36
W W W L W
6 23 8 10 5 32:28 4 34
D D D D D
7 22 9 5 8 27:23 4 32
D L D D W
8 22 9 5 8 30:27 3 32
W D W D W
9 23 8 8 7 25:22 3 32
L W D D W
10 23 8 7 8 28:30 -2 31
D W L D L
11 22 8 6 8 35:34 1 30
L D W D W
12 23 8 5 10 23:33 -10 29
W L L L D
13 22 7 6 9 27:26 1 27
D L D L L
14 22 6 7 9 32:35 -3 25
W L D L W
15 22 6 7 9 24:30 -6 25
L W D L L
16 23 5 9 9 24:28 -4 24
D D D L L
17 22 6 5 11 25:35 -10 23
L L W D W
18 23 5 8 10 27:37 -10 23
D D L W L
19 22 5 7 10 23:34 -11 22
L D D L L
20 22 1 8 13 23:46 -23 11
D L D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B