Padova
Match Timeline
Spezia
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Padova Win 0%
Draw 0%
Spezia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Padova1.12
Spezia1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Padova
WWDLW
28 GF / 35 GA
Spezia
WLDWL
26 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.9
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
15
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
10
3.75
Shots on Goal
3.93
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Padova
28 matches
Spezia
29 matches
| Padova | Statistic | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 6 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 11 | Losses | 14 |
| 28 | Goals For | 26 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.9 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.75 | Shots On Goal | 3.93 |
| 10.25 | Total Shots | 10.93 |
| 3.86 | Corners | 5.03 |
| 46.8% | Ball Possession | 48.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Padova won 1 times, Spezia won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Padova's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Padova 4-2-3-1 / Spezia 3-5-2
H2H summary: Padova wins 1, draws 3, Spezia wins 1
Stats
Padova
Spezia
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots on Goal
10
10
Shots off Goal
9
9
Shots off Goal
1
1
Blocked Shots
5
5
Blocked Shots
2
2
Lineups
Padova
Formation
Spezia
A. Sorrentino
F. Belli
F. Sgarbi
M. Perrotta
C. Faedo
P. Fusi
K. Varas
A. Capelli
G. Caprari
F. Di Mariano
K. Lasagna
B. Radunovic
M. Ruggero
A. Mateju
G. Bonfanti
L. Sernicola
A. Nagy
A. Bellemo
C. Comotto
G. Aurelio
V. Vlahovic
G. Artistico
Padova
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
A. Sorrentino
G
4
F. Belli
D
32
F. Sgarbi
D
⚽ 39'
5
M. Perrotta
D
72
C. Faedo
D
↓ 71'
8
P. Fusi
M
🎯 78'
7
K. Varas
M
17
A. Capelli
M
↓ 71'
24
G. Caprari
M
↓ 58'
77
F. Di Mariano
M
↓ 85'
15
K. Lasagna
F
⚽ 78'
↓ 85'
Substitutes
1
L. Mouquet
14
M. Fortin
G
6
L. Crisetig
M
92
C. Buonaiuto
F
↑ 58'
58
C. Pastina
D
55
L. Villa
D
86
G. Giunti
M
18
P. Ghiglione
D
30
G. Favale
D
↑ 71'
23
L. Di Maggio
M
↑ 85'
11
A. Seghetti
F
↑ 85'
41
J. Silva
M
↑ 71'
Spezia
3-5-2
Starting XI
22
B. Radunovic
G
4
M. Ruggero
D
↓ 75'
🟨 50'
37
A. Mateju
D
↓ 81'
94
G. Bonfanti
D
⚽ 82'
🎯 24'
17
L. Sernicola
M
8
A. Nagy
M
↓ 60'
6
A. Bellemo
M
↓ 60'
34
C. Comotto
M
31
G. Aurelio
M
🟨 14'
99
V. Vlahovic
F
↓ 75'
9
G. Artistico
F
⚽ 24'
Substitutes
12
D. Mascardi
G
16
L. Loria
G
5
M. Valoti
M
↑ 75'
32
L. Vignali
D
↑ 75'
25
F. Bandinelli
M
↑ 60'
11
P. Beruatto
D
🎯 82'
↑ 81'
19
H. Shagaxle
M
60
A. Romano
M
↑ 60'
77
E. Lorenzelli
M
55
P. Hristov
D
24
A. Bertoncini
D
18
G. Conte
F
Last matches: Padova
07.08.26
Fri
Padova
Monza
3
3
D
01.08.26
Fri
Padova
Cittadella
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Padova
Ospitaletto
1
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Padova
Sassuolo
1
4
L
08.05.26
Ser
Padova
Cesena
4
3
W
01.05.26
Ser
Padova
Pescara
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Padova
Virtus Entella
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Padova
Reggiana
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Padova
Empoli
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Padova
Frosinone
0
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Padova
Palermo
0
1
L
17.03.26
Ser
Padova
Venezia
1
3
L
14.03.26
Ser
Padova
Catanzaro
1
3
L
07.03.26
Ser
Padova
Avellino
0
1
L
28.02.26
Ser
Padova
Modena
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ser
Padova
Bari
1
1
D
14.02.26
Ser
Padova
Sampdoria
0
1
L
10.02.26
Ser
Padova
Carrarese
1
0
W
07.02.26
Ser
Padova
Juve Stabia
3
3
D
01.02.26
Ser
Padova
Monza
1
2
L
Last matches: Spezia
01.08.26
Fri
Spezia
Empoli
1
1
D
08.05.26
Ser
Spezia
Pescara
1
1
D
01.05.26
Ser
Spezia
Venezia
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Spezia
Catanzaro
2
4
L
18.04.26
Ser
Spezia
Sudtirol
6
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Spezia
Mantova
0
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
Spezia
Carrarese
1
3
L
21.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Juve Stabia
1
3
L
17.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Empoli
1
1
D
13.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Modena
0
3
L
07.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Monza
4
2
W
28.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Reggiana
0
1
L
21.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Cesena
3
2
W
15.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Frosinone
0
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Bari
0
0
D
07.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Virtus Entella
1
1
D
31.01.26
Ser
Spezia
Sampdoria
0
1
L
24.01.26
Ser
Spezia
Avellino
1
0
W
18.01.26
Ser
Spezia
Palermo
0
1
L
10.01.26
Ser
Spezia
Sudtirol
1
2
L
H2H: Padova vs Spezia
03.03.26
H2H
Padova
Spezia
2
2
D
29.10.25
H2H
Spezia
Padova
1
1
D
27.07.22
H2H
Padova
Spezia
1
5
L
09.03.19
H2H
Spezia
Padova
0
2
W
27.10.18
H2H
Padova
Spezia
0
0
D
Last matches: Padova
25.07.26
Fri
Padova
Ospitaletto
1
3
L
01.05.26
Ser
Padova
Pescara
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Padova
Reggiana
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Padova
Empoli
1
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Padova
Palermo
0
1
L
14.03.26
Ser
Padova
Catanzaro
1
3
L
21.02.26
Ser
Padova
Bari
1
1
D
10.02.26
Ser
Padova
Carrarese
1
0
W
01.02.26
Ser
Padova
Monza
1
2
L
17.01.26
Ser
Padova
Mantova
1
2
L
11.01.26
Ser
Padova
Modena
2
0
W
20.12.25
Ser
Padova
Sampdoria
1
1
D
08.12.25
Ser
Padova
Cesena
1
1
D
22.11.25
Ser
Padova
Venezia
0
2
L
01.11.25
Ser
Padova
Sudtirol
1
1
D
26.10.25
Ser
Padova
Juve Stabia
2
2
D
30.09.25
Ser
Padova
Avellino
2
2
D
21.09.25
Ser
Padova
Virtus Entella
2
1
W
13.09.25
Ser
Padova
Frosinone
0
1
L
10.08.25
Cop
Padova
Vicenza Virtus
0
2
L
H2H at home: Padova
03.03.26
H2H
Padova
Spezia
2
2
D
27.07.22
H2H
Padova
Spezia
1
5
L
27.10.18
H2H
Padova
Spezia
0
0
D
Last matches: Spezia
01.08.26
Fri
Spezia
Empoli
1
1
D
08.05.26
Ser
Spezia
Pescara
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Spezia
Catanzaro
2
4
L
06.04.26
Ser
Spezia
Carrarese
1
3
L
21.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Juve Stabia
1
3
L
13.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Modena
0
3
L
21.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Cesena
3
2
W
11.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Bari
0
0
D
31.01.26
Ser
Spezia
Sampdoria
0
1
L
18.01.26
Ser
Spezia
Palermo
0
1
L
10.01.26
Ser
Spezia
Sudtirol
1
2
L
20.12.25
Ser
Spezia
Frosinone
1
2
L
08.12.25
Ser
Spezia
Virtus Entella
1
0
W
23.11.25
Ser
Spezia
Mantova
1
4
L
02.11.25
Ser
Spezia
Monza
0
1
L
25.10.25
Ser
Spezia
Avellino
4
0
W
30.09.25
Ser
Spezia
Reggiana
1
1
D
27.09.25
Ser
Spezia
Venezia
0
2
L
24.09.25
Cop
Spezia
Parma
2
2
D
14.09.25
Ser
Spezia
Empoli
1
1
D
H2H away: Spezia
03.03.26
H2H
Padova
Spezia
2
2
D
27.07.22
H2H
Padova
Spezia
1
5
W
27.10.18
H2H
Padova
Spezia
0
0
D
Standings
Serie B: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
Padova
Home
|
38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 |
Spezia
Away
|
38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
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