POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza
Referee: M. Szczerbowicz
Nieciecza
Match Timeline
Wisla Plock
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Sergio Guerrero
Nieciecza
36'
W. Nowak · Assist: D. Kun
Wisla Plock
39'
Z. Rogelj · Assist: D. Pacheco
Wisla Plock
51'
G. Niarchos · Assist: D. Gallapeni
Wisla Plock
🔄
57'
M. Fassbender ↔ I. Strzalek
Nieciecza
🔄
57'
A. Putivtsev ↔ A. Kasperkiewicz
Nieciecza
🔄
57'
J. Jimenez ↔ I. Durdov
Nieciecza
🔄
60'
D. Gallapeni ↔ Q. Lecoeuche
Wisla Plock
🔄
61'
D. Kun ↔ K. Custovic
Wisla Plock
🔄
66'
S. Guerrero ↔ D. Biniek
Nieciecza
🔄
68'
K. Savvidis ↔ T. Tavares
Wisla Plock
🔄
69'
G. Niarchos ↔ D. Sarapata
Wisla Plock
🟨
80'
Dominik Biniek
Nieciecza
87'
K. Zapolnik · Assist: D. Hilbrycht
Nieciecza
🔄
90+2'
D. Pacheco ↔ M. Bokhno
Wisla Plock

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Nieciecza Win 27.3%
Draw 13.6%
Wisla Plock Win 59.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nieciecza1.08
Wisla Plock1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nieciecza Nieciecza
WWDLW
33 GF / 51 GA
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
WLDWL
29 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.04
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
19
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
8
4.11
Shots on Goal
3.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nieciecza Nieciecza 28 matches
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 28 matches
Nieciecza Statistic Wisla Plock
6 Wins 11
7 Draws 9
15 Losses 8
33 Goals For 29
51 Goals Against 26
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
19 BTTS Yes 14
24 Over 1.5 20
14 Over 2.5 8
9 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 9
4.11 Shots On Goal 3.54
12.61 Total Shots 11.64
4.39 Corners 3.79
43.9% Ball Possession 42.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Wisla Plock's more proactive style and Nieciecza's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nieciecza expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Wisla Plock in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wisla Plock having the stronger overall control. Wisla Plock carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 42 points while Nieciecza sit 18 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Nieciecza have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Wisla Plock. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Nieciecza Analysis

Nieciecza sit 18 with 25 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 33:51, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through J. Jimenez (5 goals), K. Kubica (5 goals), Andrzej Trubeha (3 goals), with creative support from Damian Hilbrycht (2 assists), Sergio Guerrero (2 assists), M. Ambrosiewicz (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Wisla Plock Analysis

From their first 28 matches, Wisla Plock have collected 42 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, while the 29:26 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Sekulski (8 goals), Deni Jurić (5 goals), Wiktor Nowak (3 goals), with creative support from D. Kun (3 assists), Dani Pacheco (2 assists), J. Jimenez (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Nieciecza won 2 times, Wisla Plock won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:17 from Nieciecza's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
Predicted formations: Nieciecza 3-4-3 / Wisla Plock 3-5-2
H2H summary: Nieciecza wins 2, draws 2, Wisla Plock wins 4
Stats
Nieciecza Nieciecza
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
2
2 Corner Kicks 5
9 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 4
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Goal 7
6 Shots off Goal 7
1 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 10
7 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Goalkeeper Saves 6
479 Total passes 370
404 Passes accurate 309
1.63 expected_goals 1.46
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Nieciecza
Formation
Wisla Plock
A. Chovan
A. Chovan
M. Matysik
M. Matysik
L. Masoero
L. Masoero
A. Putivtsev
A. Putivtsev
R. Boboc
R. Boboc
S. Guerrero
S. Guerrero
M. Ambrosiewicz
M. Ambrosiewicz
D. Hilbrycht
🎯
D. Hilbrycht
M. Fassbender
M. Fassbender
K. Zapolnik
K. Zapolnik
J. Jimenez
J. Jimenez
R. Leszczynski
R. Leszczynski
M. Haglind-Sangre
M. Haglind-Sangre
M. Kaminski
M. Kaminski
N. Mijuskovic
N. Mijuskovic
Z. Rogelj
Z. Rogelj
D. Kun
🎯
D. Kun
K. Savvidis
K. Savvidis
D. Pacheco
🎯
D. Pacheco
D. Gallapeni
🎯
D. Gallapeni
G. Niarchos
G. Niarchos
W. Nowak
W. Nowak
Nieciecza 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
A. Chovan
G
32
M. Matysik
D
5
L. Masoero
D
77
A. Putivtsev
↓ 57'
D
27
R. Boboc
M
23
S. Guerrero
↓ 66' 🟨 4'
M
28
M. Ambrosiewicz
M
21
D. Hilbrycht
🎯 87'
M
7
M. Fassbender
↓ 57'
F
25
K. Zapolnik
⚽ 87'
F
9
J. Jimenez
↓ 57'
F
Substitutes
99
M. Mleczko
G
8
R. Kurzawa
M
53
A. Trubeha
F
86
I. Strzalek
↑ 57'
M
26
W. Jakubik
M
3
A. Kasperkiewicz
↑ 57'
D
6
M. Wolski
D
29
G. Isik
D
19
I. Durdov
↑ 57'
F
17
D. Biniek
↑ 66' 🟨 80'
M
Wisla Plock 3-5-2
Starting XI
12
R. Leszczynski
G
4
M. Haglind-Sangre
D
35
M. Kaminski
D
25
N. Mijuskovic
D
21
Z. Rogelj
⚽ 39'
M
14
D. Kun
🎯 36' ↓ 61'
M
88
K. Savvidis
↓ 68'
M
8
D. Pacheco
🎯 39' ↓ 90+2'
M
19
D. Gallapeni
🎯 51' ↓ 60'
M
9
G. Niarchos
⚽ 51' ↓ 69'
F
30
W. Nowak
⚽ 36'
F
Substitutes
26
J. Burek
G
20
L. Sekulski
F
13
Q. Lecoeuche
↑ 60'
D
18
D. Sarapata
↑ 69'
M
37
M. Bokhno
↑ 90+2'
D
27
B. Borowski
F
6
K. Pomorski
M
16
F. Hiszpanski
M
2
K. Custovic
↑ 61'
M
84
T. Tavares
↑ 68'
D
66
I. Salvador
M
17
M. Djalo
M
Last matches: Nieciecza
18.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Podbeskidzie
1
1
D
17.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Korona Kielce
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
2
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Puszcza Niepołomice
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Resovia Rzeszów
4
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Wisla Krakow
4
3
W
20.06.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Unia Tarnow
5
0
W
23.05.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
3
2
W
18.05.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Arka Gdynia
3
2
W
10.05.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Legia Warszawa
0
1
L
03.05.26
Eks
Nieciecza
GKS Katowice
1
5
L
24.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Zaglebie Lubin
2
1
W
11.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Widzew Łódź
0
1
L
06.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Piast Gliwice
3
2
W
22.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Lech Poznan
1
4
L
13.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Motor Lublin
1
2
L
07.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Korona Kielce
1
2
L
01.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
21.02.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Raków Częstochowa
0
1
L
16.02.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Gornik Zabrze
1
1
D
Last matches: Wisla Plock
22.07.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Pelikan Łowicz
3
2
W
17.07.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
ŁKS Łódź
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Bohemians 1905
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Baník Ostrava
2
2
D
04.07.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Polonia Warszawa
3
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Lech Poznan
2
2
D
16.05.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Gornik Zabrze
0
1
L
10.05.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Motor Lublin
0
4
L
03.05.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Pogon Szczecin
0
3
L
26.04.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Radomiak Radom
0
1
L
10.04.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Lechia Gdansk
1
0
W
04.04.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
GKS Katowice
0
1
L
21.03.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Jagiellonia
2
1
W
14.03.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Cracovia Krakow
2
1
W
09.03.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Arka Gdynia
0
3
L
02.03.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Zaglebie Lubin
0
2
L
21.02.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Legia Warszawa
1
2
L
14.02.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Widzew Łódź
0
2
L
09.02.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Piast Gliwice
0
1
L
H2H: Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock
19.04.26
H2H
Nieciecza
Wisla Plock
1
3
L
20.10.25
H2H
Wisla Plock
Nieciecza
3
1
L
10.03.25
H2H
Wisla Plock
Nieciecza
3
0
L
21.08.24
H2H
Nieciecza
Wisla Plock
4
2
W
02.03.24
H2H
Nieciecza
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
19.08.23
H2H
Wisla Plock
Nieciecza
3
1
L
01.05.22
H2H
Nieciecza
Wisla Plock
1
0
W
05.11.21
H2H
Wisla Plock
Nieciecza
1
1
D
Last matches: Nieciecza
18.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Podbeskidzie
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Resovia Rzeszów
4
0
W
23.05.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
3
2
W
10.05.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Legia Warszawa
0
1
L
06.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Piast Gliwice
3
2
W
13.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Motor Lublin
1
2
L
01.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
16.02.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Gornik Zabrze
1
1
D
02.02.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Cracovia Krakow
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Stal Rzeszów
8
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Stal Mielec
4
0
W
16.01.26
Fri
Nieciecza
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Mura
1
0
W
07.12.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
2
1
W
21.11.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Arka Gdynia
2
0
W
31.10.25
Eks
Nieciecza
GKS Katowice
0
3
L
24.10.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Zaglebie Lubin
1
1
D
04.10.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Widzew Łódź
2
4
L
20.09.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Lech Poznan
0
2
L
30.08.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Korona Kielce
1
3
L
H2H at home: Nieciecza
19.04.26
H2H
Nieciecza
Wisla Plock
1
3
L
21.08.24
H2H
Nieciecza
Wisla Plock
4
2
W
02.03.24
H2H
Nieciecza
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
01.05.22
H2H
Nieciecza
Wisla Plock
1
0
W
Last matches: Wisla Plock
23.05.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Lech Poznan
2
2
D
03.05.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Pogon Szczecin
0
3
L
04.04.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
GKS Katowice
0
1
L
21.03.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Jagiellonia
2
1
W
14.03.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Cracovia Krakow
2
1
W
02.03.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Zaglebie Lubin
0
2
L
21.02.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Legia Warszawa
1
2
L
09.02.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Piast Gliwice
0
1
L
08.12.25
Eks
Wisla Plock
Korona Kielce
1
1
D
21.11.25
Eks
Wisla Plock
Gornik Zabrze
1
1
D
08.11.25
Eks
Wisla Plock
Motor Lublin
1
1
D
27.10.25
Eks
Wisla Plock
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
03.10.25
Eks
Wisla Plock
Lechia Gdansk
1
1
D
29.08.25
Eks
Wisla Plock
Arka Gdynia
0
1
L
09.08.25
Eks
Wisla Plock
Widzew Łódź
1
1
D
27.07.25
Eks
Wisla Plock
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
H2H away: Wisla Plock
19.04.26
H2H
Nieciecza
Wisla Plock
1
3
W
21.08.24
H2H
Nieciecza
Wisla Plock
4
2
L
02.03.24
H2H
Nieciecza
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
01.05.22
H2H
Nieciecza
Wisla Plock
1
0
L

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation